Create Your Bet Builders At Midnite Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

16:52

Create Your Bet Builders At Midnite Handicap

Date 2025-12-18

Distance 4f214y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,716

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (6)	Sam's Hope Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Martin Dunne	J:Darragh Keenan T:Martin Dunne	127	t	214115	66	85	77	19d	—	—	+3	24.2	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Three wins since September (including C&D); excuses for latest defeat; player
9 (4)	Popular Dream Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Derek Shaw	J:Joanna Mason T:Derek Shaw	125	—	891356	64	84	74	6d	—	—	-4	13	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Three C&D wins under Joanna Mason, the latest in October; fair sixth here last week
2 (9)	Ziggy's Triton Bay J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	135	p	256344	74	83	82	15d	—	—	-4	11.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Has reached frame in AW handicaps last three starts but wait for first win on AW may go on
1 (7)	Law Of Average Bay J:Joey Haynes T:Chelsea Banham	J:Joey Haynes T:Chelsea Banham	135	—	746697	74	85	79	50d	—	—	-3	9.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Front-runner; did well at 3 but has found it tough in 2025; could only consider if backed
6 (2)	Thankuappreciate Bay J:Zak Wheatley(3) T:Declan Carroll	J:Zak Wheatley(3) T:Declan Carroll	132	—	262630	71	84	66	30d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	+1	11.9	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Possible excuse latest and some good runs prior to that, including close second over C&D
7 (1)	Winchurch Bay J:Liam Wright(5) T:Michael Appleby	J:Liam Wright(5) T:Michael Appleby	130	p	760860	69	86	73	6d	—	—	-2	7.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Well handicapped and hasn't enjoyed much luck in recent starts; could go well
4 (3)	Bang On The Bell Bay J:Jonny Peate T:J R Jenkins	J:Jonny Peate T:J R Jenkins	133	b	342486	72	84	50	40d	—	0W/1P 1 run	+2	8.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Not disgraced back from break six weeks ago; feasibly trated on last winter's AW form
5 (5)	Fiorella Princess Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Charlie Wallis	J:Hector Crouch T:Charlie Wallis	132	—	423126	71	84	70	17d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+12	17	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Ended time with Lemos De Souza in from but well held on recent first run for new trainer
3 (8)	Glory Fighter Bay J:Mark Winn T:Paul Midgley	J:Mark Winn T:Paul Midgley	134	—	261008	73	84	58	13d	—	1W/1P 1 run	+7	9.4	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Prolific turf winner but took AW record to 0-9 when well held at Newcastle 13 days ago

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Sam's Hope	3/1	11/4	3/1
Popular Dream	9/2	9/2	9/2
Ziggy's Triton	9/2	9/2	9/2
Law Of Average	11/2	6/1	6/1
Thankuappreciate	13/2	7/1	13/2
Winchurch	7/1	15/2	15/2
Bang On The Bell	12/1	12/1	12/1
Fiorella Princess	16/1	16/1	16/1
Glory Fighter	50/1	33/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sam's Hope

24.2

OR: 4 Form: 14 Odds: 6.2

3/1

2nd

Fiorella Princess

OR: 5.3 Form: 10.4 Odds: 1.4

16/1

3rd

Popular Dream

OR: 3.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 5

9/2

Ziggy's Triton

11.9

OR: 6 Form: 1.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Thankuappreciate

11.9

OR: 5.3 Form: 3.6 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Law Of Average

9.6

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Glory Fighter

9.4

OR: 5.8 Form: 3 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Bang On The Bell

8.7

OR: 5.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Winchurch

7.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ziggy's Triton	74	83	82
Law Of Average	74	85	79
Glory Fighter	73	84	58
Bang On The Bell	72	84	50
Thankuappreciate	71	84	66
Fiorella Princess	71	84	70
Winchurch	69	86	73
Sam's Hope	66	85	77
Popular Dream	64	84	74

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Popular Dream	6d ago	Quick return
Winchurch	6d ago	Quick return
Glory Fighter	13d ago	Quick return
Ziggy's Triton	15d ago	Fit
Fiorella Princess	17d ago	Fit
Sam's Hope	19d ago	Fit
Thankuappreciate	30d ago	Fit
Bang On The Bell	40d ago	Fit
Law Of Average	50d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 4f214y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.