Boost Your Acca-Fenwa With BetUK Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

15:50

Boost Your Acca-Fenwa With BetUK Handicap

Date 2023-12-22

Distance 4f214y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,129

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (4)	Khabib b/br J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Ray Craggs	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Ray Craggs	135	p	452414	78	93	75	10d	—	—	-4	23.9	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Good record over C&D; beat Twilight Madness here last month; should be involved again
3 (10)	Twilight Madness Chestnut J:William Carver(3) T:Simon Hodgson	J:William Carver(3) T:Simon Hodgson	134	—	758802	77	94	75	28d	—	—	-5	19	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Won this race last year off same mark; 1lb better off with Khabib for a neck on latest run
7 (1)	Rose King Bay J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	130	—	183424	73	92	74	28d	—	—	+2	13.2	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Two course wins in February; yet to win a handicap & behind two of these here last month
10 (6)	Stone Of Destiny Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	128	—	223641	71	90	67	7d	—	—	+10	20	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Ended losing run here last week; not well in under penalty but this should be run to suit
12 (2)	Captain's Bar Bay J:David Allan T:Scott Dixon	J:David Allan T:Scott Dixon	124	b	019063	67	93	73	7d	—	—	+2	12.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Solid 3rd behind Stone Of Destiny last week and 5lb better off today; others preferred
5 (8)	Installation Bay J:David Nolan T:Richard Fahey	J:David Nolan T:Richard Fahey	133	—	1-0378	76	88	52	13d	—	—	+9	15.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Inconsistent; well beaten on recent return and the visor (worn for 2 best runs) is absent
2 (5)	Pop Dancer Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Tony Carroll	J:Tom Eaves T:Tony Carroll	134	p	461491	77	92	65	34d	—	—	+16	21.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
2lb rise for latest Wolverhampton win seems fair; not at best in one C&D run though
11 (12)	Reigning Profit Chestnut J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	125	—	984986	68	91	71	15d	—	—	+2	5.3	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Not found his best form since returning to action in October; easy lead unlikely here
4 (7)	Kodi Red b/br J:Luke Catton(5) T:Darryll Holland	J:Luke Catton(5) T:Darryll Holland	134	eb	-00460	77	89	45	59d	—	—	+5	7.3	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Headgear now added but his latest AW outing was uninspiring
6 (3)	Zargun Bay J:Phil Dennis T:Scott Dixon	J:Phil Dennis T:Scott Dixon	131	—	70-000	74	88	38	10d	—	—	+4	6.6	20.00/1	80/1 1%
On losing run; struggling this season and he'll be another 4lb lower from the weekend
8 (9)	Glory Fighter Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Paul Midgley	J:Cam Hardie T:Paul Midgley	130	—	130046	73	92	-	114d	—	1W/1P 1 run	+5	6.9	20.00/1	80/1 1%
All-the-way win at Catterick in June off 1lb lower; mixed since; no headgear after break
NR (11)	Level Up Bay J:TBC T:David Evans	J: T:David Evans	129	v	842879	72	93	56	18d	—	—	—	7	—	—
C&D winner; on a good mark again now and had an excuse last time; revival possible

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Khabib	2/1	15/8	15/8
Twilight Madness	9/4	5/2	5/2
Rose King	15/2	7/1	7/1
Stone Of Destiny	7/1	13/2	13/2
Captain's Bar	15/2	7/1	7/1
Installation	16/1	14/1	14/1
Pop Dancer	18/1	18/1	18/1
Reigning Profit	33/1	28/1	28/1
Kodi Red	66/1	50/1	50/1
Zargun	80/1	50/1	50/1
Glory Fighter	80/1	66/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Khabib

23.9

OR: 7 Form: 8.5 Odds: 8.4

2/1

2nd

Pop Dancer

21.1

OR: 6.8 Form: 13 Odds: 1.4

18/1

3rd

Stone Of Destiny

OR: 5.3 Form: 11.9 Odds: 2.9

7/1

Twilight Madness

OR: 6.8 Form: 5 Odds: 7.3

5/2

Installation

15.2

OR: 6.5 Form: 7 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Rose King

13.2

OR: 5.8 Form: 4.4 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Captain's Bar

12.1

OR: 4.3 Form: 5 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Kodi Red

7.3

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Level Up

OR: 5.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0

—

Glory Fighter

6.9

OR: 5.8 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.6

80/1

Zargun

6.6

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

80/1

Reigning Profit

5.3

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Khabib	78	93	75
Twilight Madness	77	94	75
Pop Dancer	77	92	65
Kodi Red	77	89	45
Installation	76	88	52
Zargun	74	88	38
Rose King	73	92	74
Glory Fighter	73	92	—
Level Up	72	93	56
Stone Of Destiny	71	90	67
Reigning Profit	68	91	71
Captain's Bar	67	93	73

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Stone Of Destiny	7d ago	Quick return
Captain's Bar	7d ago	Quick return
Khabib	10d ago	Quick return
Zargun	10d ago	Quick return
Installation	13d ago	Quick return
Reigning Profit	15d ago	Fit
Level Up	18d ago	Fit
Twilight Madness	28d ago	Fit
Rose King	28d ago	Fit
Pop Dancer	34d ago	Fit
Kodi Red	59d ago	Fresh
Glory Fighter	114d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 4f214y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.