Long Shot Seltzer Spring Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) – Newmarket (July)

Newmarket (July)

18:25

Long Shot Seltzer Spring Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2024-06-28

Distance 1m

Class Class 4

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,154

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (3)	Rainbows Edge Chestnut J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	135	—	1	-	81	-	97d	—	—	-16	22.5	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Royal runner who made a winning debut in Newcastle maiden three months ago; respected
5 (1)	Inherit Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Sir Michael Stoute	J:Richard Kingscote T:Sir Michael Stoute	128	—	7-3	-	85	56	16d	—	—	-13	9.7	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Very close third at Yarmouth on reappearance; should improve further; leading claims
7 (5)	Morrophore Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Kieran O'Neill T:John & Thady Gosden	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Kingman half-sister to four winners; stablemate of Rainbows Edge; check the betting
9 (2)	Supreme Beauty Bay J:Harry Davies T:Michael Appleby	J:Harry Davies T:Michael Appleby	128	—	3-	-	81	56	300d	—	—	-5	6.1	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Promising third at Beverley for James Horton; sold for 130,000gns since; possibilities
6 (4)	Inversion Grey J:Rob Hornby T:Harry Charlton	J:Rob Hornby T:Harry Charlton	128	h	7-	-	45	31	267d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Should improve on her 2yo effort; related to numerous winners for her connections
4 (9)	Bernalda Chestnut J:David Egan T:James Ferguson	J:David Egan T:James Ferguson	128	—	6	-	64	39	16d	—	—	-4	1.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
About 5l behind Inherit at Yarmouth but looks open to improvement
3 (8)	Absolutely Buzzing Bay J:Sean Levey T:Michael Wigham	J:Sean Levey T:Michael Wigham	128	—	88-	-	66	-	217d	—	—	-2	0.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Needs to improve on her Irish efforts; joined new connections for 3,000gns
1 (6)	Poppydora Chestnut J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:William Knight	J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:William Knight	138	—	70	-	48	11	16d	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Holds poor claims on her middle-distance efforts
NR (7)	Prevail Chestnut J:TBC T:Sir Michael Stoute	J: T:Sir Michael Stoute	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—	—
Filly by Ulysses out of a Listed winner; connections also run Inherit; market helpful

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Rainbows Edge	11/8	6/5	5/4
Inherit	11/4	11/4	11/4
Morrophore	8/1	7/1	15/2
Supreme Beauty	7/1	7/1	7/1
Inversion	8/1	9/1	9/1
Bernalda	16/1	14/1	14/1
Absolutely Buzzing	33/1	33/1	33/1
Poppydora	200/1	150/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Rainbows Edge

22.5

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 12.5

11/8

2nd

Inherit

9.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 6.7

11/4

3rd

Supreme Beauty

6.1

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Morrophore

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Inversion

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Bernalda

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Absolutely Buzzing

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Poppydora

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Prevail

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Rainbows Edge	—	81	—
Inherit	—	85	56
Morrophore	—	—	—
Supreme Beauty	—	81	56
Inversion	—	45	31
Bernalda	—	64	39
Absolutely Buzzing	—	66	—
Poppydora	—	48	11
Prevail	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Inherit	16d ago	Fit
Bernalda	16d ago	Fit
Poppydora	16d ago	Fit
Rainbows Edge	97d ago	Long break
Absolutely Buzzing	217d ago	Long break
Inversion	267d ago	Long break
Supreme Beauty	300d ago	Long break
Morrophore	—	—
Prevail	—	—