£30 In Free Bets With BetUK Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

20:00

£30 In Free Bets With BetUK Handicap

Date 2024-11-12

Distance 4f214y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,972

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (3)	Whats In The Bag Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:S Woods	J:Rossa Ryan T:S Woods	131	—	1/22-3	73	88	-	21d	—	—	-3	21	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Shaped nicely for his new yard at Yarmouth (soft) three weeks ago; is entitled to improve
4 (6)	Sugar Hill Babe Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Lisa Williamson	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Lisa Williamson	132	—	612321	74	91	71	33d	—	—	+12	29.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
4lb rise puts her on a career-high mark; bit on if she's to confirm form with Paddy's Day
7 (8)	Thankuappreciate Bay J:Zak Wheatley(3) T:Declan Carroll	J:Zak Wheatley(3) T:Declan Carroll	130	—	404251	72	94	69	8d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	+7	22.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
No penalty for recent C&D win and Z Wheatley claims his usual 3lb; yard in fine form
3 (4)	Paddy's Day Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	133	—	256422	75	91	80	33d	—	—	+6	18.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Consistent but only won one of his last 21 starts and the handicapper knows where he is
1 (7)	Spirit Of Applause Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	135	p	410321	77	92	80	15d	—	—	+16	26.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
A 3lb rise demands more but he's done little wrong on Tapeta and enters calculations
5 (2)	Juicy Bay J:George Wood T:Richard Spencer	J:George Wood T:Richard Spencer	132	tp	247502	74	92	68	8d	—	—	+5	13.2	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Second to Thankuappreciate from the front over C&D last Monday; respected
2 (9)	Dashing Harry Bay J:Adam Farragher T:James Horton	J:Adam Farragher T:James Horton	133	—	-24481	75	90	73	34d	—	—	+11	19.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Sold for 12,000gns since recent win; 6lb rise will test him back at 5f on Tapeta debut
8 (1)	Stone Of Destiny Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Michael Appleby	J:Billy Loughnane T:Michael Appleby	122	p	8-4995	64	91	68	8d	—	—	+2	4.2	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Do well to turn things round with either of those well ahead of him over C&D last Monday
9 (5)	Popular Dream Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Derek Shaw	J:Joanna Mason T:Derek Shaw	120	—	4-6246	62	92	72	134d	—	—	+1	3.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Lightly raced maiden; best form at 6f and 5f at Chelmsford; up against it back from break

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Whats In The Bag	5/2	5/2	5/2
Sugar Hill Babe	9/2	4/1	4/1
Thankuappreciate	5/1	5/1	5/1
Paddy's Day	13/2	13/2	13/2
Spirit Of Applause	15/2	13/2	13/2
Juicy	17/2	9/1	9/1
Dashing Harry	17/2	17/2	17/2
Stone Of Destiny	40/1	40/1	40/1
Popular Dream	66/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sugar Hill Babe

29.5

OR: 6 Form: 18.5 Odds: 5

9/2

2nd

Spirit Of Applause

26.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 17 Odds: 3.1

15/2

3rd

Thankuappreciate

22.4

OR: 5.5 Form: 12.5 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Whats In The Bag

OR: 5.8 Form: 8 Odds: 7.3

5/2

Dashing Harry

19.5

OR: 6.3 Form: 11 Odds: 2.2

17/2

Paddy's Day

18.1

OR: 6.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Juicy

13.2

OR: 6 Form: 5 Odds: 2.2

9/1

Stone Of Destiny

4.2

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Popular Dream

3.6

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Spirit Of Applause	77	92	80
Paddy's Day	75	91	80
Dashing Harry	75	90	73
Sugar Hill Babe	74	91	71
Juicy	74	92	68
Whats In The Bag	73	88	—
Thankuappreciate	72	94	69
Stone Of Destiny	64	91	68
Popular Dream	62	92	72

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Thankuappreciate	8d ago	Quick return
Juicy	8d ago	Quick return
Stone Of Destiny	8d ago	Quick return
Spirit Of Applause	15d ago	Fit
Whats In The Bag	21d ago	Fit
Sugar Hill Babe	33d ago	Fit
Paddy's Day	33d ago	Fit
Dashing Harry	34d ago	Fit
Popular Dream	134d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 4f214y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.