HKJC World Pool Autumn Fillies & Mares Handicap – Leopardstown

Leopardstown

17:45

HKJC World Pool Autumn Fillies & Mares Handicap

Date 2024-09-14

Distance 1m

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €59,000

Runners (19)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (14)	Quadruple Bay J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	130	—	-52121	89	95	62	35d	—	—	+17	35	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Will be ridden forward from an unfavourable draw and could have a bit more to offer
2 (1)	Arisaig Chestnut J:Tom Marquand T:Charlie Johnston	J:Tom Marquand T:Charlie Johnston	135	—	318318	94	98	74	23d	—	—	+12	25.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Mid-division in a better contest at York last time; respected but others appeal more
15 (15)	Evening Blossom Bay J:Declan McDonogh T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Declan McDonogh T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	122	—	336211	81	99	72	23d	—	—	+21	30.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Not well drawn but going the right way and no surprise should she go close here
8 (10)	Zapphire Bay J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(7) T:Julie Camacho	J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(7) T:Julie Camacho	130	—	643221	84	99	81	14d	—	—	+19	28.1	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Landed a 1m2f handicap at Beverley two weeks ago; could still be more to come from her
4 (13)	Lady Lunette Bay J:W J Lee T:R P Cody	J:W J Lee T:R P Cody	134	p	049219	88	96	79	46d	—	—	+12	21.7	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Kept on after not getting a clear run in the Galway Mile; dropped 2lb and given a chance
9 (11)	Vera's Secret Bay J:Nathan Crosse T:John James Feane	J:Nathan Crosse T:John James Feane	129	h	253-10	83	99	86	14d	—	—	+2	10.6	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Ran too keen in the Irish Cambridgeshire; hood tried and she could be a factor if it works
6 (6)	Snellen Bay J:Gary Carroll T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Gary Carroll T:Gavin Cromwell	132	—	791217	91	100	81	31d	—	—	+18	24.5	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Disappointing in a Gowran Listed last month but respected back in handicap company
16 (18)	September Leaves Bay J:Keithen Kennedy(7) T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Keithen Kennedy(7) T:Mrs John Harrington	121	v	414341	80	97	80	11d	—	—	+16	22.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Visor goes back on here and might just benefit from the style of this young rider
3 (7)	Independent Expert Bay J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	134	—	291763	88	99	80	14d	—	1W/1P 1 run	+12	16.9	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Close third in the Irish Cambridgeshire last time; will go close if she can match that
10 (2)	Sumptuary Law Bay J:James Ryan(3) T:G M Lyons	J:James Ryan(3) T:G M Lyons	127	—	1-1155	86	99	80	23d	—	—	+13	17.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Has been found out off her new mark last twice and probably up against it here
11 (19)	Serialise Chestnut J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	126	—	-16281	85	98	85	29d	—	—	+20	24.3	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Plenty to suggest that she might be capable of better; can contend off a 5lb higher mark
17 (17)	Lucky Out Bay J:Wayne Hassett(5) T:Thomas Mullins	J:Wayne Hassett(5) T:Thomas Mullins	119	—	334175	78	98	89	11d	—	—	+9	13.8	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Won a Galway maiden and not beaten far in two handicaps since; back up to 1m here
5 (12)	Karsavina Bay J:Hugh Horgan(5) T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Hugh Horgan(5) T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	133	—	-70816	87	99	72	31d	—	—	+13	17.3	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Did okay in a Listed at Gowran; solid enough performer but others make a bit more appeal
1 (5)	Star Galaxy Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	140	—	-64572	94	96	61	13d	—	—	+13	17.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Good run in a Tipperary conditions last time but has a tough task here with this weight
19 (16)	Super Exceed Bay J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Thomas Mullins	J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Thomas Mullins	119	—	7-516	78	93	86	23d	—	—	+5	7.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Not far behind Evening Blossom here last month but needs plenty more from 3lb wrong
12 (4)	Solar Breeze Bay J:Jamie Powell(3) T:Daniel McLoughlin	J:Jamie Powell(3) T:Daniel McLoughlin	125	p	206572	79	99	72	21d	—	—	+10	13.1	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Second in a 1m2f handicap at the Curragh last month; cheekpieces tried; needs to improve
13 (9)	Anvika Chestnut J:Robyn Donaghue-Leahy(7) T:Ms Sheila Lavery	J:Robyn Donaghue-Leahy(7) T:Ms Sheila Lavery	123	—	671696	82	99	81	11d	—	—	+9	11.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
12lb penalty for winning a Limerick handicap in June; down to a mark of 82 now
14 (3)	Elinor Dashwood b/br J:Adam Caffrey(3) T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Adam Caffrey(3) T:Adrian McGuinness	123	h	514837	82	99	86	23d	—	—	+11	12.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Won a fillies' handicap off 75 in June; close third to Serialise at Cork; squeak
18 (8)	Nituna Bay J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:Ms Sheila Lavery	J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:Ms Sheila Lavery	119	—	4-7010	73	96	77	16d	—	—	+5	6.1	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Got her head in front in a Naas handicap in July; well beaten at Navan two weeks ago

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Quadruple	7/2	7/2	7/2
Arisaig	13/2	6/1	13/2
Evening Blossom	10/1	17/2	9/1
Zapphire	9/1	15/2	8/1
Lady Lunette	7/1	8/1	8/1
Vera's Secret	8/1	8/1	9/1
Snellen	12/1	12/1	12/1
September Leaves	14/1	12/1	12/1
Independent Expert	16/1	18/1	18/1
Sumptuary Law	25/1	22/1	22/1
Serialise	25/1	25/1	25/1
Lucky Out	22/1	20/1	22/1
Karsavina	22/1	22/1	22/1
Star Galaxy	22/1	22/1	22/1
Super Exceed	33/1	28/1	28/1
Solar Breeze	40/1	33/1	33/1
Anvika	66/1	40/1	40/1
Elinor Dashwood	66/1	50/1	50/1
Nituna	200/1	66/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Quadruple

OR: 9.8 Form: 20 Odds: 5.2

7/2

2nd

Evening Blossom

30.4

OR: 7.8 Form: 20.1 Odds: 2.5

10/1

3rd

Zapphire

28.1

OR: 8.5 Form: 16.9 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Arisaig

25.1

OR: 11 Form: 10.5 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Snellen

24.5

OR: 10.3 Form: 12.5 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Serialise

24.3

OR: 8.8 Form: 14.5 Odds: 1.1

25/1

September Leaves

22.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 13.5 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Lady Lunette

21.7

OR: 9.5 Form: 9.5 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Karsavina

17.3

OR: 9.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Sumptuary Law

17.1

OR: 9 Form: 7 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Star Galaxy

17.1

OR: 11 Form: 5 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Independent Expert

16.9

OR: 9.5 Form: 6 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Lucky Out

13.8

OR: 7 Form: 5.6 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Solar Breeze

13.1

OR: 7.3 Form: 5 Odds: 0.9

40/1

Elinor Dashwood

12.6

OR: 8 Form: 4.1 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Anvika

11.6

OR: 8 Form: 3 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Vera's Secret

10.6

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Super Exceed

7.8

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Nituna

6.1

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

200/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Arisaig	94	98	74
Star Galaxy	94	96	61
Snellen	91	100	81
Quadruple	89	95	62
Lady Lunette	88	96	79
Independent Expert	88	99	80
Karsavina	87	99	72
Sumptuary Law	86	99	80
Serialise	85	98	85
Zapphire	84	99	81
Vera's Secret	83	99	86
Anvika	82	99	81
Elinor Dashwood	82	99	86
Evening Blossom	81	99	72
September Leaves	80	97	80
Solar Breeze	79	99	72
Lucky Out	78	98	89
Super Exceed	78	93	86
Nituna	73	96	77

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
September Leaves	11d ago	Quick return
Lucky Out	11d ago	Quick return
Anvika	11d ago	Quick return
Star Galaxy	13d ago	Quick return
Zapphire	14d ago	Fit
Vera's Secret	14d ago	Fit
Independent Expert	14d ago	Fit
Nituna	16d ago	Fit
Solar Breeze	21d ago	Fit
Arisaig	23d ago	Fit
Evening Blossom	23d ago	Fit
Sumptuary Law	23d ago	Fit
Super Exceed	23d ago	Fit
Elinor Dashwood	23d ago	Fit
Serialise	29d ago	Fit
Snellen	31d ago	Fit
Karsavina	31d ago	Fit
Quadruple	35d ago	Fit
Lady Lunette	46d ago	Fresh