tote.co.uk's Canny Good Like Racing League R31 Handicap (Trainers Registered To Racing League)

Newcastle (AW)

18:45

Date 2024-08-22

Distance 5f

Class Class 4

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £18,039

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (3)	Mattice Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	130	p	404075	72	90	59	17d	—	—	-4	9.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Fourth in a 0-105 handicap here in June and now 6lb lower; big run on the cards
1 (6)	Accrual Grey J:David Probert T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:David Probert T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	138	—	71122	82	91	54	26d	—	—	+15	28.5	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Unexposed 3yo whose latest second has been well franked since; more to come; major player
7 (8)	Castan Chestnut J:Paul Mulrennan T:Bryan Smart	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Bryan Smart	130	—	997805	72	91	69	7d	—	—	-4	9.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Conditions to suit, on a good mark and latest effort was promising; shortlist material
3 (7)	The Coffee Pod Bay J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	135	p	341438	79	89	-	3d	—	—	+2	16.4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
York winner last month; next two runs fair enough & had excuse on Monday; others stronger
4 (13)	Juicy Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:Richard Spencer	J:Cieren Fallon T:Richard Spencer	135	—	1-247	77	94	72	113d	—	—	+5	17.4	1.75/1	7/1 13%
AW maiden winner; luckless run over C&D on h'cap debut; low-key on turf in May; can revive
6 (11)	Fidelius Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Robert Cowell	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Robert Cowell	131	—	231412	75	88	64	19d	—	—	+14	24.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Progressing at modest level; latest 2nd came behind an unexposed filly; up in class today
5 (4)	Bright Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Mark Loughnane	J:Finley Marsh T:Mark Loughnane	133	—	576831	75	90	55	28d	—	—	+11	21	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Ran on well to win a 6f h'cap at Doncaster last month; effective at 5f/on AW; e-w claims
12 (5)	Macanudo Bay J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Ian Williams	J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Ian Williams	125	v	722422	69	90	-	3d	—	—	+9	18.3	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Banging at the door but he will need to raise his game a notch to win this deep sprint
2 (14)	Faro De San Juan Bay J:Harry Davies T:Dylan Cunha	J:Harry Davies T:Dylan Cunha	136	tb	-03661	78	90	-	24d	—	—	+13	19.8	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Two good runs since dropped back to 5f; promise on AW in France; stiff 5f should suit
10 (9)	Northern Spirit Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	129	p	844937	71	89	74	19d	—	—	+1	9.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
On a dangerous mark but the drop to 5f didn't help him last time
14 (12)	South Parade Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	123	—	-56431	67	93	-	13d	—	—	+12	18.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Broke track record when making all at Thirsk 13 days ago (6f); up in class & down in trip
13 (10)	Water Of Leith Bay J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Jim Goldie	J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Jim Goldie	124	—	232541	66	90	64	17d	—	—	+13	17.3	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Coming here on the back of a turf win; will need luck in running back at 5f
9 (1)	Lady Celia Bay J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:Alan Brown	J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:Alan Brown	129	—	69-141	71	89	70	40d	—	—	+3	6	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Conditions no problem but she's now 6lb higher than when winning a Class 6 last month
11 (2)	Stone Circle Chestnut J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Michael Bell	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Michael Bell	126	—	-39683	68	89	-	15d	—	—	+7	8.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
0-9 on AW; type to exploit reduced mark soon but perhaps in a less-demanding race

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Mattice	8/1	7/1	7/1
Accrual	15/2	13/2	13/2
Castan	15/2	7/1	7/1
The Coffee Pod	6/1	13/2	13/2
Juicy	7/1	13/2	7/1
Fidelius	17/2	8/1	17/2
Bright	10/1	10/1	10/1
Macanudo	10/1	11/1	11/1
Faro De San Juan	12/1	12/1	14/1
Northern Spirit	14/1	12/1	12/1
South Parade	16/1	16/1	16/1
Water Of Leith	22/1	20/1	20/1
Lady Celia	33/1	33/1	33/1
Stone Circle	50/1	40/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Accrual

28.5

OR: 8 Form: 16.5 Odds: 4

15/2

2nd

Fidelius

24.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 15.6 Odds: 3.1

17/2

3rd

Bright

OR: 6.3 Form: 12.1 Odds: 2.7

10/1

Faro De San Juan

19.8

OR: 7 Form: 10.9 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Macanudo

18.3

OR: 4.8 Form: 11 Odds: 2.5

11/1

South Parade

18.1

OR: 4.3 Form: 12.1 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Juicy

17.4

OR: 6.8 Form: 7 Odds: 3.6

7/1

Water Of Leith

17.3

OR: 4 Form: 12.1 Odds: 1.2

22/1

The Coffee Pod

16.4

OR: 7.3 Form: 5.1 Odds: 4

13/2

Northern Spirit

9.7

OR: 5.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.4

14/1

Mattice

9.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

8/1

Castan

9.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

15/2

Stone Circle

8.6

OR: 4.5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Lady Celia

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Accrual	82	91	54
The Coffee Pod	79	89	—
Faro De San Juan	78	90	—
Juicy	77	94	72
Fidelius	75	88	64
Bright	75	90	55
Mattice	72	90	59
Castan	72	91	69
Northern Spirit	71	89	74
Lady Celia	71	89	70
Macanudo	69	90	—
Stone Circle	68	89	—
South Parade	67	93	—
Water Of Leith	66	90	64

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
The Coffee Pod	3d ago	Quick return
Macanudo	3d ago	Quick return
Castan	7d ago	Quick return
South Parade	13d ago	Quick return
Stone Circle	15d ago	Fit
Mattice	17d ago	Fit
Water Of Leith	17d ago	Fit
Fidelius	19d ago	Fit
Northern Spirit	19d ago	Fit
Faro De San Juan	24d ago	Fit
Accrual	26d ago	Fit
Bright	28d ago	Fit
Lady Celia	40d ago	Fit
Juicy	113d ago	Long break