Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

Newcastle (AW)

15:42

Date 2024-05-12

Distance 6f

Class Class 3

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £14,850

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (6)	Jungle Land Brown J:Daniel Tudhope T:K R Burke	J:Daniel Tudhope T:K R Burke	132	—	2	-	79	-	10d	—	—	-10	11.2	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Didn't justify market confidence on debut ten days ago but shaped well amidst inexperience
9 (4)	Storm Star Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	132	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-13	5.3	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Dam a Stewards' Cup and Group 3 winner; starts out at a realistic level; one to consider
6 (1)	Naepoint Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Edward Bethell	J:Connor Beasley T:Edward Bethell	132	—	3-	-	75	43	202d	—	—	-8	7.4	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Promise amidst greenness on Wolverhampton debut 202 days ago; can do much better this year
10 (8)	Treasure Time Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	132	—	92-	-	80	26	214d	—	—	-6	9.4	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Gelded after debut and shaped much better when 2nd at Kempton (7f) in October; unexposed
7 (9)	Nazionale Bay J:Joe Leavy(5) T:Richard Hannon	J:Joe Leavy(5) T:Richard Hannon	132	—	35	-	77	41	16d	—	—	-5	4.8	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Promising debut; better than the result at Doncaster last time too; interesting down to 6f
5 (2)	Moon Man Bay J:Mark Winn(3) T:David O'Meara	J:Mark Winn(3) T:David O'Meara	132	p	223	75	79	43	10d	—	—	+12	16.3	4.50/1	18/1 5%
2 promising 6f runs at Southwell before lesser turf run (behind Jungle Land); headgear now
8 (3)	Novation Bay J:David Allan T:Gay Kelleway	J:David Allan T:Gay Kelleway	132	p	443-6	72	72	34	129d	—	—	+3	6.4	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Promise over 5f at two; beaten fav on h'cap debut in January; vulnerable on stable debut
2 (5)	Formby Chestnut J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	132	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Well-related newcomer but has a fair standard to aim at & perhaps one for the longer term
1 (7)	Fiona's Ridge Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:John Wainwright	J:Paul Mulrennan T:John Wainwright	142	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Bred to be useful but he looks best watched on this belated debut
11 (11)	Port And Starburd Bay J:Sam James T:Craig Lidster	J:Sam James T:Craig Lidster	127	—	4-6	-	55	-	7d	—	—	0	0.2	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Modest form in two 5f runs 370 days apart; handicaps more suitable after this
NR (10)	Midnight's Dream Bay J:TBC T:Roger Varian	J: T:Roger Varian	132	—	2-6	-	67	22	16d	—	—	—	3.5	—	—
Likely he's better than we've seen in two 7f runs but others boast more pressing claims

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Jungle Land	11/4	11/4	11/4
Storm Star	10/3	10/3	10/3
Naepoint	4/1	4/1	4/1
Treasure Time	4/1	4/1	4/1
Nazionale	7/1	7/1	7/1
Moon Man	18/1	18/1	18/1
Novation	22/1	22/1	22/1
Formby	50/1	50/1	50/1
Fiona's Ridge	100/1	100/1	100/1
Port And Starburd	125/1	125/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Moon Man

16.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 9 Odds: 1.1

18/1

2nd

Jungle Land

11.2

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 6.2

11/4

3rd

Treasure Time

9.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

4/1

Naepoint

7.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 4.4

4/1

Novation

6.4

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Storm Star

5.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.3

10/3

Nazionale

4.8

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.7

7/1

Midnight's Dream

3.5

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0

—

Formby

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

50/1

Fiona's Ridge

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

100/1

Port And Starburd

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

125/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Moon Man	75	79	43
Novation	72	72	34
Jungle Land	—	79	—
Storm Star	—	—	—
Naepoint	—	75	43
Treasure Time	—	80	26
Nazionale	—	77	41
Formby	—	—	—
Fiona's Ridge	—	—	—
Port And Starburd	—	55	—
Midnight's Dream	—	67	22

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Port And Starburd	7d ago	Quick return
Jungle Land	10d ago	Quick return
Moon Man	10d ago	Quick return
Nazionale	16d ago	Fit
Midnight's Dream	16d ago	Fit
Novation	129d ago	Long break
Naepoint	202d ago	Long break
Treasure Time	214d ago	Long break
Storm Star	—	—
Formby	—	—
Fiona's Ridge	—	—