Flemington

16:00

Lexus Melbourne Cup (Group 1 Handicap) (3yo+) (Turf)

Date 2025-11-04
Distance 2m
Class Class 1
Going Soft
Type Flat
Surface Turf
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £2,227,723

Runners (24)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
1 (19)
Al Riffa
Bay
J:Mark Zahra
T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien
J:Mark Zahra
T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien
130 p -34211
-
131
117
51d
20.1
Seems to have all the attributes to land this but big weight is the concern
2 (12)
Buckaroo
Bay
J:Craig A Williams
T:Chris Waller
J:Craig A Williams
T:Chris Waller
126 tb 703232
-
136
-
10d
10.5
Needs to prove he stays but has a far better draw than 12 months ago
3 (15)
Arapaho
Bay
J:Rachel King
T:Bjorn Baker
J:Rachel King
T:Bjorn Baker
125 136408
-
137
-
6d
0.6
Stays the trip just fine but others are in better form coming into this
4 (2)
Vauban
Chestnut
J:Blake Shinn
T:Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott
J:Blake Shinn
T:Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott
125 t 303650
-
133
116
17d
0.9
Having his third run in this but first for these trainers; handy draw
5 (5)
Chevalier Rose
Bay
J:Damian Lane
T:Hisashi Shimizu
J:Damian Lane
T:Hisashi Shimizu
122 1-0700
-
135
-
79d
7
Any runner from Japan is interesting but this 7yo has been out of form
6 (9)
Presage Nocturne
Grey
J:Stephane Pasquier
T:Alessandro Botti
J:Stephane Pasquier
T:Alessandro Botti
122 -41334
-
134
81
17d
6.6
Will be suited by going back up in trip after good effort in Caulfield Cup; makes appeal
7 (13)
Middle Earth
Bay
J:Ethan Brown
T:Ciaron Maher
J:Ethan Brown
T:Ciaron Maher
120 b 950903
-
134
-
10d
3
Half-brother to Buckaroo but needs improvement for new trip if he's to feature
8 (22)
Meydaan
Bay
J:James McDonald
T:Simon & Ed Crisford
J:James McDonald
T:Simon & Ed Crisford
119 205239
-
135
105
17d
4.6
Has some good form and James McDonald is booked for the ride, but stall 22 is not ideal
9 (4)
Absurde
Bay
J:Kerrin McEvoy
T:W P Mullins
J:Kerrin McEvoy
T:W P Mullins
118 5-3237
-
132
111
17d
0
Another having this third attempt at this; should go well with clear run
10 (17)
Flatten The Curve
Chestnut
J:Thore Hammer Hansen
T:Henk Grewe
J:Thore Hammer Hansen
T:Henk Grewe
118 -11411
-
135
-
66d
22
Fascinating contender from Germany, who looks set for a big effort
11 (16)
Land Legend
Chestnut
J:Joao Moreira
T:Chris Waller
J:Joao Moreira
T:Chris Waller
118 839500
-
134
-
17d
0.6
Booking of Joao Moreira is interesting but this 5yo is hard to recommend on recent runs
12 (11)
Smokin' Romans
Chestnut
J:Ben Melham
T:Ciaron Maher
J:Ben Melham
T:Ciaron Maher
119 tb 072948
-
137
-
11d
1.5
It's hard to think a 9yo can land this famous race and he didn't run well last time
13 (24)
Changingoftheguard
Bay
J:Timothy Clark
T:Kris Lees
J:Timothy Clark
T:Kris Lees
117 b -82106
-
138
-
12d
6.5
Has blinkers added and could improve for trip but stall 24 is bad
14 (8)
Half Yours
Chestnut
J:Jamie Melham
T:Tony McEvoy & Calvin McEvoy
J:Jamie Melham
T:Tony McEvoy & Calvin McEvoy
117 tv 215141
5
138
-
17d
17
Progressive performer who won the Caulfield Cup last time; leading claims
15 (23)
More Felons
Bay
J:Tommy Berry
T:Chris Waller
J:Tommy Berry
T:Chris Waller
117 t 2-0944
-
133
-
17d
3.5
Ran well on last two outings but stall 23 isn't helpful
16 (6)
Onesmoothoperator
b/br
J:Harry Coffey
T:Brian Ellison
J:Harry Coffey
T:Brian Ellison
117 358401
2
135
100
11d
10
Knows how to win in Australia but was held in this 12 months ago; can do better this time
17 (7)
Furthur
Grey
J:Michael Dee
T:Andrew Balding
J:Michael Dee
T:Andrew Balding
115 152516
-
133
128
52d
8.5
The only 3yo, which was at one stage a solid angle for winning this prize; can race freely
18 (3)
Parchment Party
Bay
J:John R Velazquez
T:William Mott
J:John R Velazquez
T:William Mott
115 t 592311
-
138
-
90d
20
First US-trained runner in this; it's hard to know what to expect given his dirt form
19 (1)
Athabascan
Bay
J:Declan Bates
T:John O'Shea & Tom Charlton
J:Declan Bates
T:John O'Shea & Tom Charlton
114 590002
-
141
-
11d
5
Came back to some form last time and could be keeping on when others fade
20 (20)
Goodie Two Shoes
Bay
J:Wayne Lordan
T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien
J:Wayne Lordan
T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien
114 t /31113
-
131
119
94d
18.6
Comes here having been in form and trip should be fine, but stall 20 is awkward
21 (14)
River Of Stars
Bay
J:Beau Mertens
T:Chris Waller
J:Beau Mertens
T:Chris Waller
114 737802
-
135
120
17d
5.6
Produced her best Australian performance in the Caulfield Cup last time; leading chance
22 (21)
Royal Supremacy
Bay
J:Robbie Dolan
T:Ciaron Maher
J:Robbie Dolan
T:Ciaron Maher
112 011215
-
132
-
17d
14.5
Has shown some good form and can be a player if stall 21 can be overcome
23 (18)
Torranzino
Bay
J:Celine Gaudray
T:Paul Preusker
J:Celine Gaudray
T:Paul Preusker
112 t 280821
-
139
-
12d
13.5
Coming good at the right time and could produce another big effort
24 (10)
Valiant King
Bay
J:Jye McNeil
T:Chris Waller
J:Jye McNeil
T:Chris Waller
112 b 693013
-
139
-
17d
10.9
Unlucky last time and easy to make a case for him off just 8st

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Flatten The Curve
22
OR: 0 Form: 22 Odds: 0
2nd Al Riffa
20.1
OR: 0 Form: 20.1 Odds: 0
3rd Parchment Party
20
OR: 0 Form: 20 Odds: 0
4 Goodie Two Shoes
18.6
OR: 0 Form: 18.6 Odds: 0
5 Half Yours
17
OR: 0 Form: 17 Odds: 0
6 Royal Supremacy
14.5
OR: 0 Form: 14.5 Odds: 0
7 Torranzino
13.5
OR: 0 Form: 13.5 Odds: 0
8 Valiant King
10.9
OR: 0 Form: 10.9 Odds: 0
9 Buckaroo
10.5
OR: 0 Form: 10.5 Odds: 0
10 Onesmoothoperator
10
OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 0
11 Furthur
8.5
OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0
12 Chevalier Rose
7
OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 0
13 Presage Nocturne
6.6
OR: 0 Form: 6.6 Odds: 0
14 Changingoftheguard
6.5
OR: 0 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0
15 River Of Stars
5.6
OR: 0 Form: 5.6 Odds: 0
16 Athabascan
5
OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0
17 Meydaan
4.6
OR: 0 Form: 4.6 Odds: 0
18 More Felons
3.5
OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0
19 Middle Earth
3
OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0
20 Smokin' Romans
1.5
OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0
21 Vauban
0.9
OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0
22 Arapaho
0.6
OR: 0 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0
23 Land Legend
0.6
OR: 0 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0
24 Absurde
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Half Yours
5
138
Onesmoothoperator
2
135
100
Al Riffa
131
117
Buckaroo
136
Arapaho
137
Vauban
133
116
Chevalier Rose
135
Presage Nocturne
134
81
Middle Earth
134
Meydaan
135
105
Absurde
132
111
Flatten The Curve
135
Land Legend
134
Smokin' Romans
137
Changingoftheguard
138
More Felons
133
Furthur
133
128
Parchment Party
138
Athabascan
141
Goodie Two Shoes
131
119
River Of Stars
135
120
Royal Supremacy
132
Torranzino
139
Valiant King
139

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Arapaho 6d ago Quick return
Buckaroo 10d ago Quick return
Middle Earth 10d ago Quick return
Smokin' Romans 11d ago Quick return
Onesmoothoperator 11d ago Quick return
Athabascan 11d ago Quick return
Changingoftheguard 12d ago Quick return
Torranzino 12d ago Quick return
Vauban 17d ago Fit
Presage Nocturne 17d ago Fit
Meydaan 17d ago Fit
Absurde 17d ago Fit
Land Legend 17d ago Fit
Half Yours 17d ago Fit
More Felons 17d ago Fit
River Of Stars 17d ago Fit
Royal Supremacy 17d ago Fit
Valiant King 17d ago Fit
Al Riffa 51d ago Fresh
Furthur 52d ago Fresh
Flatten The Curve 66d ago Fresh
Chevalier Rose 79d ago Fresh
Parchment Party 90d ago Fresh
Goodie Two Shoes 94d ago Long break