Tonybet Solonaway Stakes (Group 2) – Leopardstown

Leopardstown

14:15

Tonybet Solonaway Stakes (Group 2)

Date 2024-09-14

Distance 1m

Class Class 1

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €118,000

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10 (12)	Diego Velazquez Bay J:Ryan Moore T:A P O'Brien	J:Ryan Moore T:A P O'Brien	131	—	6-4801	119	123	96	58d	—	—	-13	32.3	0.25/1	Evens 50%
Bolted up in the Meld Stakes; back to 1m should not be an issue and looks a leading player
4 (8)	Maljoom Bay J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	136	p	5-3328	119	125	101	24d	—	—	+4	22.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Group 1 horse; cheekpieces applied here and will take the beating if running to his best
6 (4)	Poker Face Bay J:James Doyle T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:James Doyle T:Simon & Ed Crisford	136	—	2-27P2	115	122	90	21d	—	—	+11	23.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Good second in Group 2 contests this year at Sandown and Goodwood; needs it softer
11 (9)	Galen Chestnut J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	131	—	2-2114	105	115	84	37d	—	—	+10	19.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Beaten fair and square behind three of these in the Desmond Stakes; others preferred
5 (6)	Mutasarref Bay J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	136	—	-31131	111	118	84	37d	—	—	+32	37.3	4.00/1	16/1 6%
In the form of his life this year with three wins; likely to find one or two too good
3 (5)	Lord Massusus Brown J:Gary Carroll T:Joseph G Murphy	J:Gary Carroll T:Joseph G Murphy	136	—	327123	107	115	88	37d	—	—	+24	27.7	5.50/1	22/1 4%
In good form this year; unlikely to be good enough but could get into the frame
12 (2)	Mountain Bear Brown J:Chris Hayes T:A P O'Brien	J:Chris Hayes T:A P O'Brien	131	—	2-7462	107	114	88	37d	—	—	+15	18.8	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Good second when left a lot to do in the Desmond Stakes; could get involved
2 (3)	Flight Plan Bay J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	136	—	-05047	107	116	89	21d	—	—	+12	15.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Some revival may come with the return to this venue but hard to fancy at present
1 (11)	Bold Discovery Bay J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	136	—	67-106	106	113	70	58d	—	—	+13	14.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Well beaten last twice but coming back to 1m will suit; looks up against it though
9 (1)	Bright Stripes Chestnut J:W J Lee T:A Oliver	J:W J Lee T:A Oliver	131	t	183365	102	110	79	28d	—	—	+14	15.8	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Thoroughly exposed at Group 3 level; tongue-tie tried but others make far more appeal
7 (10)	Power Under Me Bay J:James Ryan T:G M Lyons	J:James Ryan T:G M Lyons	136	t	40-241	107	114	78	52d	—	—	+13	14.6	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Winner of six of his 21 starts and a credit to his connections; needs it much softer
NR (7)	Gregarina Chestnut J:Declan McDonogh T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Declan McDonogh T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	133	—	57-104	103	107	80	55d	—	—	—	13.3	—	—
Not effective on good ground twice since and unlikely to have her favoured conditions here

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Diego Velazquez	5/6	10/11	Evens
Maljoom	9/2	7/2	4/1
Poker Face	13/2	6/1	6/1
Galen	17/2	8/1	8/1
Mutasarref	14/1	16/1	16/1
Lord Massusus	20/1	22/1	22/1
Mountain Bear	20/1	22/1	22/1
Flight Plan	25/1	25/1	25/1
Bold Discovery	100/1	66/1	66/1
Bright Stripes	80/1	66/1	66/1
Power Under Me	200/1	66/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mutasarref

37.3

OR: 15.3 Form: 20.7 Odds: 1.4

16/1

2nd

Diego Velazquez

32.3

OR: 17.3 Form: 0 Odds: 15

Evens

3rd

Lord Massusus

27.7

OR: 14.3 Form: 12.5 Odds: 1

22/1

Poker Face

23.1

OR: 16.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Maljoom

22.7

OR: 17.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4

9/2

Galen

19.9

OR: 13.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Mountain Bear

18.8

OR: 14.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Bright Stripes

15.8

OR: 13 Form: 2.4 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Flight Plan

15.1

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Power Under Me

14.6

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

200/1

Bold Discovery

14.4

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Gregarina

13.3

OR: 13.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Diego Velazquez	119	123	96
Maljoom	119	125	101
Poker Face	115	122	90
Mutasarref	111	118	84
Lord Massusus	107	115	88
Mountain Bear	107	114	88
Flight Plan	107	116	89
Power Under Me	107	114	78
Bold Discovery	106	113	70
Galen	105	115	84
Gregarina	103	107	80
Bright Stripes	102	110	79

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Poker Face	21d ago	Fit
Flight Plan	21d ago	Fit
Maljoom	24d ago	Fit
Bright Stripes	28d ago	Fit
Galen	37d ago	Fit
Mutasarref	37d ago	Fit
Lord Massusus	37d ago	Fit
Mountain Bear	37d ago	Fit
Power Under Me	52d ago	Fresh
Gregarina	55d ago	Fresh
Diego Velazquez	58d ago	Fresh
Bold Discovery	58d ago	Fresh