Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

17:00

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap

Date 2025-09-04

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,978

Winning Time 1m 41.18s (slow by 3.48s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Bin Ajwad (IRE) David Allan · James Tate	7/1	Won
2nd	Riyadh Gem (IRE) William Cox · Archie Watson	9/1	1.75
3rd	Popeye Doyle (FR) Callum Shepherd · Hugo Palmer	5/1	.5
4th	Bear Island (GB) Jason Watson · David Menuisier	3/1F	0.05
5th	Frostmagic (IRE) Suraj Narredu · Ismail Mohammed	18/1	0.3
6th	Tiempo Alegre (FR) Jamie Spencer · Jack Jones	7/1	3.5
7th	Antiquity (GB) William Carver · Jamie Osborne	14/1	0.2
8th	Grey Soul (IRE) Aidan Keeley · Roger Varian	5/1	.5
9th	Yuvraaj (USA) Joanna Mason · Marco Botti	14/1	0.2
10th	Pearly Squirrel (IRE) Tom Eaves · Ivan Furtado	14/1	1.5
11th	Mini Mac (IRE) Benoit De La Sayette · Christine Dunnett	66/1	17

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (9)	Bear Island Grey J:Jason Watson T:David Menuisier	J:Jason Watson T:David Menuisier	135	—	4-9916	70	78	69	30d	—	—	-8	10.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Won at Kempton in July but he wasn't in the same form next time; return to AW may help
2 (1)	Popeye Doyle Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Hugo Palmer	J:Callum Shepherd T:Hugo Palmer	135	tp	6-0911	70	84	69	24d	—	—	-5	9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
2-2 since cheekpieces were applied; up 6lb for his Kempton win; has to be respected
3 (11)	Grey Soul Grey J:Aidan Keeley T:Roger Varian	J:Aidan Keeley T:Roger Varian	135	—	546	70	76	31	47d	—	—	-4	8.6	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Well beaten over 6f on soft last time; gelded ahead of h'cap debut; back on AW; up to 1m
11 (10)	Tiempo Alegre Bay J:Jamie Spencer T:Jack Jones	J:Jamie Spencer T:Jack Jones	129	—	443412	64	83	59	10d	—	—	+6	20.4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Won in good style over C&D in July before good run here last time; up in grade; claims
7 (2)	Bin Ajwad Bay J:David Allan T:James Tate	J:David Allan T:James Tate	133	—	437	68	78	40	66d	—	—	0	9.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Promise on his first two starts but well beaten over 1m2f last time; gelded since
4 (3)	Antiquity Chestnut J:William Carver T:Jamie Osborne	J:William Carver T:Jamie Osborne	135	—	221164	70	80	64	25d	—	—	+8	16.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Won three times earlier in the year; shaped encouragingly on return from a break last time
1 (7)	Riyadh Gem Bay J:William Cox T:Archie Watson	J:William Cox T:Archie Watson	135	p	133470	70	82	76	44d	—	—	0	8.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Won his first two handicaps (one over C&D); needs to bounce back from two lesser efforts
10 (5)	Pearly Squirrel Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Ivan Furtado	J:Tom Eaves T:Ivan Furtado	131	p	621663	66	80	-	31d	—	0W/1P 1 run	+7	12.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Three respectable efforts since winning at Doncaster over 7f in July; makes her AW debut
8 (8)	Yuvraaj Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Marco Botti	J:Joanna Mason T:Marco Botti	133	t	165464	68	80	76	15d	—	—	0	6.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Hasn't progressed since winning at Kempton in May; ran respectably there over 7f last time
5 (4)	Frostmagic Bay J:Suraj Narredu T:Ismail Mohammed	J:Suraj Narredu T:Ismail Mohammed	135	v	121375	70	78	60	19d	—	—	+7	11.7	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Won twice this year (1m2f/1m4f); struggled on last two starts; back to 1m with a visor on
9 (6)	Mini Mac Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Christine Dunnett	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Christine Dunnett	131	—	642748	66	80	-	11d	—	—	+4	6.1	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Isn't the most consistent and ran poorly at Yarmouth 11 days ago; bounce back needed

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Bear Island	7/2	4/1	7/2
Popeye Doyle	9/2	9/2	9/2
Grey Soul	5/1	5/1	5/1
Tiempo Alegre	6/1	13/2	6/1
Bin Ajwad	15/2	15/2	15/2
Antiquity	10/1	11/1	10/1
Riyadh Gem	9/1	9/1	9/1
Pearly Squirrel	14/1	12/1	14/1
Yuvraaj	16/1	12/1	16/1
Frostmagic	22/1	18/1	20/1
Mini Mac	50/1	40/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Tiempo Alegre

20.4

OR: 3.5 Form: 12.9 Odds: 4

13/2

2nd

Antiquity

16.2

OR: 5 Form: 9 Odds: 2.2

11/1

3rd

Pearly Squirrel

12.6

OR: 4 Form: 7 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Frostmagic

11.7

OR: 5 Form: 5.5 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Bear Island

10.2

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Bin Ajwad

9.1

OR: 4.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Popeye Doyle

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Riyadh Gem

8.9

OR: 5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Grey Soul

8.6

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

5/1

Yuvraaj

6.1

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Mini Mac

6.1

OR: 4 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bear Island	70	78	69
Popeye Doyle	70	84	69
Grey Soul	70	76	31
Antiquity	70	80	64
Riyadh Gem	70	82	76
Frostmagic	70	78	60
Bin Ajwad	68	78	40
Yuvraaj	68	80	76
Pearly Squirrel	66	80	—
Mini Mac	66	80	—
Tiempo Alegre	64	83	59

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tiempo Alegre	10d ago	Quick return
Mini Mac	11d ago	Quick return
Yuvraaj	15d ago	Fit
Frostmagic	19d ago	Fit
Popeye Doyle	24d ago	Fit
Antiquity	25d ago	Fit
Bear Island	30d ago	Fit
Pearly Squirrel	31d ago	Fit
Riyadh Gem	44d ago	Fit
Grey Soul	47d ago	Fresh
Bin Ajwad	66d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 5 draws with historical results at this course and distance.