Long Shot Refresher Fillies' Handicap – Newmarket (July)

Newmarket (July)

20:10

Long Shot Refresher Fillies' Handicap

Date 2024-06-28

Distance 6f

Class Class 4

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £6,700

Runners (5)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (1)	Ananda Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	141	h	41/22	84	92	74	21d	—	—	-11	16.9	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Two solid efforts since returning from lengthy absence; still open to further progress
2 (4)	Gutsy Girl Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Rob Hornby T:Charlie Fellowes	135	—	41-3	85	86	77	25d	—	—	-10	21.8	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Ran well on seasonal debut (held a Group 1 entry at the time); should have more to offer
5 (3)	Rosy Affair Bay J:William Buick T:George Boughey	J:William Buick T:George Boughey	130	—	2121	80	91	62	20d	—	—	+14	32.9	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Far from straightforward at Chepstow last time but managed to win; improving filly
3 (5)	Thursday's Child Bay J:Sean Levey T:Micky Hammond	J:Sean Levey T:Micky Hammond	133	—	1140	83	90	60	14d	—	—	+9	18.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Ran well in her hat-trick attempt but form dipped sharply last time
4 (2)	Exponista Bay J:David Egan T:David Loughnane	J:David Egan T:David Loughnane	132	—	16-008	82	83	36	23d	—	—	+4	9.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Holds weak claims on 2024 form and looks likely to struggle

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Ananda	15/8	15/8	15/8
Gutsy Girl	7/4	7/4	13/8
Rosy Affair	10/3	10/3	10/3
Thursday's Child	9/1	17/2	9/1
Exponista	16/1	16/1	16/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Rosy Affair

32.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 20 Odds: 5.4

10/3

2nd

Gutsy Girl

21.8

OR: 8.8 Form: 3 Odds: 10

7/4

3rd

Thursday's Child

18.9

OR: 8.3 Form: 8 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Ananda

16.9

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

15/8

Exponista

9.4

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Gutsy Girl	85	86	77
Ananda	84	92	74
Thursday's Child	83	90	60
Exponista	82	83	36
Rosy Affair	80	91	62

Last Run