Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

18:30

Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap

Date 2025-09-02

Distance 4f214y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,245

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (2)	Queensmaite Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Roy Bowring	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Roy Bowring	133	—	305	63	75	43	54d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-12	12	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Bred to do well over C&D and shaped nicely on debut; unexposed and needs a market check
2 (10)	Tanjen Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	135	—	842135	65	73	52	8d	—	—	0	17.4	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Easy win on only AW start at Newcastle last month (5f); could well do better on Tapeta
1 (4)	Son Of Wind Bay J:Owen Lewis(7) T:Ismail Mohammed	J:Owen Lewis(7) T:Ismail Mohammed	135	—	27-455	65	73	61	24d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-5	7.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Handicapper on top after an easy win last August; return to Class 6 could spark a revival
4 (8)	Spendmore Lane Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:David Loughnane	J:Jack Mitchell T:David Loughnane	133	h	38-277	63	71	42	12d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-5	6.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Patchy record but ran well in the face of a much stiffer assignment at Newcastle last time
6 (1)	Jeany May Bay J:Harrison Shaw T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Harrison Shaw T:Nigel Tinkler	131	—	753307	61	72	-	25d	—	—	-2	7.8	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Possible to forgive last two defeats and lurks on a feasible mark; stable run three here
7 (9)	Early Release Bay J:David Nolan T:David Evans	J:David Nolan T:David Evans	130	—	026734	60	73	46	33d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	+1	7.5	2.75/1	11/1 8%
6f win here in December; in and out this year but capable off this mark & return to AW a +
9 (7)	Invincible Crown Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	128	t	699899	58	72	-	25d	—	—	-2	3.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
On a lowly mark if the return to AW sparks a revival; risky but not without interest
3 (5)	Go On Rosie Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Tom Marquand T:Nigel Tinkler	134	—	42-757	64	72	-	20d	—	—	0	4.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Yet to shine in 2025 but drops in class and Tom Marquand a positive booking for the stable
10 (3)	Pancake Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Dods	J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Dods	127	h	448-03	57	72	43	32d	—	—	-1	2.9	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Gained her first placing at Newcastle last month but still finished over 5l behind Tanjen
8 (6)	El Cobre Fuego Chestnut J:Alex Jary(5) T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Alex Jary(5) T:Nigel Tinkler	130	—	0-3207	60	75	44	94d	—	—	+1	3.2	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Promise at Newcastle over the winter; not so good in two handicaps in May; yard run three

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Queensmaite	5/2	5/2	5/2
Tanjen	7/2	7/2	7/2
Son Of Wind	11/2	11/2	11/2
Spendmore Lane	15/2	13/2	13/2
Jeany May	7/1	15/2	8/1
Early Release	11/1	11/1	11/1
Invincible Crown	14/1	14/1	14/1
Go On Rosie	16/1	16/1	16/1
Pancake	20/1	20/1	20/1
El Cobre Fuego	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Tanjen

17.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 8.6 Odds: 5

7/2

2nd

Queensmaite

OR: 3.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 7.3

5/2

3rd

Jeany May

7.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 2.4 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Early Release

7.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 3.1 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Son Of Wind

7.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Spendmore Lane

6.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Go On Rosie

4.9

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Invincible Crown

3.5

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1.5

14/1

El Cobre Fuego

3.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Pancake

2.9

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Tanjen	65	73	52
Son Of Wind	65	73	61
Go On Rosie	64	72	—
Queensmaite	63	75	43
Spendmore Lane	63	71	42
Jeany May	61	72	—
Early Release	60	73	46
El Cobre Fuego	60	75	44
Invincible Crown	58	72	—
Pancake	57	72	43

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tanjen	8d ago	Quick return
Spendmore Lane	12d ago	Quick return
Go On Rosie	20d ago	Fit
Son Of Wind	24d ago	Fit
Jeany May	25d ago	Fit
Invincible Crown	25d ago	Fit
Pancake	32d ago	Fit
Early Release	33d ago	Fit
Queensmaite	54d ago	Fresh
El Cobre Fuego	94d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 4f214y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.