Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Handicap Hurdle

Hereford

15:00

Date 2024-11-12

Distance 2m5f163y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,248

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
11	Greenways Grey J:Ben Poste T:Tom Symonds	J:Ben Poste T:Tom Symonds	142	—	-64436	79	103	83	19d	—	—	-4	15.1	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Should win a race of this nature if learning to settle; has left Dominic Ffrench Davis.
8	Express Surprise Bay J:Adam Wedge T:Clive Boultbee-Brooks	J:Adam Wedge T:Clive Boultbee-Brooks	152	tp	U37-25	89	105	91	26d	—	—	-3	15	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Could well figure with a recent run behind him if responding well to the new headgear.
1	Ted's Friend Bay J:Max Kendrick T:Fergal O'Brien	J:Max Kendrick T:Fergal O'Brien	168	tp	50-P42	105	106	82	39d	—	—	+2	18.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Competitive again lately and remains well handicapped on past form; respected.
3	State Of Fame Bay J:Stan Sheppard T:Tom Lacey	J:Stan Sheppard T:Tom Lacey	165	t	P21-17	102	106	95	25d	—	—	+2	17.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Made a promising stable debut and he's worth considering back up in trip off 2lb lower.
4	New Found Fame Bay J:Liam Harrison T:Kerry Lee	J:Liam Harrison T:Kerry Lee	164	—	244-P4	101	108	95	8d	—	—	+5	15.6	2.00/1	8/1 11%
On a losing run but on a good mark should he build on last week's promising return.
5	Opera King Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	161	v	37-325	99	102	92	19d	—	—	+5	15.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Worth considering back in trip and returned to a quicker surface, with different headgear.
7	Izzy's Grey Grey J:Lee Edwards T:Belinda Clarke	J:Lee Edwards T:Belinda Clarke	155	—	225-45	92	106	86	168d	—	—	+7	11.9	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Has a workable mark, but out of form when last seen; has a bit to prove back from a break.
6	Scintillante Grey J:Ciaran Gethings T:Alastair Ralph	J:Ciaran Gethings T:Alastair Ralph	159	—	525265	97	107	97	33d	—	—	+12	16.5	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Form has dipped on last two starts and he goes up in trip with a bit to prove.
9	G'Day Aussie Bay J:Luke Scott(5) T:Dave Roberts	J:Luke Scott(5) T:Dave Roberts	150	t	1792-4	87	107	79	19d	—	—	+7	10.1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Didn't shape badly on last month's comeback and the drop back in trip will help.
12	Pollyonesock Bay J:Tristan Durrell(3) T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	J:Tristan Durrell(3) T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	142	—	U-PP47	79	99	59	19d	—	—	+6	7.8	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Soundly beaten behind Karakoram latest; difficult to recommend 6lb out of the handicap
NR	Melton Mossy Bay J:NON-RUNNER(7) T:Evan Williams	J:NON-RUNNER(7) T:Evan Williams	167	t	154161	104	102	91	5d	—	—	—	28.5	—	—
Has a bit more on his plate under a penalty but in top form and likely to be in the mix.
NR	Karakoram Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Grace Harris	J:NON-RUNNER T:Grace Harris	144	tp	-43691	81	103	81	19d	—	—	—	18.7	—	—
Back up 6lb but had a few of these behind with a back-to-form win at Ludlow last month.

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Greenways	10/3	3/1	10/3
Express Surprise	9/2	4/1	4/1
Ted's Friend	9/2	9/2	9/2
State Of Fame	5/1	5/1	9/2
New Found Fame	8/1	15/2	15/2
Opera King	7/1	7/1	15/2
Izzy's Grey	18/1	16/1	16/1
Scintillante	20/1	20/1	20/1
G'Day Aussie	28/1	22/1	25/1
Pollyonesock	66/1	40/1	40/1
Melton Mossy	-	-	-
Karakoram	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Melton Mossy

28.5

OR: 13.5 Form: 15 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Ted's Friend

18.8

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Karakoram

18.7

OR: 7.8 Form: 10.9 Odds: 0

—

State Of Fame

17.4

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Scintillante

16.5

OR: 11.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.2

20/1

New Found Fame

15.6

OR: 12.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Greenways

15.1

OR: 7.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Opera King

15.1

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Express Surprise

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Izzy's Grey

11.9

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

G'Day Aussie

10.1

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Pollyonesock

7.8

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ted's Friend	105	106	82
Melton Mossy	104	102	91
State Of Fame	102	106	95
New Found Fame	101	108	95
Opera King	99	102	92
Scintillante	97	107	97
Izzy's Grey	92	106	86
Express Surprise	89	105	91
G'Day Aussie	87	107	79
Karakoram	81	103	81
Greenways	79	103	83
Pollyonesock	79	99	59

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Melton Mossy	5d ago	Quick return
New Found Fame	8d ago	Quick return
Greenways	19d ago	Fit
Opera King	19d ago	Fit
G'Day Aussie	19d ago	Fit
Pollyonesock	19d ago	Fit
Karakoram	19d ago	Fit
State Of Fame	25d ago	Fit
Express Surprise	26d ago	Fit
Scintillante	33d ago	Fit
Ted's Friend	39d ago	Fit
Izzy's Grey	168d ago	Long break