Royal County Handicap – Navan

Navan

16:42

Royal County Handicap

Date 2026-05-16

Distance 1m2f40y

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize €29,450

Weather Overcast

Temp 6.3°C

Wind 3mph S

Rain 88%

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (3)	Manton Bay Bay J:Luke McAteer T:David Marnane	J:Luke McAteer T:David Marnane	134	—	61-3	83	89	74	19d	—	—	-8	19.7	0.56/1	9/4 31%
1m Dundalk maiden winner, fine run on 1m h'cap debut latest, should stay this far, chance
2 (6)	Madbadanddangerous Bay J:Ben Coen T:Noel Meade	J:Ben Coen T:Noel Meade	135	—	213-2	84	91	67	34d	—	—	-1	19.7	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Solid form as a 2yo, fine run on h'cap debut on return, in the mix again off 3lb higher
1 (2)	Now Maybe Chestnut J:Scott McCullagh T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Scott McCullagh T:Mrs John Harrington	138	—	82-3	87	85	78	21d	—	—	+2	16.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Close up behind 83 rated rival here latest, opening mark doesn't look a gift but respected
6 (1)	Johnny Soda Chestnut J:Adam Caffrey T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Adam Caffrey T:Adrian McGuinness	129	—	42-031	78	91	74	13d	—	—	-1	10.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Stayed on strongly to win at Cork (1m), up 5lb, go well again if handles quicker ground
5 (5)	Santa Bravado Brown J:W J Lee T:A Oliver	J:W J Lee T:A Oliver	130	—	57-7	79	83	77	21d	—	—	-2	10.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Handicap debutant, promise in maidens at 8f-1m2f, worth a market check
4 (4)	Minella Rockett Chestnut J:Seamie Heffernan T:John J Nallen	J:Seamie Heffernan T:John J Nallen	134	—	0432-	83	86	67	176d	—	—	+7	18.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Two excellent runs over 1m at Dundalk in Nov', form of latest run solid, chance if fit
7 (7)	Fallacy Bay J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	124	—	96-8	73	82	25	22d	—	—	+3	6.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Modest form in 1m AW and turf maidens, best watched up in trip unless market speaks

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Manton Bay	9/4	9/4	2/1
Madbadanddangerous	3/1	11/4	3/1
Now Maybe	11/2	5/1	5/1
Johnny Soda	13/2	6/1	11/2
Santa Bravado	6/1	13/2	11/2
Minella Rockett	15/2	15/2	15/2
Fallacy	25/1	33/1	22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Manton Bay

19.7

OR: 8.3 Form: 3 Odds: 8.4

9/4

2nd

Madbadanddangerous

19.7

OR: 8.5 Form: 5 Odds: 6.2

3/1

3rd

Minella Rockett

18.7

OR: 8.3 Form: 7.1 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Now Maybe

16.3

OR: 9.3 Form: 3 Odds: 4

11/2

Santa Bravado

10.9

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Johnny Soda

10.3

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Fallacy

6.7

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Now Maybe	87	85	78
Madbadanddangerous	84	91	67
Manton Bay	83	89	74
Minella Rockett	83	86	67
Santa Bravado	79	83	77
Johnny Soda	78	91	74
Fallacy	73	82	25

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Johnny Soda	13d ago	Quick return
Manton Bay	19d ago	Fit
Now Maybe	21d ago	Fit
Santa Bravado	21d ago	Fit
Fallacy	22d ago	Fit
Madbadanddangerous	34d ago	Fit
Minella Rockett	176d ago	Long break