Extra Winnings With BetUK Acca Club Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

19:00

Extra Winnings With BetUK Acca Club Handicap

Date 2024-11-12

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 3

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £7,956

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (13)	Completely Random Grey J:Billy Loughnane T:Harry Charlton	J:Billy Loughnane T:Harry Charlton	133	—	21-625	86	101	-	143d	—	—	-7	15.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Promise on AW last winter; ran in some hot races on turf this summer; unexposed back on AW
8 (1)	Cajetan Bay J:George Bass(3) T:Jack Channon	J:George Bass(3) T:Jack Channon	131	p	-16184	84	103	77	18d	—	—	+6	19.1	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Promising on AW in the spring; not so good on testing ground the last twice; low mileage
3 (10)	Secret Guest Grey J:Paul Mulrennan T:Bryan Smart	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Bryan Smart	134	—	302320	87	101	-	31d	—	0W/0P 2 runs	+5	20.2	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Had an excuse at York latest; in good form on turf beforehand and 6f on Tapeta no problem
4 (2)	City House Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:George Scott	J:Darragh Keenan T:George Scott	133	—	-90235	86	102	86	103d	—	—	+4	17.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Looks better on AW than turf; gelding/wind ops since latest start; still unexposed
11 (8)	Ziggy's Condor Brown J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	130	—	3-2076	83	101	-	110d	—	—	+4	12.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
York second in May was a fine run; the wheels have come off since though; AW debut
1 (3)	Dutch Kingdom Bay J:Liam Wright(5) T:Darryll Holland	J:Liam Wright(5) T:Darryll Holland	135	tb	166151	88	100	87	26d	—	—	+18	27	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Took a big step forward dropped to 6f last month; up 6lb but can't be ignored
7 (6)	Almarada Prince Chestnut J:Tom Eaves T:Craig Lidster	J:Tom Eaves T:Craig Lidster	132	—	420787	85	101	61	33d	—	—	+4	12.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
0-8 this year but his York second in June is a persuasive formline; risky but capable
14 (9)	Mojomaker Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:David Loughnane	J:Rossa Ryan T:David Loughnane	126	t	3324-4	79	100	85	31d	—	—	+2	9.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
On a losing run but recent return from 406 days off was most encouraging; contender
9 (7)	Aljari Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Tom Clover	J:Jack Mitchell T:Tom Clover	131	—	-37858	84	100	85	34d	—	—	+6	10.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Chance on even this year's best but recent 7f efforts don't suggest he's the answer
5 (14)	Amazonian Dream Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Rod Millman	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Rod Millman	133	—	122757	86	101	68	10d	—	—	+9	12.6	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Ran okay over C&D ten days ago without matching this year's turf best; drawn widest
2 (4)	Clearpoint Bay J:William Carver(3) T:Simon Hodgson	J:William Carver(3) T:Simon Hodgson	135	—	-38349	88	100	82	187d	—	—	+9	12.4	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Good record on AW but he returns from six months off in a competitive race
12 (11)	One More Dream Brown J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	129	—	866555	82	98	61	111d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+6	8.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Better on AW than turf but a career best will be required to defy this mark
10 (5)	One Night Stand Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	130	—	809806	83	99	75	59d	—	—	+6	9	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Useful on his day and handicap mark well within range; perhaps better at 5f now
NR (12)	Tan Rapido Brown J:Rob Hornby T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Rob Hornby T:Charlie Fellowes	128	—	21-293	81	101	86	31d	—	—	—	7.8	—	—
Creditable 3rd on first 6f start last month (after a break); unexposed but needs more

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Completely Random	3/1	5/2	10/3
Cajetan	6/1	6/1	6/1
Secret Guest	5/1	6/1	11/2
City House	5/1	11/2	11/2
Ziggy's Condor	9/1	11/1	10/1
Dutch Kingdom	9/1	17/2	17/2
Almarada Prince	9/1	11/1	10/1
Mojomaker	12/1	10/1	12/1
Aljari	22/1	22/1	22/1
Amazonian Dream	28/1	25/1	28/1
Clearpoint	33/1	33/1	33/1
One More Dream	50/1	40/1	40/1
One Night Stand	66/1	40/1	40/1
Tan Rapido	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Dutch Kingdom

OR: 9.5 Form: 15 Odds: 2.5

9/1

2nd

Secret Guest

20.2

OR: 9.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 4.4

6/1

3rd

Cajetan

19.1

OR: 8.5 Form: 7 Odds: 3.6

6/1

City House

17.6

OR: 9 Form: 4.6 Odds: 4

11/2

Completely Random

15.7

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

10/3

Ziggy's Condor

12.7

OR: 8.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Amazonian Dream

12.6

OR: 9 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Clearpoint

12.4

OR: 9.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Almarada Prince

12.1

OR: 8.8 Form: 1 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Aljari

10.1

OR: 8.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1

22/1

Mojomaker

9.2

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

One Night Stand

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

66/1

One More Dream

8.6

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Tan Rapido

7.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dutch Kingdom	88	100	87
Clearpoint	88	100	82
Secret Guest	87	101	—
Completely Random	86	101	—
City House	86	102	86
Amazonian Dream	86	101	68
Almarada Prince	85	101	61
Cajetan	84	103	77
Aljari	84	100	85
Ziggy's Condor	83	101	—
One Night Stand	83	99	75
One More Dream	82	98	61
Tan Rapido	81	101	86
Mojomaker	79	100	85

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Amazonian Dream	10d ago	Quick return
Cajetan	18d ago	Fit
Dutch Kingdom	26d ago	Fit
Secret Guest	31d ago	Fit
Mojomaker	31d ago	Fit
Tan Rapido	31d ago	Fit
Almarada Prince	33d ago	Fit
Aljari	34d ago	Fit
One Night Stand	59d ago	Fresh
City House	103d ago	Long break
Ziggy's Condor	110d ago	Long break
One More Dream	111d ago	Long break
Completely Random	143d ago	Long break
Clearpoint	187d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Mojomaker	Prominent
Clearpoint	Prominent

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 14 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 6f16y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.