Southwell (AW)

14:52

Bet £10 Get £40 With BetMGM EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2025-12-18
Distance 6f16y
Class Class 5
Going Standard
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 2yo
Prize £3,402

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
6 (7)
Paradise Walk
Bay
J:Hector Crouch
T:Ralph Beckett
J:Hector Crouch
T:Ralph Beckett
128 2
-
85
39
21d -36
25
0.11/1
4/9
69%
Promising second on 7f Chelmsford debut; hard to beat if making anticipated improvement
3 (8)
Cherry Baker
Bay
J:Pat Cosgrave
T:James Owen
J:Pat Cosgrave
T:James Owen
128 6255
74
84
57
14d -3
12.9
1.25/1
5/1
17%
Fair form over 7f/1m; should figure but probably needs to improve for 6f to win
4 (3)
Egotistical
Bay
J:Jack Mitchell
T:Roger Varian
J:Jack Mitchell
T:Roger Varian
128
-
-
-
-10
4
1.38/1
11/2
15%
In good hands and related to plenty of winners; respected newcomer
9 (2)
Victress
Chestnut
J:P J McDonald
T:Clive Cox
J:P J McDonald
T:Clive Cox
128 h 6
-
70
39
40d -4
1.5
4.50/1
18/1
5%
Some promise on Wolverhampton debut but fair bit more needed to trouble Paradise Walk
1 (5)
Sahara Magic
Bay
J:Sean D Bowen
T:Michael Appleby
J:Sean D Bowen
T:Michael Appleby
132 17
73
74
48
26d +9
14.4
4.50/1
18/1
5%
C&D debut win last month but comfortably held under a penalty at Newcastle since
2 (11)
Analeesa
Grey
J:Georgia Dobie
T:Clive Cox
J:Georgia Dobie
T:Clive Cox
128 p
-
-
-
-3
1.1
8.25/1
33/1
3%
Wears cheekpieces on debut; one of two from the stable; the betting should guide
8 (10)
Tabby Kat
Bay
J:Nicola Currie
T:Jane Chapple-Hyam
J:Nicola Currie
T:Jane Chapple-Hyam
128 6
-
61
17
19d -2
0.8
16.50/1
66/1
1%
18-1, only minor promise when 5l sixth of nine on 6f Wolverhampton debut 19 days ago
11 (6)
Zoustellar
Chestnut
J:Grace McEntee
T:George Boughey
J:Grace McEntee
T:George Boughey
128 78
-
64
-
19d -1
0.5
31.25/1
125/1
1%
In good hands but more one for handicaps after this based on her two efforts last month
5 (9)
Life After Love
Bay
J:Paul Mulrennan
T:Ollie Sangster
J:Paul Mulrennan
T:Ollie Sangster
128
-
44
19
15d -1
0.4
25.00/1
100/1
1%
More one for the longer term judged on her 7f Kempton debut a fortnight ago
10 (1)
What Fools Believe
Bay
J:Barry McHugh
T:Ivan Furtado
J:Barry McHugh
T:Ivan Furtado
128 66
-
59
27
13d 1W/1P 1 run -1
0.4
50.00/1
200/1
0%
Well-beaten sixth in two outings over 7f at Newcastle in recent weeks
7 (4)
Princess Coco
Bay
J:Cam Hardie
T:Simon Whitaker
J:Cam Hardie
T:Simon Whitaker
128 05
-
32
-
9d -1
0.4
62.50/1
250/1
0%
Beaten a long way in 6f contests at Redcar and Newcastle; big outsider
Horse bet365 Coral Virgin Bet
Paradise Walk
2/5 2/5 4/9
Cherry Baker
5/1 9/2 9/2
Egotistical
11/2 5/1 5/1
Victress
18/1 18/1 18/1
Sahara Magic
18/1 16/1 16/1
Analeesa
33/1 28/1 28/1
Tabby Kat
66/1 50/1 50/1
Zoustellar
125/1 80/1 100/1
Life After Love
100/1 80/1 80/1
What Fools Believe
200/1 125/1 150/1
Princess Coco
250/1 125/1 200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Paradise Walk
25
OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 20
4/9
2nd Sahara Magic
14.4
OR: 5.8 Form: 7 Odds: 1.6
18/1
3rd Cherry Baker
12.9
OR: 6 Form: 2.5 Odds: 4.4
5/1
4 Egotistical
4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4
11/2
5 Victress
1.5
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.5
18/1
6 Analeesa
1.1
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1
33/1
7 Tabby Kat
0.8
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8
66/1
8 Zoustellar
0.5
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5
125/1
9 Life After Love
0.4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4
100/1
10 What Fools Believe
0.4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4
200/1
11 Princess Coco
0.4
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4
250/1

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Cherry Baker
74
84
57
Sahara Magic
73
74
48
Paradise Walk
85
39
Egotistical
Victress
70
39
Analeesa
Tabby Kat
61
17
Zoustellar
64
Life After Love
44
19
What Fools Believe
59
27
Princess Coco
32

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Princess Coco 9d ago Quick return
What Fools Believe 13d ago Quick return
Cherry Baker 14d ago Fit
Life After Love 15d ago Fit
Tabby Kat 19d ago Fit
Zoustellar 19d ago Fit
Paradise Walk 21d ago Fit
Sahara Magic 26d ago Fit
Victress 40d ago Fit
Egotistical
Analeesa

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 6f16y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.