Join Southwell Golf Club Novice Stakes (GBB Race) – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

17:15

Join Southwell Golf Club Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2025-04-27

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 3

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £16,200

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (3)	Dixieland Blues Bay J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Harry Davies T:Simon & Ed Crisford	130	—	2-2	-	97	70	20d	—	—	-20	22.7	0.25/1	Evens 50%
Runner-up in both starts, including over C&D on debut; fine chance to go one better
6 (9)	Muhaajim Bay J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	130	—	7	-	85	-	11d	—	—	-12	5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
9-2, finished in midfield on his debut in the Wood Ditton; could take a big step forward
10 (4)	Wicked Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	130	—	6-	-	61	-	194d	—	—	-10	4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Never competitive after a slow start on last October's Yarmouth debut; can do better
8 (6)	Venezuelan Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	130	—	82-	-	88	71	165d	—	—	-1	7.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Runner-up at Lingfield in November; wouldn't need to progress much further to play a part
4 (1)	Grizedale Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:Richard Kingscote T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-5	1.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Plenty to like on pedigree and stable does have winning newcomers; watch market
5 (10)	Jupiter Ammon Chestnut J:Rob Hornby T:Andrew Balding	J:Rob Hornby T:Andrew Balding	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Worth monitoring in the market on debut for in-form yard
1 (8)	Duca Di Lucca Bay J:Ben Sanderson T:S Woods	J:Ben Sanderson T:S Woods	135	t	1-	-	79	40	178d	—	—	+7	11	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Made a successful debut over 7f here in October; extra furlong should suit; tongue-tie on
2 (7)	Aqab Bay J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	130	—	3	-	76	23	89d	—	—	+1	3.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Third on his Wolverhampton debut in January behind a subsequent winner; may need further
7 (2)	Take The A Train Chestnut J:Hector Crouch T:Ed Dunlop	J:Hector Crouch T:Ed Dunlop	130	—	5-	-	56	-	213d	—	—	-1	0.4	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Well beaten on his Newmarket debut last September; looks one for handicaps over further
9 (5)	Vino Sauro Chestnut J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Already gelded but still worth a market check

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Dixieland Blues	evn	10/11	Evens
Muhaajim	4/1	4/1	4/1
Wicked	11/2	9/2	5/1
Venezuelan	11/1	10/1	10/1
Grizedale	11/1	16/1	16/1
Jupiter Ammon	12/1	16/1	16/1
Duca Di Lucca	20/1	22/1	22/1
Aqab	66/1	40/1	40/1
Take The A Train	125/1	50/1	80/1
Vino Sauro	80/1	66/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Dixieland Blues

22.7

OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 14.2

Evens

2nd

Duca Di Lucca

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 1

22/1

3rd

Venezuelan

7.2

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Muhaajim

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Wicked

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Aqab

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Grizedale

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Jupiter Ammon

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Take The A Train

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

125/1

Vino Sauro

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dixieland Blues	—	97	70
Muhaajim	—	85	—
Wicked	—	61	—
Venezuelan	—	88	71
Grizedale	—	—	—
Jupiter Ammon	—	—	—
Duca Di Lucca	—	79	40
Aqab	—	76	23
Take The A Train	—	56	—
Vino Sauro	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Muhaajim	11d ago	Quick return
Dixieland Blues	20d ago	Fit
Aqab	89d ago	Fresh
Venezuelan	165d ago	Long break
Duca Di Lucca	178d ago	Long break
Wicked	194d ago	Long break
Take The A Train	213d ago	Long break
Grizedale	—	—
Jupiter Ammon	—	—
Vino Sauro	—	—

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Muhaajim	Mid-Pack
Wicked	Mid-Pack

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 10 runners classified.

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 5 draws with historical results at this course and distance.