Steve Gregory 65th Birthday Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

17:45

Steve Gregory 65th Birthday Handicap

Date 2025-04-27

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 3

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £16,749

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (6)	Don Pacifico Chestnut J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	131	t	31-30	84	94	78	9d	—	—	-4	13.7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
C&D winner; torrid trip in good race at Newcastle on Good Friday; still unexposed
5 (1)	Hammer The Hammer Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	129	—	42-21	82	96	70	47d	—	—	-3	12.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Won a poor 5f maiden here last month, albeit with ease; this looks a much stiffer test
7 (5)	Wheels Of Fire Bay J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	129	—	3315-6	82	93	73	20d	—	—	-1	11.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
5f Polytrack win as 2yo; unplaced in both his handicaps but was only 4-1 on each occasion
8 (8)	Noble Victory Bay J:Hector Crouch T:James Tate	J:Hector Crouch T:James Tate	127	—	2134	80	95	78	20d	—	—	+7	19.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Ran well for fourth on handicap debut this month; can do better granted a faster pace
2 (12)	Mythical Composer Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Clive Cox	J:Rossa Ryan T:Clive Cox	133	—	64173-	86	92	-	231d	—	—	+10	19.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Ran well on last three 2yo starts but he will need more for AW if he is to defy this mark
13 (3)	Invitorio Bay J:Sam James T:K R Burke	J:Sam James T:K R Burke	122	—	731-4	75	94	-	19d	—	0W/1P 1 run	-1	8.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
6f turf win at two; promising return to action when close fourth at Pontefract
1 (7)	Handcuffed Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Andrew Balding	J:Tom Marquand T:Andrew Balding	135	—	17470-	88	95	-	218d	—	—	+6	13.6	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Often highly tried at two but ran well off this mark in one nursery start; yard in form
4 (13)	Mr Fantastic Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:K R Burke	J:Callum Rodriguez T:K R Burke	130	—	32210-	83	92	-	198d	—	—	+15	21.8	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Absent since unplaced in York sales race last October; 1-1 on AW (7f); 6f should be fine
10 (10)	Mr Cool Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	124	—	834-21	77	96	59	15d	—	—	+2	8.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Made all in 6f handicap at Nottingham 15 days ago; 5lb higher against stronger rivals
11 (4)	Fan Mail Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	123	—	4-2146	76	98	82	19d	—	—	+2	8.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
6f win at Newcastle in February; close fourth over C&D next time; below par on turf latest
12 (9)	Scatter Penny Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	122	—	1967-5	75	97	46	19d	—	—	+3	7.3	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Unplaced in four handicaps but was keeping on well at Pontefract on her return 19 days ago
9 (14)	Bonnie's Boy Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	125	—	22254-	78	96	65	195d	—	—	+10	12.9	7.00/1	28/1 3%
2nd in 3 of 5 starts as 2yo; gelded during his absence; drawn wide and has a bit to prove
6 (2)	Naana's Diamond Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	129	t	215-06	82	97	-	86d	—	—	+6	8.9	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Listed win in Italy last summer; unplaced in two runs in Dubai this year; handicap debut
NR (11)	Rare Change Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Richard Hughes	J:NON-RUNNER T:Richard Hughes	121	p	33463-	74	94	-	186d	—	—	—	10.5	—	—
0-8 as a 2yo but the odd promising run; gelded since latest effort; can do better

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Don Pacifico	7/2	4/1	7/2
Hammer The Hammer	9/2	9/2	4/1
Wheels Of Fire	6/1	7/1	6/1
Noble Victory	13/2	7/1	15/2
Mythical Composer	8/1	17/2	17/2
Invitorio	9/1	9/1	9/1
Handcuffed	11/1	11/1	11/1
Mr Fantastic	12/1	12/1	12/1
Mr Cool	14/1	14/1	14/1
Fan Mail	14/1	14/1	14/1
Scatter Penny	25/1	25/1	25/1
Bonnie's Boy	28/1	25/1	25/1
Naana's Diamond	50/1	33/1	33/1
Rare Change	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mr Fantastic

21.8

OR: 8.3 Form: 11.6 Odds: 1.9

12/1

2nd

Mythical Composer

19.9

OR: 9 Form: 8 Odds: 2.9

17/2

3rd

Noble Victory

19.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 8.6 Odds: 3.6

15/2

Don Pacifico

13.7

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Handcuffed

13.6

OR: 9.5 Form: 2 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Bonnie's Boy

12.9

OR: 7 Form: 5 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Hammer The Hammer

12.4

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Wheels Of Fire

11.6

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

7/1

Rare Change

10.5

OR: 6 Form: 4.5 Odds: 0

—

Invitorio

8.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Naana's Diamond

8.9

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

50/1

Mr Cool

8.5

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Fan Mail

8.2

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Scatter Penny

7.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Handcuffed	88	95	—
Mythical Composer	86	92	—
Don Pacifico	84	94	78
Mr Fantastic	83	92	—
Hammer The Hammer	82	96	70
Wheels Of Fire	82	93	73
Naana's Diamond	82	97	—
Noble Victory	80	95	78
Bonnie's Boy	78	96	65
Mr Cool	77	96	59
Fan Mail	76	98	82
Invitorio	75	94	—
Scatter Penny	75	97	46
Rare Change	74	94	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Don Pacifico	9d ago	Quick return
Mr Cool	15d ago	Fit
Invitorio	19d ago	Fit
Fan Mail	19d ago	Fit
Scatter Penny	19d ago	Fit
Wheels Of Fire	20d ago	Fit
Noble Victory	20d ago	Fit
Hammer The Hammer	47d ago	Fresh
Naana's Diamond	86d ago	Fresh
Rare Change	186d ago	Long break
Bonnie's Boy	195d ago	Long break
Mr Fantastic	198d ago	Long break
Handcuffed	218d ago	Long break
Mythical Composer	231d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 6f16y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.