Get The Inside Track With raceday-ready.com Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:30

Get The Inside Track With raceday-ready.com Handicap

Date 2024-05-12

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 3

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £14,394

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (8)	Eldrickjones Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Oisin Murphy T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	129	—	2315-2	85	103	89	14d	—	0W/1P 1 run	0	19.5	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Two course wins last year; promising 2nd at Southwell last time; O Murphy retains the ride
8 (6)	Longlai Bay J:Franny Norton T:Michael Wigham	J:Franny Norton T:Michael Wigham	126	—	3/1P-2	82	106	73	44d	—	—	+4	18.9	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Promising reappearance at Chelmsford (form franked); drop to 7f should be fine; big chance
10 (9)	Billy Mill Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Rod Millman	J:Saffie Osborne T:Rod Millman	123	—	031133	79	108	97	29d	—	—	+12	24.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Conditions to suit and he comes here in good form; unlikely to be far away
2 (1)	Noble Order Bay J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	134	—	/13/10	90	105	92	22d	—	—	+3	12.7	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Impressed over 1m here on stable debut in February; bled when flopping at Newbury since
5 (7)	Zip Roan J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	131	v	-55642	87	104	86	15d	—	—	+9	16.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Three-time C&D winner; comes here on the back of good turf second off this mark; contender
1 (4)	Farasi Lane Bay J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	135	p	68-210	91	103	87	8d	—	—	+5	12.2	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Two good AW runs for new yard before a weak finish at Newmarket last weekend; e-w shout
6 (10)	Love De Vega Chestnut J:Jason Hart T:Charlie Johnston	J:Jason Hart T:Charlie Johnston	130	—	531705	86	105	80	9d	—	—	+8	14.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Two Chelmsford wins this year; fair run in a good Newmarket handicap latest; down in class
9 (3)	Swiss Ace Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Ruth Carr	J:Joanna Mason T:Ruth Carr	125	—	356622	81	102	76	14d	—	—	+12	18	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Conditions to suit and comes here on the back of two good Southwell runs; up in class
11 (11)	Northern Spirit Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Brian Ellison	J:Cam Hardie T:Brian Ellison	119	p	33-844	75	103	84	14d	—	—	+3	7.3	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Goes well at the track but all wins at 6f; work to do with Eldrickjones on latest run
4 (5)	Obelix Bay J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	131	p	2560-0	87	95	-	26d	—	—	+7	10.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Course winner; low-key stable debut at Newmarket last month; others look more solid
3 (2)	Mascapone Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:David Simcock	J:Callum Shepherd T:David Simcock	133	h	4134/	89	103	-	582d	—	—	+15	17.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
6f AW win at two; good 4th at Newmarket when last seen but that was 582 days ago; hood now

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Eldrickjones	3/1	3/1	3/1
Longlai	4/1	4/1	4/1
Billy Mill	11/2	11/2	11/2
Noble Order	7/1	7/1	7/1
Zip	9/1	9/1	9/1
Farasi Lane	10/1	10/1	10/1
Love De Vega	10/1	10/1	10/1
Swiss Ace	11/1	11/1	11/1
Northern Spirit	18/1	18/1	18/1
Obelix	22/1	22/1	22/1
Mascapone	25/1	25/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Billy Mill

24.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 13.7 Odds: 3.3

11/2

2nd

Eldrickjones

19.5

OR: 8.8 Form: 5 Odds: 5.7

3/1

3rd

Longlai

18.9

OR: 8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 4.4

4/1

Swiss Ace

OR: 7.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Mascapone

17.6

OR: 9.8 Form: 7.1 Odds: 0.8

25/1

Zip

16.4

OR: 9.3 Form: 5 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Love De Vega

14.5

OR: 9 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1.9

10/1

Noble Order

12.7

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

7/1

Farasi Lane

12.2

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

10/1

Obelix

10.1

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Northern Spirit

7.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

18/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Farasi Lane	91	103	87
Noble Order	90	105	92
Mascapone	89	103	—
Zip	87	104	86
Obelix	87	95	—
Love De Vega	86	105	80
Eldrickjones	85	103	89
Longlai	82	106	73
Swiss Ace	81	102	76
Billy Mill	79	108	97
Northern Spirit	75	103	84

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Farasi Lane	8d ago	Quick return
Love De Vega	9d ago	Quick return
Eldrickjones	14d ago	Fit
Swiss Ace	14d ago	Fit
Northern Spirit	14d ago	Fit
Zip	15d ago	Fit
Noble Order	22d ago	Fit
Obelix	26d ago	Fit
Billy Mill	29d ago	Fit
Longlai	44d ago	Fit
Mascapone	582d ago	Long break