Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden (IRE Incentive Race)

Navan

14:20

Date 2026-05-16

Distance 5f

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize €12,958

Weather Light Drizzle

Temp 7.3°C

Wind 3mph W

Rain 56%

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (4)	Big Negotiator Bay J:W J Lee T:P Twomey	J:W J Lee T:P Twomey	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-26	12.5	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Havana Grey filly has to be respected on debut from yard in hot form
5 (2)	Nevermindtherain Bay J:Wayne Lordan T:A P O'Brien	J:Wayne Lordan T:A P O'Brien	128	—	5	-	70	43	42d	—	—	-18	8	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Expected to come on considerably from underwhelming Cork debut when plenty green
3 (5)	Cleodolinda Bay J:Chris Hayes T:Donnacha Aidan O'Brien	J:Chris Hayes T:Donnacha Aidan O'Brien	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-9	3.8	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Sister to 2yo 5f Listed winners Usdi Atohi & Asean; bred to be speedy so considered
7 (3)	Warbelle Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	2.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
50,000euros No Nay Never filly; market best guide on debut, yard going really well
1 (1)	Ballinea Star Bay J:Donagh O'Connor T:Robson De Aguiar	J:Donagh O'Connor T:Robson De Aguiar	128	—	5	-	75	50	19d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Speed for long way on Naas debut; drops back in trip now
4 (6)	Matriarchal Chestnut J:Andrew Slattery T:Josh Halley	J:Andrew Slattery T:Josh Halley	128	—	43	-	68	34	13d	—	—	-3	5.4	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Promise on both starts in 5f maidens at Dundalk and Cork but this looks a stiffer task
6 (7)	Pink Leela Bay J:Leigh Roche T:Simon Cavanagh	J:Leigh Roche T:Simon Cavanagh	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Cost 6,000euros as a yearling; newcomer best watched

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Big Negotiator	11/8	11/8	11/8
Nevermindtherain	5/2	5/2	9/4
Cleodolinda	7/1	11/2	5/1
Warbelle	7/1	7/1	10/1
Ballinea Star	9/1	9/1	10/1
Matriarchal	11/1	11/1	9/1
Pink Leela	150/1	125/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Big Negotiator

12.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 12.5

11/8

2nd

Nevermindtherain

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8

5/2

3rd

Matriarchal

5.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Cleodolinda

3.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.8

7/1

Warbelle

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

10/1

Ballinea Star

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Pink Leela

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Big Negotiator	—	—	—
Nevermindtherain	—	70	43
Cleodolinda	—	—	—
Warbelle	—	—	—
Ballinea Star	—	75	50
Matriarchal	—	68	34
Pink Leela	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Matriarchal	13d ago	Quick return
Ballinea Star	19d ago	Fit
Nevermindtherain	42d ago	Fit
Big Negotiator	—	—
Cleodolinda	—	—
Warbelle	—	—
Pink Leela	—	—