Glynn Carroll Handicap Hurdle (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)

Musselburgh

16:35

Date 2024-02-03

Distance 1m7f124y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £7,922

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10	Superbolt Grey J:Brian Hughes T:A J Martin	J:Brian Hughes T:A J Martin	150	t	648	104	116	68	34d	—	—	-5	21.5	0.50/1	2/1 33%
One run in Ireland reads well with a view to this initial mark; unexposed on this ground
9	Bashful Bay J:Conor O'Farrell T:Iain Jardine	J:Conor O'Farrell T:Iain Jardine	151	tp	1234-4	93	116	99	—	—	—	-4	16.9	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Fairly useful on Flat; being held up off a strong pace here would play to his strengths
7	Cancan Bay J:Bruce Lynn(3) T:N W Alexander	J:Bruce Lynn(3) T:N W Alexander	158	—	28/P25	100	115	96	33d	—	—	+5	15.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Needs to find a bit on her recent course efforts and others are less exposed
3	Langton Wold Bay J:Henry Brooke T:Brian Ellison	J:Henry Brooke T:Brian Ellison	166	—	221	108	107	78	39d	—	—	+23	33.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
1-12 on Flat; Sedgefield maiden winner; challenging mark but he has momentum behind him
5	Restandbethankful Brown J:Sean Quinlan T:Lizzie Quinlan	J:Sean Quinlan T:Lizzie Quinlan	164	t	124222	106	113	108	33d	—	—	+20	28.4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Comes here in a run of good form, including back hurdling latest on heavy ground not ideal
4	Can't Stop Now Chestnut J:Danny McMenamin T:Iain Jardine	J:Danny McMenamin T:Iain Jardine	165	h	35410-	107	112	103	—	—	—	+19	23.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Can be his own worst enemy (pulls hard) but the ability is there to take a hand
1	Lively Citizen Bay J:Harry Atkins(7) T:D J Jeffreys	J:Harry Atkins(7) T:D J Jeffreys	170	—	4-164F	112	118	-	29d	—	—	+11	17.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Unlucky over fences here last month; back hurdling with a live chance if as good again
8	Astrophysicist Bay J:Gavin Brouder(3) T:J A Nash	J:Gavin Brouder(3) T:J A Nash	157	tp	0-0000	99	118	29	22d	—	—	+10	13.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Hasn't been pulling up any trees under either code for a while now
2	Bix Beiderbecke Grey J:Patrick Wadge(3) T:Lucinda Russell	J:Patrick Wadge(3) T:Lucinda Russell	166	h	63-18F	108	113	78	39d	—	—	+13	15.1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
This return to drier conditions does look in his favour but he needs to get back on track
11	Don't Look Back Grey J:Alan Doyle(5) T:William Young Jnr	J:Alan Doyle(5) T:William Young Jnr	146	—	4/6F7-	88	111	45	—	—	—	+9	9.8	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Ordinary under both codes and has left Lucinda Russell since his last start
NR	Malbas Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:John C McConnell	J:NON-RUNNER T:John C McConnell	162	t	07-062	104	110	-	39d	—	—	—	13.5	—	—
Three Flat wins; 0-17 hurdling but he did run well behind an improver at Down Royal latest

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Superbolt	2/1	2/1	2/1
Bashful	11/4	11/4	11/4
Cancan	6/1	6/1	6/1
Langton Wold	6/1	6/1	6/1
Restandbethankful	8/1	8/1	8/1
Can't Stop Now	16/1	16/1	16/1
Lively Citizen	12/1	12/1	12/1
Astrophysicist	22/1	22/1	22/1
Bix Beiderbecke	33/1	33/1	33/1
Don't Look Back	66/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Langton Wold

33.6

OR: 14.5 Form: 16 Odds: 3.1

6/1

2nd

Restandbethankful

28.4

OR: 14 Form: 12 Odds: 2.4

8/1

3rd

Can't Stop Now

23.1

OR: 14.3 Form: 7.6 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Superbolt

21.5

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 8

2/1

Lively Citizen

17.1

OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Bashful

16.9

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

11/4

Cancan

15.6

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

6/1

Bix Beiderbecke

15.1

OR: 14.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Malbas

13.5

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Astrophysicist

13.1

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Don't Look Back

9.8

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lively Citizen	112	118	—
Langton Wold	108	107	78
Bix Beiderbecke	108	113	78
Can't Stop Now	107	112	103
Restandbethankful	106	113	108
Superbolt	104	116	68
Malbas	104	110	—
Cancan	100	115	96
Astrophysicist	99	118	29
Bashful	93	116	99
Don't Look Back	88	111	45

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Astrophysicist	22d ago	Fit
Lively Citizen	29d ago	Fit
Cancan	33d ago	Fit
Restandbethankful	33d ago	Fit
Superbolt	34d ago	Fit
Langton Wold	39d ago	Fit
Bix Beiderbecke	39d ago	Fit
Malbas	39d ago	Fit
Bashful	—	—
Can't Stop Now	—	—
Don't Look Back	—	—

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Superbolt	Prominent
Langton Wold	Prominent
Bix Beiderbecke	Prominent
Bashful	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 4 of 11 runners classified.