bet365 Scottish County Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) – Musselburgh

Musselburgh

14:50

bet365 Scottish County Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)

Date 2024-02-03

Distance 1m7f124y

Class Class 2

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £15,609

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6	Afadil Bay J:Freddie Gingell(5) T:Paul Nicholls	J:Freddie Gingell(5) T:Paul Nicholls	153	p	1-7P33	124	145	126	33d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+14	30.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Good juvenile and signs of returning to form here last time; has plenty in his favour
10	Park Annonciade Bay J:Ben Bromley(5) T:S R B Crawford	J:Ben Bromley(5) T:S R B Crawford	147	t	213114	118	143	125	33d	—	—	+23	35.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Made early mistake when well held over C&D on New Year's Day but ran on well at the finish
8	Ballygeary Brown J:Brian Hughes T:Donald McCain	J:Brian Hughes T:Donald McCain	149	—	10-312	120	142	133	33d	—	—	+8	21.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Consistent; should give his running but might be vulnerable off his current mark
11	Zanndabad Bay J:Sean Quinlan T:A J Martin	J:Sean Quinlan T:A J Martin	144	t	745-0	115	137	95	63d	—	—	+8	19.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Trainer always commands respect on British forays but this 5yo needs to turn a corner
2	First Impression Bay J:Craig Nichol T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Craig Nichol T:John & Sean Quinn	159	—	2916-2	130	142	129	49d	—	—	+19	27.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Useful dual-purpose performer but he's on a tough mark over hurdles
4	Parisencore Bay J:Danny McMenamin T:Nicky Richards	J:Danny McMenamin T:Nicky Richards	156	—	24-P22	127	141	-	36d	—	—	+13	21.8	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Runner-up last year off 3lb lower; returns to hurdling after two good runs over fences
1	Benson Bay J:Lewis Dobb(7) T:Sandy Thomson	J:Lewis Dobb(7) T:Sandy Thomson	168	p	1P-441	139	146	111	33d	—	—	+16	24.6	2.13/1	17/2 11%
2m4f winner here on New Year's Day; not handicapped out of this and he's fine at 2m
5	Caithness Bay J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	154	—	4-1136	125	139	133	21d	—	—	+16	20	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Progressive before disappointing at Kempton when let down by his jumping
9	Collingham Bay J:Peter Kavanagh(3) T:Donald McCain	J:Peter Kavanagh(3) T:Donald McCain	148	p	U7-568	119	143	124	33d	—	—	+14	18.5	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Won this last year; not so good this campaign, including two visits to this track
3	Your Honor Bay J:Gavin Brouder(3) T:J A Nash	J:Gavin Brouder(3) T:J A Nash	157	—	-37561	128	136	125	36d	—	—	+27	31.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
May need soft or heavy ground if he's to defy this high a mark on British debut
13	Cuban Cigar Bay J:Alan Doyle(5) T:Lucinda Russell	J:Alan Doyle(5) T:Lucinda Russell	142	tb	2-2419	113	138	124	33d	—	—	+17	20	8.25/1	33/1 3%
He was never dangerous when behind some of these on New Year's Day
7	Sextant Bay J:Patrick Wadge(3) T:Lucinda Russell	J:Patrick Wadge(3) T:Lucinda Russell	150	b	13/	121	-	-	—	—	—	+25	28.6	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Smart Flat horse; winner over hurdles; unruly at post (withdrawn) last month after absence
12	Hartur D'Oudairies Bay J:Nathan Moscrop T:Brian Ellison	J:Nathan Moscrop T:Brian Ellison	144	—	225-0P	115	143	-	67d	—	—	+14	17	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Useful form for the Skeltons; pulled up in his one run for next yard and sold for £4,000

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Afadil	9/2	4/1	4/1
Park Annonciade	11/2	5/1	5/1
Ballygeary	11/2	11/2	11/2
Zanndabad	6/1	6/1	6/1
First Impression	17/2	8/1	8/1
Parisencore	17/2	17/2	17/2
Benson	17/2	17/2	17/2
Caithness	18/1	18/1	18/1
Collingham	20/1	20/1	20/1
Your Honor	22/1	22/1	22/1
Cuban Cigar	33/1	33/1	33/1
Sextant	28/1	25/1	25/1
Hartur D'Oudairies	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Park Annonciade

35.5

OR: 17 Form: 14.9 Odds: 3.6

11/2

2nd

Your Honor

31.1

OR: 19.5 Form: 10.6 Odds: 1

22/1

3rd

Afadil

30.2

OR: 18.5 Form: 7 Odds: 4.7

9/2

Sextant

28.6

OR: 17.8 Form: 10 Odds: 0.9

28/1

First Impression

27.5

OR: 20 Form: 5 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Benson

24.6

OR: 22.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Parisencore

21.8

OR: 19.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Ballygeary

21.1

OR: 17.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Caithness

OR: 18.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Cuban Cigar

OR: 15.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Zanndabad

19.6

OR: 16.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

6/1

Collingham

18.5

OR: 17.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Hartur D'Oudairies

OR: 16.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Benson	139	146	111
First Impression	130	142	129
Your Honor	128	136	125
Parisencore	127	141	—
Caithness	125	139	133
Afadil	124	145	126
Sextant	121	—	—
Ballygeary	120	142	133
Collingham	119	143	124
Park Annonciade	118	143	125
Zanndabad	115	137	95
Hartur D'Oudairies	115	143	—
Cuban Cigar	113	138	124

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Caithness	21d ago	Fit
Afadil	33d ago	Fit
Park Annonciade	33d ago	Fit
Ballygeary	33d ago	Fit
Benson	33d ago	Fit
Collingham	33d ago	Fit
Cuban Cigar	33d ago	Fit
Parisencore	36d ago	Fit
Your Honor	36d ago	Fit
First Impression	49d ago	Fresh
Zanndabad	63d ago	Fresh
Hartur D'Oudairies	67d ago	Fresh
Sextant	—	—