Best Odds On The Betfair Exchange Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

18:15

Best Odds On The Betfair Exchange Handicap

Date 2025-11-06

Distance 1m

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,757

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (4)	Absolute Star Grey J:Rossa Ryan T:Roger Varian	J:Rossa Ryan T:Roger Varian	138	—	36-151	78	89	56	27d	—	—	-8	13.2	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Resumed progression back at 1m when seeing off Kitaro Kich at Kempton latest; big player
2 (5)	Rajapour Chestnut J:Hector Crouch T:David O'Meara	J:Hector Crouch T:David O'Meara	140	—	425500	80	88	42	12d	—	—	-4	13.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Creditable efforts over 1m this year but well beaten over 1m2f/7f last twice
1 (1)	Shimmering Spin Bay J:Alexandra Egan(7) T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Alexandra Egan(7) T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	140	—	509218	80	85	60	34d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+6	21.4	1.00/1	4/1 20%
C&D maiden win this autumn; easy to forgive Ascot run since and respected back here
12 (2)	Happy Banner Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Ed Walker	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Ed Walker	128	t	653786	70	88	74	23d	—	—	-4	9.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Made all in 7f AW novice last December but 0-6 in handicaps this year
4 (9)	Stenmark Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Denis Quinn	J:Darragh Keenan T:Denis Quinn	138	—	-46125	80	84	57	34d	—	—	+9	18.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Raced at 7f; improved for new yard in recent months and claims if seeing out 1m
11 (6)	Threatening Bay J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	128	—	125453	70	85	82	99d	—	—	+3	11.5	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Not progressed since AW handicap debut win but August's Redcar third creditable; off since
5 (11)	War Chant Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Edward Smyth-Osbourne	J:Rob Hornby T:Edward Smyth-Osbourne	138	—	8194-8	78	85	41	43d	—	—	+4	8.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Course winner for Rae Guest; may have needed reappearance for Kublers; changed yard again
7 (7)	Port Erin Bay J:Jack Callan(5) T:Tony Carroll	J:Jack Callan(5) T:Tony Carroll	137	—	141310	77	86	56	35d	—	—	+16	19.2	7.00/1	28/1 3%
C&D scorer; three wins in productive 2025; capable of bouncing back from poor run latest
9 (3)	Pitney Bay J:Paddy Bradley T:Michael Attwater	J:Paddy Bradley T:Michael Attwater	131	v	000704	71	76	54	22d	—	—	+4	5.8	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Largely struggled for this yard, beaten 6.5l when fourth to Kitaro Kich latest
8 (8)	Lyndon B Bay J:William Carson T:John & Rhys Flint	J:William Carson T:John & Rhys Flint	135	p	010680	75	87	11	34d	—	—	+7	8.7	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Ended losing run on turf in June but down the field in four outings since
NR (10)	Kitaro Kich Brown J:NON-RUNNER T:George Baker	J:NON-RUNNER T:George Baker	140	t	755216	80	87	-	21d	—	—	—	17	—	—
Good overall course record; excuse latest run but Absolute Star holds him on Kempton form
NR (12)	Atmosphere Bay J:TBC T:Richard Spencer	J: T:Richard Spencer	129	v	314381	71	85	71	29d	—	—	—	18.8	—	—
Third win of 2025 when scoring at Kempton (1m) in first-time visor last month; up 3lb

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Absolute Star	11/4	11/4	11/4
Rajapour	7/2	7/2	7/2
Shimmering Spin	4/1	4/1	4/1
Happy Banner	11/2	11/2	11/2
Stenmark	7/1	15/2	15/2
Threatening	9/1	17/2	17/2
War Chant	20/1	18/1	20/1
Port Erin	28/1	25/1	25/1
Pitney	80/1	50/1	50/1
Lyndon B	80/1	66/1	66/1
Kitaro Kich	-	-	-
Atmosphere	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Shimmering Spin

21.4

OR: 7.5 Form: 9.5 Odds: 4.4

4/1

2nd

Port Erin

19.2

OR: 6.8 Form: 11.5 Odds: 1

28/1

3rd

Atmosphere

18.8

OR: 5.3 Form: 13.5 Odds: 0

—

Stenmark

18.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Kitaro Kich

OR: 7.5 Form: 9.5 Odds: 0

—

Rajapour

13.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 1 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Absolute Star

13.2

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

11/4

Threatening

11.5

OR: 5 Form: 4 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Happy Banner

9.9

OR: 5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 4

11/2

Lyndon B

8.7

OR: 6.3 Form: 2 Odds: 0.5

80/1

War Chant

8.2

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Pitney

5.8

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Rajapour	80	88	42
Shimmering Spin	80	85	60
Stenmark	80	84	57
Kitaro Kich	80	87	—
Absolute Star	78	89	56
War Chant	78	85	41
Port Erin	77	86	56
Lyndon B	75	87	11
Pitney	71	76	54
Atmosphere	71	85	71
Happy Banner	70	88	74
Threatening	70	85	82

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Rajapour	12d ago	Quick return
Kitaro Kich	21d ago	Fit
Pitney	22d ago	Fit
Happy Banner	23d ago	Fit
Absolute Star	27d ago	Fit
Atmosphere	29d ago	Fit
Shimmering Spin	34d ago	Fit
Stenmark	34d ago	Fit
Lyndon B	34d ago	Fit
Port Erin	35d ago	Fit
War Chant	43d ago	Fit
Threatening	99d ago	Long break