BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

19:30

BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap

Date 2024-11-12

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 3

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £8,208

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (12)	Qazaq Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	135	—	1-1	89	101	57	20d	—	—	+7	35.6	0.47/1	15/8 35%
2-2 in Polytrack novices; hard to gauge just how good he is at this stage; respected
3 (4)	Magnum Opus Bay J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	136	—	01U755	90	99	87	59d	—	—	-3	17.7	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Ran well when fifth in big fields the last twice including over C&D; could go well again
1 (2)	Lion Of War Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Charlie Johnston	J:Billy Loughnane T:Charlie Johnston	139	b	89-903	91	103	54	20d	—	—	-1	14.7	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Has run well in both AW starts as when a close third at Kempton last time; respected
8 (10)	Chalk Mountain Grey J:Rob Hornby T:Stuart Kittow	J:Rob Hornby T:Stuart Kittow	130	tp	011162	82	101	83	12d	—	—	+16	25.7	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Placed over 1m; AW hat-trick over 7f in the autumn; good 2nd last time; cheekpieces on
5 (8)	Metallo Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Jack Channon	J:Rossa Ryan T:Jack Channon	135	—	0174-	89	94	-	454d	—	—	+8	17.3	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Makes handicap debut after 454 days off having been gelded since last seen; watch market
2 (1)	Rhythm Master Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Geoffrey Harker	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Geoffrey Harker	136	—	044750	88	102	-	17d	—	—	+5	11.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Not disgraced in some warm turf handicaps this year, but still to convince over this far
12 (5)	Eligible Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	119	—	770874	71	106	79	19d	—	—	+1	6.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
8lb lower than for latest of four course wins and return to 1m may suit; high on list
7 (6)	Cruyff Turn Chestnut J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	133	—	630195	85	99	76	12d	—	—	+10	16	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Fair fifth on belated AW debut here 12 days ago; could play a part if building on that
11 (11)	Shaw Park Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	119	—	146592	71	99	81	19d	—	—	+9	10.7	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Does seem to stay this far, but a record of 0-17 on the AW puts him down the list
9 (3)	Shahbaz Grey J:Tom Eaves T:Ian Williams	J:Tom Eaves T:Ian Williams	127	—	2444-0	79	94	-	—	—	—	+6	7.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Makes his debut for another new stable; probably best watched unless attracting support
4 (7)	Court Of Session Brown J:Luke Morris T:Phil McEntee	J:Luke Morris T:Phil McEntee	136	—	21-540	88	99	63	66d	—	—	+9	9.8	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Placed in both starts here; 1lb above last winning mark but held last time; stable debut
10 (9)	See Paris Bay J:Elle-May Croot(5) T:Ivan Furtado	J:Elle-May Croot(5) T:Ivan Furtado	124	p	425155	76	-	-	86d	—	—	+11	12.9	20.00/1	80/1 1%
2-17 on turf in Germany; makes his stable/AW debut after three months off; watch market

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Qazaq	7/4	7/4	15/8
Magnum Opus	3/1	11/4	3/1
Lion Of War	6/1	6/1	6/1
Chalk Mountain	8/1	9/1	17/2
Metallo	8/1	10/1	17/2
Rhythm Master	16/1	14/1	14/1
Eligible	14/1	14/1	14/1
Cruyff Turn	14/1	14/1	14/1
Shaw Park	66/1	50/1	50/1
Shahbaz	66/1	50/1	66/1
Court Of Session	80/1	66/1	66/1
See Paris	80/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Qazaq

35.6

OR: 9.8 Form: 17 Odds: 8.9

15/8

2nd

Chalk Mountain

25.7

OR: 8 Form: 15 Odds: 2.7

9/1

3rd

Magnum Opus

17.7

OR: 10 Form: 1.6 Odds: 6.2

3/1

Metallo

17.3

OR: 9.8 Form: 5 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Cruyff Turn

OR: 8.8 Form: 5.6 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Lion Of War

14.7

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

6/1

See Paris

12.9

OR: 6.5 Form: 6 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Rhythm Master

11.2

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Shaw Park

10.7

OR: 5.3 Form: 5 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Court Of Session

9.8

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

80/1

Shahbaz

7.6

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Eligible

6.9

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lion Of War	91	103	54
Magnum Opus	90	99	87
Qazaq	89	101	57
Metallo	89	94	—
Rhythm Master	88	102	—
Court Of Session	88	99	63
Cruyff Turn	85	99	76
Chalk Mountain	82	101	83
Shahbaz	79	94	—
See Paris	76	—	—
Eligible	71	106	79
Shaw Park	71	99	81

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Chalk Mountain	12d ago	Quick return
Cruyff Turn	12d ago	Quick return
Rhythm Master	17d ago	Fit
Eligible	19d ago	Fit
Shaw Park	19d ago	Fit
Qazaq	20d ago	Fit
Lion Of War	20d ago	Fit
Magnum Opus	59d ago	Fresh
Court Of Session	66d ago	Fresh
See Paris	86d ago	Fresh
Metallo	454d ago	Long break
Shahbaz	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 5 draws with historical results at this course and distance.