Irish EBF Median Sires Series Race (IRE Incentive)

Roscommon

16:12

Date 2025-09-01

Distance 7f94y

Class

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize €14,750

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (9)	Summer Is Tomorrow Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	134	—	6512	95	103	96	28d	—	—	+1	33.3	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Beat a now 83 rated rival at Down Royal, fine run in Ballyhane latest, soft ground a query
2 (6)	Morehampton Bay J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	J:Ben Coen T:J P Murtagh	134	—	31	-	96	80	19d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-6	20.1	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Won second time up at Gowran, form since boosted, dam handled soft, go well
7 (2)	Suspicious Mindz Chestnut J:Nathan Crosse T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Nathan Crosse T:Mrs John Harrington	128	—	83	-	103	67	24d	—	—	-9	8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Big run in listed race latest, obvious chance on that run, soft would be an unknown
9 (5)	Red Autumn Bay J:Chris Hayes T:D K Weld	J:Chris Hayes T:D K Weld	125	—	715	88	97	72	39d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+7	20.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
1m maiden winner, outclassed in Gr 3 latest, ran ok on soft on debut, interesting
6 (7)	How'sthebai Chestnut J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	2.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Bated Breath gelding, dam a sister to a Group 3 winner, check the market
1 (4)	Felix Somary Bay J:Ronan Whelan T:John S O'Donoghue	J:Ronan Whelan T:John S O'Donoghue	136	—	1	-	79	73	26d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+6	11.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Beat a 75 rated rival by a head on debut, up in trip and this harder; improvement needed
5 (8)	Dawn Flame Bay J:Robert Whearty(3) T:Paul W Flynn	J:Robert Whearty(3) T:Paul W Flynn	128	—	—	-	37	15	16d	—	—	-1	0.2	75.00/1	300/1 0%
100-1 and never figured on debut at the Curragh, may need more time
8 (3)	Fortis Puer Bay J:Rory Cleary T:Dermot Kilmartin	J:Rory Cleary T:Dermot Kilmartin	126	—	85	-	64	41	13d	—	—	-1	0.2	75.00/1	300/1 0%
Has only beaten one rival home in two starts, others hold more pressing claims
NR (1)	Green Soul Bay J:Declan McDonogh T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Declan McDonogh T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	132	p	2146	85	91	89	28d	—	—	—	15.3	—	—
Not far behind Summer Is Tomorrow in the Ballyhane latest, place chance; cheekpieces

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Summer Is Tomorrow	2/1	2/1	2/1
Morehampton	9/4	9/4	9/4
Suspicious Mindz	9/2	4/1	4/1
Red Autumn	11/2	11/2	11/2
How'sthebai	8/1	7/1	15/2
Felix Somary	18/1	16/1	16/1
Dawn Flame	300/1	100/1	200/1
Fortis Puer	300/1	100/1	250/1
Green Soul	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Summer Is Tomorrow

33.3

OR: 11.3 Form: 12 Odds: 10

2/1

2nd

Red Autumn

20.5

OR: 9.5 Form: 7 Odds: 4

11/2

3rd

Morehampton

20.1

OR: 0 Form: 12.1 Odds: 8

9/4

Green Soul

15.3

OR: 8.8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0

—

Felix Somary

11.6

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Suspicious Mindz

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 5

9/2

How'sthebai

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Dawn Flame

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

300/1

Fortis Puer

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

300/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Summer Is Tomorrow	95	103	96
Red Autumn	88	97	72
Green Soul	85	91	89
Morehampton	—	96	80
Suspicious Mindz	—	103	67
How'sthebai	—	—	—
Felix Somary	—	79	73
Dawn Flame	—	37	15
Fortis Puer	—	64	41

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Fortis Puer	13d ago	Quick return
Dawn Flame	16d ago	Fit
Morehampton	19d ago	Fit
Suspicious Mindz	24d ago	Fit
Felix Somary	26d ago	Fit
Summer Is Tomorrow	28d ago	Fit
Green Soul	28d ago	Fit
Red Autumn	39d ago	Fit
How'sthebai	—	—