Play Southwell Golf Course Handicap (Div I) – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

19:00

Play Southwell Golf Course Handicap (Div I)

Date 2024-09-26

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,711

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
11 (8)	Have You A Minute Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Tom Tate	J:Tom Eaves T:Tom Tate	130	—	531-91	55	73	60	31d	—	—	-11	6.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Got up in the final strides over C&D last month, taking AW record to 8311; respected
3 (10)	King Of York Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Scott Dixon	139	p	467770	64	76	49	11d	—	—	-5	6.8	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Consistent early this year, winning twice here; not in the same form since April
7 (11)	Triggerman Bay J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	137	p	466234	66	71	49	30d	—	—	0	11.9	1.50/1	6/1 14%
In-form 3yo maiden; has the ability to get involved, provided he stays this new trip
10 (4)	Havana Smoke Grey J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dylan Cunha	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dylan Cunha	132	—	835226	61	71	50	16d	—	—	+1	12.7	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Maiden; close second in July/August, including over C&D; that form puts him in the picture
2 (3)	Covert Legend Bay J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:Tjade Collier	J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:Tjade Collier	140	tb	661092	65	74	52	19d	—	—	+3	15.1	1.75/1	7/1 13%
May remain competitive provided he takes to new headgear and new track (first run here)
5 (5)	Embarked Bay J:Mikkel Mortensen(5) T:Scott Dixon	J:Mikkel Mortensen(5) T:Scott Dixon	138	b	256233	63	75	66	27d	—	—	+5	13	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Respectable third over C&D last time; possibilities with Mikkel Mortensen taking off 5lb
1 (9)	Bicep Bay J:Harrison Shaw T:Grant Tuer	J:Harrison Shaw T:Grant Tuer	142	—	066258	67	71	56	9d	—	—	+1	9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Best efforts this year when runner-up over 6f/7f at this venue; bit to prove back at 1m
9 (1)	King Sharja Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	134	—	441199	59	73	40	16d	—	—	+6	12	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Two wins at Beverley this summer; still has something to prove on AW
12 (2)	Amayretto Chestnut J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	128	—	-56025	57	71	65	10d	—	—	0	7.4	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Inconsistent this season but ran creditably here on penultimate outing
4 (12)	Outrace Chestnut J:Tyrese Cameron(7) T:Richard Hannon	J:Tyrese Cameron(7) T:Richard Hannon	138	—	-65640	63	72	51	10d	—	—	0	4.5	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Has a modest strike-rate; not certain to take advantage of reduced mark
6 (7)	Big Narstie b/br J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	137	t	113507	62	71	62	23d	—	—	+4	6.7	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Three AW wins early this year; ran poorly here this month on return from layoff
8 (6)	Jersey Rocs Bay J:William Cox T:Charles Hills	J:William Cox T:Charles Hills	135	—	29-809	64	69	-	40d	—	—	+2	3.9	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Second to useful rival on 2yo debut; has failed to match that form since

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Have You A Minute	4/1	7/2	4/1
King Of York	7/1	6/1	6/1
Triggerman	6/1	6/1	6/1
Havana Smoke	6/1	13/2	6/1
Covert Legend	7/1	7/1	13/2
Embarked	10/1	10/1	10/1
Bicep	9/1	10/1	10/1
King Sharja	12/1	11/1	11/1
Amayretto	11/1	10/1	11/1
Outrace	20/1	20/1	20/1
Big Narstie	25/1	28/1	28/1
Jersey Rocs	66/1	50/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Covert Legend

15.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 8 Odds: 3.3

7/1

2nd

Embarked

OR: 3.3 Form: 7.6 Odds: 2.1

10/1

3rd

Havana Smoke

12.7

OR: 2.8 Form: 6.6 Odds: 3.3

13/2

King Sharja

OR: 2.3 Form: 8 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Triggerman

11.9

OR: 4 Form: 4.6 Odds: 3.3

6/1

Bicep

OR: 4.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Amayretto

7.4

OR: 1.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.1

11/1

King Of York

6.8

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Big Narstie

6.7

OR: 3 Form: 2.9 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Have You A Minute

6.5

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Outrace

4.5

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Jersey Rocs

3.9

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bicep	67	71	56
Triggerman	66	71	49
Covert Legend	65	74	52
King Of York	64	76	49
Jersey Rocs	64	69	—
Embarked	63	75	66
Outrace	63	72	51
Big Narstie	62	71	62
Havana Smoke	61	71	50
King Sharja	59	73	40
Amayretto	57	71	65
Have You A Minute	55	73	60

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bicep	9d ago	Quick return
Amayretto	10d ago	Quick return
Outrace	10d ago	Quick return
King Of York	11d ago	Quick return
Havana Smoke	16d ago	Fit
King Sharja	16d ago	Fit
Covert Legend	19d ago	Fit
Big Narstie	23d ago	Fit
Embarked	27d ago	Fit
Triggerman	30d ago	Fit
Have You A Minute	31d ago	Fit
Jersey Rocs	40d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 5 draws with historical results at this course and distance.