Coolmore America 'Justify' Matron Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares)

Leopardstown

14:50

Date 2024-09-14

Distance 1m

Class Class 1

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €236,000

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (8)	Porta Fortuna Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Donnacha Aidan O'Brien	J:Tom Marquand T:Donnacha Aidan O'Brien	128	—	12-211	117	126	101	64d	—	—	-9	29.3	0.31/1	5/4 44%
Top-class performer and will take a big performance to beat her; always runs a big race
4 (7)	Fallen Angel Grey J:James Doyle T:K R Burke	J:James Doyle T:K R Burke	128	—	211-81	116	124	84	111d	—	—	0	23.8	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Right at her best when bolting up in the Irish 1,000 Guineas last time; huge force
10 (3)	Ylang Ylang Bay J:Ryan Moore T:A P O'Brien	J:Ryan Moore T:A P O'Brien	128	—	31-567	111	118	96	37d	—	—	+6	18.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
No good in C&D G3 last time; clearly has lots of ability but is proving costly to follow
5 (6)	Jancis Chestnut J:Declan McDonogh T:W McCreery	J:Declan McDonogh T:W McCreery	128	—	11	107	116	94	65d	—	—	+24	33.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Fiesolana won this race in 2014 for the yard and this filly could be every bit as good
8 (2)	Vespertilio Bay J:W J Lee T:W McCreery	J:W J Lee T:W McCreery	128	—	12-397	109	113	83	69d	—	—	+11	16.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Excellent second to Fallen Angel in the Group 1 Moyglare last year but not as good since
7 (9)	Soprano Chestnut J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	128	—	531341	110	118	90	30d	—	—	+26	31.8	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Worth a crack at a G1 again off the back of G3 win in France she will probably fall short
9 (5)	Wendla Bay J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	128	—	161665	99	104	75	13d	—	—	+14	15.7	16.50/1	66/1 1%
C&D G3 winner but made little impact in recent starts and is difficult to recommend
1 (4)	Magical Sunset Bay J:Ronan Whelan T:Adrian Murray	J:Ronan Whelan T:Adrian Murray	133	b	-54046	102	111	82	64d	—	—	+12	13.3	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Has 7l to find with Porta Fortuna on Falmouth Stakes run at Newmarket when last seen
2 (1)	Mammas Girl Chestnut J:Robert Whearty T:Adrian Murray	J:Robert Whearty T:Adrian Murray	133	b	680034	92	104	95	13d	—	—	+3	16.2	100.00/1	400/1 0%
Only ran okay when fourth in Tipperary Group 3 when last seen; she's going to struggle
NR (10)	Rogue Millennium Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	133	—	5-3533	108	119	104	48d	—	—	—	14.5	—	—
Beaten just over 2l in the Group 1 Prix Rothschild at Deauville; each-way possibilities

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Porta Fortuna	5/4	6/5	5/4
Fallen Angel	5/2	9/4	5/2
Ylang Ylang	6/1	13/2	13/2
Jancis	9/1	8/1	17/2
Vespertilio	14/1	16/1	14/1
Soprano	14/1	16/1	14/1
Wendla	66/1	50/1	50/1
Magical Sunset	150/1	100/1	100/1
Mammas Girl	400/1	125/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Jancis

33.9

OR: 14.3 Form: 17 Odds: 2.7

9/1

2nd

Soprano

31.8

OR: 15 Form: 15.1 Odds: 1.7

16/1

3rd

Porta Fortuna

29.3

OR: 16.8 Form: 0 Odds: 12.5

5/4

Fallen Angel

23.8

OR: 16.5 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

5/2

Ylang Ylang

18.9

OR: 15.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Vespertilio

16.4

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Mammas Girl

16.2

OR: 10.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.6

400/1

Wendla

15.7

OR: 12.3 Form: 3 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Rogue Millennium

14.5

OR: 14.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Magical Sunset

13.3

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Porta Fortuna	117	126	101
Fallen Angel	116	124	84
Ylang Ylang	111	118	96
Soprano	110	118	90
Vespertilio	109	113	83
Rogue Millennium	108	119	104
Jancis	107	116	94
Magical Sunset	102	111	82
Wendla	99	104	75
Mammas Girl	92	104	95

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Wendla	13d ago	Quick return
Mammas Girl	13d ago	Quick return
Soprano	30d ago	Fit
Ylang Ylang	37d ago	Fit
Rogue Millennium	48d ago	Fresh
Porta Fortuna	64d ago	Fresh
Magical Sunset	64d ago	Fresh
Jancis	65d ago	Fresh
Vespertilio	69d ago	Fresh
Fallen Angel	111d ago	Long break