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Newcastle (AW)

19:45

tote.co.uk Howay The Lasses Racing League R33 Handicap (Trainers Registered To Racing League)

Date 2024-08-22
Distance 1m5y
Class Class 3
Going Standard To Slow
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £25,770

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
8 (6)
Storm Star
Chestnut
J:David Probert
T:Andrew Balding
J:David Probert
T:Andrew Balding
 130 — 1432
85
96
59
 28d — — +3
25.5
0.88/1
7/2
22%
Won here on debut (6f) and went close in 7f turf h'cap latest; every chance he'll stay 1m
6 (5)
So Deuce
Bay
J:Daniel Muscutt
T:Roger Varian
J:Daniel Muscutt
T:Roger Varian
 133 h 7-416
88
93
-
 41d — — -1
13.5
1.50/1
6/1
14%
Well beaten on handicap debut but at unique Chester; retains potential for top trainer
7 (13)
Al Rufaa
Bay
J:Sean Levey
T:Daniel & Claire Kubler
J:Sean Levey
T:Daniel & Claire Kubler
 131 h 964002
80
103
80
 8d — — +3
16.5
1.50/1
6/1
14%
Short-headed when back on AW last week and could be in the mix off the same mark
3 (3)
Tolstoy
Bay
J:Ben Robinson
T:Brian Ellison
J:Ben Robinson
T:Brian Ellison
 137 — 501116
86
98
-
 26d — — +16
27.3
1.88/1
15/2
12%
Hat-trick of wins at York this summer and he's effective on Tapeta; one to consider
9 (11)
Lough Leane
Bay
J:Jack Mitchell
T:David Simcock
J:Jack Mitchell
T:David Simcock
 128 — 152323
77
96
74
 21d — — +8
19.3
2.13/1
17/2
11%
AW five-timer earlier this year; running well in defeat this summer; could be thereabouts
11 (2)
Glam Squad
Grey
J:Harry Davies
T:Charlie Fellowes
J:Harry Davies
T:Charlie Fellowes
 120 — -90811
75
96
81
 21d — — +15
26.3
2.25/1
9/1
10%
Has won his last two; he's up in grade today but this 3yo is clearly progressive
5 (7)
Nikovo
Bay
J:David Nolan
T:David O'Meara
J:David Nolan
T:David O'Meara
 137 — 113146
86
95
52
 46d — — +12
18.6
4.00/1
16/1
6%
Three wins from first four runs for this yard; progress has rather stalled the last twice
2 (9)
Benacre
Bay
J:Andrew Mullen
T:Charlie Johnston
J:Andrew Mullen
T:Charlie Johnston
 138 — 038420
87
100
-
 20d — — +9
15.1
4.00/1
16/1
6%
Lightly raced on AW but with encouraging results; could run a big race off a handy mark
1 (4)
Eldrickjones
Bay
J:Brandon Wilkie(5)
T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray
J:Brandon Wilkie(5)
T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray
 138 — 100589
87
101
74
 19d — 0W/1P 1 run +5
11
4.00/1
16/1
6%
No threat on turf the last twice but has won three times here in the past 12 months
12 (12)
Lahab
Bay
J:Faye McManoman
T:Michael Wigham
J:Faye McManoman
T:Michael Wigham
 119 — 537777
68
95
-
 14d — — +2
6.3
5.00/1
20/1
5%
Runner-up over C&D in March and now 9lb lower, but merely seventh on last four outings
4 (14)
Riot
Bay
J:Cieren Fallon
T:David O'Meara
J:Cieren Fallon
T:David O'Meara
 137 tp 140150
86
96
-
 26d — — +10
15.4
5.50/1
22/1
4%
All wins at 7f but seems to stay 1m; has won twice this year and might not be far away
10 (10)
Charencey
Chestnut
J:Ryan Kavanagh(7)
T:Ian Williams
J:Ryan Kavanagh(7)
T:Ian Williams
 125 — 732103
74
96
-
 17d — — +13
17.2
7.00/1
28/1
3%
Two wins this year; fair 3rd of five at Carlisle last time but others are more compelling
13 (1)
Alpine Sierra
Brown
J:Amie Waugh(5)
T:Jim Goldie
J:Amie Waugh(5)
T:Jim Goldie
 118 h 354424
67
96
-
 14d — — +6
8.5
8.25/1
33/1
3%
Running well in defeat over 7f on turf and is also effective at 1m; each-way possibilities
14 (8)
Rainwater
Bay
J:Cam Hardie
T:Richard Fahey
J:Cam Hardie
T:Richard Fahey
 114 p 446725
69
94
56
 14d — — +6
9
12.50/1
50/1
2%
3yo who was runner-up at Chester last month but merely fifth at Chepstow since; now 0-7
Horse bet365 Coral Virgin Bet
Storm Star
 7/2 7/2 7/2
So Deuce
 6/1 11/2 6/1
Al Rufaa
 6/1 11/2 6/1
Tolstoy
 15/2 7/1 15/2
Lough Leane
 8/1 17/2 8/1
Glam Squad
 9/1 9/1 9/1
Nikovo
 16/1 12/1 14/1
Benacre
 16/1 16/1 16/1
Eldrickjones
 16/1 16/1 16/1
Lahab
 20/1 20/1 20/1
Riot
 22/1 18/1 20/1
Charencey
 28/1 22/1 28/1
Alpine Sierra
 33/1 33/1 33/1
Rainwater
 50/1 40/1 40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Tolstoy
27.3
OR: 9 Form: 15 Odds: 3.3
15/2
2nd Glam Squad
26.3
OR: 6.3 Form: 17 Odds: 3.1
9/1
3rd Storm Star
25.5
OR: 8.8 Form: 10.1 Odds: 6.7
7/2
4 Lough Leane
19.3
OR: 6.8 Form: 9.5 Odds: 3.1
17/2
5 Nikovo
18.6
OR: 9 Form: 7.9 Odds: 1.7
16/1
6 Charencey
17.2
OR: 6 Form: 10.1 Odds: 1.1
28/1
7 Al Rufaa
16.5
OR: 7.5 Form: 5 Odds: 4
6/1
8 Riot
15.4
OR: 9 Form: 5 Odds: 1.4
22/1
9 Benacre
15.1
OR: 9.3 Form: 4.1 Odds: 1.7
16/1
10 So Deuce
13.5
OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4
6/1
11 Eldrickjones
11
OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7
16/1
12 Rainwater
9
OR: 4.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.7
50/1
13 Alpine Sierra
8.5
OR: 4.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.8
33/1
14 Lahab
6.3
OR: 4.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.2
20/1

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
So Deuce
88
93
 —
Benacre
87
100
 —
Eldrickjones
87
101
74
Tolstoy
86
98
 —
Nikovo
86
95
52
Riot
86
96
 —
Storm Star
85
96
59
Al Rufaa
80
103
80
Lough Leane
77
96
74
Glam Squad
75
96
81
Charencey
74
96
 —
Rainwater
69
94
56
Lahab
68
95
 —
Alpine Sierra
67
96
 —

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Al Rufaa 8d ago Quick return
Lahab 14d ago Fit
Alpine Sierra 14d ago Fit
Rainwater 14d ago Fit
Charencey 17d ago Fit
Eldrickjones 19d ago Fit
Benacre 20d ago Fit
Lough Leane 21d ago Fit
Glam Squad 21d ago Fit
Tolstoy 26d ago Fit
Riot 26d ago Fit
Storm Star 28d ago Fit
So Deuce 41d ago Fit
Nikovo 46d ago Fresh