Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling Nursery Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

15:17

Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling Nursery Handicap

Date 2023-12-22

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,140

Winning Time 1m 15.42s (slow by 3.22s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Rusheen Boy (GB) Dylan Hogan · Julia Feilden	9/1	Won
2nd	Lady In Havana (GB) Laura Pearson · David Loughnane	3/1	4.25
3rd	Mehigburn (IRE) Jonny Peate · Roger Fell & Sean Murray	16/1	2.25
4th	Badosa (IRE) Joshua Bryan · Archie Watson	5/2F	0.2
5th	Red Iris (GB) Duran Fentiman · Tim Easterby	16/1	2
6th	Smooth Silesie (IRE) Daniel Muscutt · David Loughnane	20/1	1.5
7th	Meet Me In Meraki (GB) David Egan · David Evans	3/1	.5
8th	Perfect Spring (GB) William Carver · Andrew Balding	22/1	0.3
9th	Run Joy Run (GB) James Sullivan · Adam West	28/1	1.5
10th	Alibi Warning (IRE) Cam Hardie · Richard Fahey	14/1	0.2
11th	Dash Power (GB) Andrew Mullen · David C Griffiths	125/1	8

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (2)	Lady In Havana Grey J:Laura Pearson T:David Loughnane	J:Laura Pearson T:David Loughnane	135	—	8571	60	65	41	15d	—	—	-5	20.1	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Well backed when beating 4 of today's rivals over C&D on stable/nursery debut; unexposed
4 (4)	Meet Me In Meraki Bay J:David Egan T:David Evans	J:David Egan T:David Evans	131	—	575087	56	65	47	37d	—	—	-18	9.9	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Keen sort who leaves impression he has a bigger effort in him at some point; check betting
7 (1)	Badosa Bay J:Joshua Bryan T:Archie Watson	J:Joshua Bryan T:Archie Watson	128	—	54742	53	66	57	15d	—	—	-2	8.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Chased home Lady In Havana over C&D 15 days ago; should be in the shake up once again
6 (10)	Rusheen Boy Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia Feilden	J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia Feilden	129	ht	060	54	59	-	147d	—	—	-6	3.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Modest form in three sprint runs in the summer; has been gelded; accessories now added
5 (11)	Alibi Warning Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	130	—	7704	55	69	40	15d	—	—	-5	3.8	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Still looked green when finishing well for 4th on recent C&D nursery debut; more to come
11 (5)	Mehigburn Bay J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	122	p	859996	47	68	51	15d	—	—	-5	1.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Finished behind four of today's rivals when 6th over C&D two weeks ago; career best needed
1 (6)	Perfect Spring Bay J:William Carver(3) T:Andrew Balding	J:William Carver(3) T:Andrew Balding	135	v	636726	60	67	41	9d	—	—	+2	8.3	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Disappointing over 7f last week; connections now turn to headgear; chance on best form
12 (7)	Red Iris Grey J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	121	—	706775	46	66	23	35d	—	—	-5	1.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Latest Newcastle run can be upgraded; worth another crack at sprinting; not ruled out
3 (3)	Smooth Silesie Chestnut J:Daniel Muscutt T:David Loughnane	J:Daniel Muscutt T:David Loughnane	132	—	236786	57	65	12	13d	—	—	-1	3.4	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Not progressing and her yard may hold stronger claims with Lady Of Havana
9 (8)	Run Joy Run Bay J:James Sullivan T:Adam West	J:James Sullivan T:Adam West	123	—	66755	48	66	51	9d	—	—	-2	0.9	7.00/1	28/1 3%
No improvement for 7f at Kempton last week; others stronger for win purposes
10 (12)	Dash Power Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:David C Griffiths	J:Andrew Mullen T:David C Griffiths	123	—	670686	48	65	-	6d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Saturday's Wolverhampton run wasn't bad but he'll need further progress to win here
NR (9)	Rust E Boy Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:David Evans	J:NON-RUNNER T:David Evans	124	—	668983	49	66	41	15d	—	—	—	3	—	—
Third behind two of today's rivals over C&D two weeks ago; needs more to reverse placings

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Lady In Havana	3/1	5/2	5/2
Meet Me In Meraki	2/1	5/2	5/2
Badosa	13/2	13/2	13/2
Rusheen Boy	8/1	8/1	8/1
Alibi Warning	9/1	9/1	9/1
Mehigburn	14/1	14/1	14/1
Perfect Spring	14/1	12/1	12/1
Red Iris	12/1	12/1	12/1
Smooth Silesie	22/1	22/1	22/1
Run Joy Run	22/1	28/1	28/1
Dash Power	150/1	125/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lady In Havana

20.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 10 Odds: 7.6

3/1

2nd

Meet Me In Meraki

9.9

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

5/2

3rd

Badosa

8.8

OR: 0.8 Form: 5 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Perfect Spring

8.3

OR: 2.5 Form: 4.1 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Rusheen Boy

3.9

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Alibi Warning

3.8

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Smooth Silesie

3.4

OR: 1.8 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Rust E Boy

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0

—

Mehigburn

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Red Iris

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Run Joy Run

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Dash Power

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lady In Havana	60	65	41
Perfect Spring	60	67	41
Smooth Silesie	57	65	12
Meet Me In Meraki	56	65	47
Alibi Warning	55	69	40
Rusheen Boy	54	59	—
Badosa	53	66	57
Rust E Boy	49	66	41
Run Joy Run	48	66	51
Dash Power	48	65	—
Mehigburn	47	68	51
Red Iris	46	66	23

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Dash Power	6d ago	Quick return
Perfect Spring	9d ago	Quick return
Run Joy Run	9d ago	Quick return
Smooth Silesie	13d ago	Quick return
Lady In Havana	15d ago	Fit
Badosa	15d ago	Fit
Alibi Warning	15d ago	Fit
Mehigburn	15d ago	Fit
Rust E Boy	15d ago	Fit
Red Iris	35d ago	Fit
Meet Me In Meraki	37d ago	Fit
Rusheen Boy	147d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 6f16y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.