Get Raceday Ready Fillies' Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

17:00

Get Raceday Ready Fillies' Handicap

Date 2024-09-26

Distance 1m4f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,716

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (4)	Molten Sea Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	132	—	8641	65	76	-	12d	—	—	-11	25.2	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Won on handicap debut and second has won since; a 3lb rise doesn't look enough to stop her
7 (3)	Miss Monte Carlo Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Ed Walker	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Ed Walker	134	—	22425	67	71	56	38d	—	—	-5	16.9	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Only fifth latest but claims on 1m4f Leicester second prior to that
4 (8)	Kinetic Bay J:Laura Pearson T:James Owen	J:Laura Pearson T:James Owen	135	—	421114	68	71	57	7d	—	—	+10	24.9	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Completed 1m4f hat-trick for new yard in August; stamina possibly stretched by 1m6f latest
3 (1)	Dance Time Bay J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:David Loughnane	J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:David Loughnane	137	—	25-347	63	75	-	48d	—	—	-4	6.1	2.13/1	17/2 11%
This summer's turf runs have been respectable; won off this mark on previous C&D start
2 (7)	Switchel Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Hughie Morrison	J:Callum Shepherd T:Hughie Morrison	139	ht	8-7285	65	72	-	43d	—	—	-2	5.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Her second to progressive Quietness in July reads well but below that level twice since
9 (10)	Nancy P Bay J:Robert Havlin T:S Woods	J:Robert Havlin T:S Woods	129	—	341555	62	71	47	15d	—	—	+3	7.2	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Won Lingfield handicap in June but hasn't built on that since; others are more obvious
10 (9)	Altanera Grey J:Silvestre De Sousa T:David Simcock	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:David Simcock	127	—	008	60	64	49	23d	—	—	-1	3.9	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Well beaten all three runs but good pedigree provides hope for improvement in handicaps
1 (6)	Fox Flame Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	141	v	458495	67	74	58	27d	—	—	+1	5.3	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Dual course winner but not at her best lately
6 (5)	Tango Sunset Chestnut J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Roger Teal	J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Roger Teal	134	—	9055	67	68	26	22d	—	—	+3	4.7	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Has shown ability on Kempton's Polytrack the last twice; handicap debut
NR (2)	Polar Princess Chestnut J:Connor Planas(3) T:Philip Kirby	J:Connor Planas(3) T:Philip Kirby	134	t	946363	60	73	47	27d	—	—	—	7	—	—
Decent course form but 1-9 overall and vulnerable to improvers among the 3yos

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Molten Sea	11/8	13/8	13/8
Miss Monte Carlo	3/1	11/4	5/2
Kinetic	6/1	11/2	11/2
Dance Time	17/2	8/1	8/1
Switchel	12/1	11/1	12/1
Nancy P	20/1	22/1	22/1
Altanera	14/1	18/1	18/1
Fox Flame	20/1	20/1	18/1
Tango Sunset	66/1	40/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Molten Sea

25.2

OR: 3.8 Form: 10 Odds: 11.4

13/8

2nd

Kinetic

24.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 16 Odds: 4.4

6/1

3rd

Miss Monte Carlo

16.9

OR: 4.3 Form: 6 Odds: 6.7

3/1

Nancy P

7.2

OR: 3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Polar Princess

OR: 2.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 0

—

Dance Time

6.1

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Switchel

5.9

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Fox Flame

5.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Tango Sunset

4.7

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Altanera

3.9

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Kinetic	68	71	57
Miss Monte Carlo	67	71	56
Fox Flame	67	74	58
Tango Sunset	67	68	26
Molten Sea	65	76	—
Switchel	65	72	—
Dance Time	63	75	—
Nancy P	62	71	47
Altanera	60	64	49
Polar Princess	60	73	47

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Kinetic	7d ago	Quick return
Molten Sea	12d ago	Quick return
Nancy P	15d ago	Fit
Tango Sunset	22d ago	Fit
Altanera	23d ago	Fit
Fox Flame	27d ago	Fit
Polar Princess	27d ago	Fit
Miss Monte Carlo	38d ago	Fit
Switchel	43d ago	Fit
Dance Time	48d ago	Fresh