Weekly £5 Free Bet With BetUK Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

20:30

Weekly £5 Free Bet With BetUK Handicap

Date 2024-11-12

Distance 1m6f21y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,972

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (3)	Something Brown J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jedd O'Keeffe	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jedd O'Keeffe	127	p	575211	76	89	72	25d	—	—	+5	35.4	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Impressive 1m4f winner at Newcastle on last 2 starts and good chance of the hat-trick
2 (5)	Great Bedwyn Bay J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	143	—	413689	86	91	69	18d	—	—	-5	19.2	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Progressive stayer on turf; had trip/surface excuses last two starts; not ruled out
8 (4)	Thrilling Dream Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Ed Dunlop	J:Hector Crouch T:Ed Dunlop	126	v	541192	75	89	70	8d	—	—	+7	24.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
In good form; didn't give up lead lightly here last week; can go well back at 1m6f
6 (6)	Heathen Bay J:Jason Watson T:David O'Meara	J:Jason Watson T:David O'Meara	135	—	-46780	78	93	33	228d	—	—	-4	11.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Winning yard debut here (1m4f) in December; mixed since; has won twice after a break
5 (7)	Nibiru Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Jack Jones	J:Dylan Hogan T:Jack Jones	137	—	-81061	80	88	71	25d	—	—	+17	21.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Turf winner at 1m5f; two Polytrack wins in Ireland this year; sold 1,000gns since latest
3 (8)	Greysful Storm Grey J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Rebecca Menzies	142	t	0-0097	85	89	-	79d	—	—	+6	9.8	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Has gone walkabout this year but well treated on a 1m6f turf run last autumn; new yard
4 (1)	Pleasant Man Bay J:Alex Jary(5) T:Lawrence Mullaney	J:Alex Jary(5) T:Lawrence Mullaney	142	p	43-750	85	83	56	122d	—	—	+7	9.2	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Has possibilities on Tapeta form (1m4f/2m) before Christmas; more to prove on later runs
NR (2)	Fleurman Grey J:Joshua Bryan T:Olly Murphy	J:Joshua Bryan T:Olly Murphy	144	p	405957	87	92	49	69d	—	—	—	9.3	—	—
Back-to-back 2m wins on Tapeta elsewhere in 2023; stuttered somewhat since, including C&D

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Something	13/8	13/8	13/8
Great Bedwyn	5/2	9/4	5/2
Thrilling Dream	9/2	9/2	9/2
Heathen	6/1	11/2	6/1
Nibiru	16/1	16/1	16/1
Greysful Storm	20/1	22/1	22/1
Pleasant Man	50/1	66/1	66/1
Fleurman	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Something

35.4

OR: 6.5 Form: 19.5 Odds: 9.4

13/8

2nd

Thrilling Dream

24.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 13 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Nibiru

21.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 13 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Great Bedwyn

19.2

OR: 9 Form: 2.9 Odds: 7.3

5/2

Heathen

11.4

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

6/1

Greysful Storm

9.8

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Fleurman

9.3

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Pleasant Man

9.2

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Fleurman	87	92	49
Great Bedwyn	86	91	69
Greysful Storm	85	89	—
Pleasant Man	85	83	56
Nibiru	80	88	71
Heathen	78	93	33
Something	76	89	72
Thrilling Dream	75	89	70

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Thrilling Dream	8d ago	Quick return
Great Bedwyn	18d ago	Fit
Something	25d ago	Fit
Nibiru	25d ago	Fit
Fleurman	69d ago	Fresh
Greysful Storm	79d ago	Fresh
Pleasant Man	122d ago	Long break
Heathen	228d ago	Long break