British Stallion Studs EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands B, C And D) (EBF Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Thirsk

15:25

Date 2025-09-06

Distance 6f

Class Class 2

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £15,702

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (17)	River Spey Brown J:Oisin Orr T:Ed Walker	J:Oisin Orr T:Ed Walker	130	—	5534	85	94	88	17d	—	—	-17	24.2	0.31/1	5/4 44%
0-4 but knocking at the door and has the best form; still unexposed and the one to beat
16 (16)	Simplify Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Andrew Balding	J:Hollie Doyle T:Andrew Balding	123	—	022	73	86	74	36d	—	—	-3	21.5	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Runner-up at Newbury and Bath; still has untapped potential and she's high on the list
8 (12)	Zoiros Bay J:David Egan T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:David Egan T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	130	—	424	81	90	67	42d	—	—	-1	16.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Promise all three runs, fading over 7f on latest (then gelded); still open to improvement
1 (1)	Rogue Messiah Bay J:Edward Greatrex T:Jack Jones	J:Edward Greatrex T:Jack Jones	137	—	1	-	89	61	33d	—	—	+1	13.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Came in for support and made winning debut in clearcut style at Windsor; should do better
10 (13)	Deep Sleep Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	128	—	5	-	70	56	22d	—	—	-3	1.3	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Caught the eye when fifth of 15 here on debut and should do better
11 (15)	Mystical Land Brown J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Dods	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Dods	128	—	3	-	67	42	33d	—	—	0	4	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Some encouragement when third at Carlisle; should improve for the experience
17 (9)	Proud Mary Bay J:Amie Waugh T:Tim Easterby	J:Amie Waugh T:Tim Easterby	121	—	65	-	72	47	12d	—	—	-2	0.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Bits of promise so far but has stacks to find on form with the principals
4 (2)	Here Forever Bay J:Jack Callan T:George Boughey	J:Jack Callan T:George Boughey	130	—	7	-	57	21	33d	—	—	-2	0.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Too green to do himself justice when seventh at Windsor; improvement needed but possible
15 (6)	Hewi Bay J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	125	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.7	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Stable's 2yos yet to get going but this one has a fair pedigree; worth a market check
5 (14)	Hey Havana Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	130	—	—	-	33	33	43d	—	—	-2	0.6	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Showed little on C&D debut; needs subsequent gelding op to have had a positive effect
2 (5)	Ciao Capo Bay J:Shane Gray T:Richard Fahey	J:Shane Gray T:Richard Fahey	130	—	77	-	68	52	44d	—	—	-1	0.5	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Well held at Newcastle (6f) and Doncaster (7f), and needs a big step forward today
13 (10)	Contorno Bay J:Andrew Elliott T:Tom Tate	J:Andrew Elliott T:Tom Tate	126	—	77	-	64	58	24d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-1	0.4	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Shaped better than result suggests on debut but failed to confirm the promise next time
14 (4)	Long Shot Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	126	—	8	-	44	19	14d	—	—	-1	0.4	31.25/1	125/1 1%
No threat on debut and looks well named with today's assignment in mind
3 (8)	Hares Bredth Bay J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	130	—	9	-	56	42	22d	—	—	-1	0.4	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Never better than midfield on debut (100-1) three weeks ago; one of four runners for yard
7 (3)	The Tunguska Event Bay J:Harry Russell T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Harry Russell T:John & Sean Quinn	130	—	—	-	53	39	22d	—	—	-1	0.5	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Beaten soon after halfway when down the field here on debut; major improvement needed
9 (7)	Auspicious Bay J:Harrison Shaw T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Harrison Shaw T:Nigel Tinkler	128	—	07	-	22	19	50d	—	—	-1	0.3	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Twice soundly beaten at long odds and difficult to recommend
NR (11)	Straight Ahead Bay J:Dale Swift T:Craig Lidster	J:Dale Swift T:Craig Lidster	128	—	66522	69	79	67	11d	—	—	—	13.3	—	—
Runner-up in 5f nurseries; could make the frame but others appeal more for the win

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
River Spey	5/4	5/4	5/4
Simplify	5/2	5/2	5/2
Zoiros	4/1	9/2	4/1
Rogue Messiah	13/2	13/2	13/2
Deep Sleep	16/1	18/1	18/1
Mystical Land	28/1	28/1	28/1
Proud Mary	33/1	28/1	33/1
Here Forever	40/1	33/1	40/1
Hewi	50/1	40/1	50/1
Hey Havana	80/1	66/1	80/1
Ciao Capo	100/1	80/1	80/1
Contorno	125/1	100/1	100/1
Long Shot	125/1	100/1	125/1
Hares Bredth	150/1	125/1	125/1
The Tunguska Event	100/1	80/1	100/1
Auspicious	250/1	150/1	200/1
Straight Ahead	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

River Spey

24.2

OR: 8.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 13.3

5/4

2nd

Simplify

21.5

OR: 5.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 7.3

5/2

3rd

Zoiros

16.5

OR: 7.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Rogue Messiah

13.6

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Straight Ahead

13.3

OR: 4.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0

—

Mystical Land

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1

28/1

Deep Sleep

1.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.3

18/1

Proud Mary

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Here Forever

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Hewi

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Hey Havana

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

80/1

Ciao Capo

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100/1

The Tunguska Event

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100/1

Contorno

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

125/1

Long Shot

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

125/1

Hares Bredth

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

150/1

Auspicious

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

250/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
River Spey	85	94	88
Zoiros	81	90	67
Simplify	73	86	74
Straight Ahead	69	79	67
Rogue Messiah	—	89	61
Deep Sleep	—	70	56
Mystical Land	—	67	42
Proud Mary	—	72	47
Here Forever	—	57	21
Hewi	—	—	—
Hey Havana	—	33	33
Ciao Capo	—	68	52
Contorno	—	64	58
Long Shot	—	44	19
Hares Bredth	—	56	42
The Tunguska Event	—	53	39
Auspicious	—	22	19

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Straight Ahead	11d ago	Quick return
Proud Mary	12d ago	Quick return
Long Shot	14d ago	Fit
River Spey	17d ago	Fit
Deep Sleep	22d ago	Fit
Hares Bredth	22d ago	Fit
The Tunguska Event	22d ago	Fit
Contorno	24d ago	Fit
Rogue Messiah	33d ago	Fit
Mystical Land	33d ago	Fit
Here Forever	33d ago	Fit
Simplify	36d ago	Fit
Zoiros	42d ago	Fit
Hey Havana	43d ago	Fit
Ciao Capo	44d ago	Fit
Auspicious	50d ago	Fresh
Hewi	—	—