Nyetimber Handicap (GBBPlus Race) – Newmarket

Newmarket

17:20

Nyetimber Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

Date 2025-05-04

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 3

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £15,462

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (6)	Merchant Bay J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	133	—	721-	82	94	39	128d	—	—	-9	36.5	0.25/1	Evens 50%
Improved run by run as a 2yo; step up in trip should suit now handicapping; unexposed
2 (4)	Watching Stars Chestnut J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	134	—	4413-4	83	93	82	17d	—	—	-10	16.3	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Looked to find 1m too sharp here last month; bred for this trip and not fully exposed
7 (3)	Lightening Mann Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Jack Channon	J:Rossa Ryan T:Jack Channon	128	t	75-123	77	93	88	18d	—	—	-1	9.8	2.00/1	8/1 11%
1m maiden win on AW in March; placed in two 1m2f handicaps since; up in class
5 (2)	General Admission Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	129	—	2-424	78	92	-	50d	—	—	+4	13	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Switch to turf handicaps over a new trip offers hope of better; improvement needed though
4 (5)	Hallelujah U Bay J:Harry Davies T:James Owen	J:Harry Davies T:James Owen	130	—	651-3	79	92	44	19d	—	—	+6	12	3.00/1	12/1 8%
1m AW winner at two; outpaced before running on late over C&D on h'cap debut last month
6 (1)	Sir Paul Ramsey Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Charlie Johnston	J:Callum Shepherd T:Charlie Johnston	128	—	354-	77	89	76	268d	—	—	+5	9.5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Absent since August but he's upped in trip for his handicap debut and should improve at 3
1 (7)	Naina Bay J:Christian Howarth(3) T:John Ryan	J:Christian Howarth(3) T:John Ryan	135	—	61186-	84	90	82	190d	—	—	+15	17.1	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Four 7f wins as a 2yo; new trip for reappearance; best form on slower than good

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Merchant	evn	10/11	Evens
Watching Stars	11/4	5/2	11/4
Lightening Mann	8/1	15/2	15/2
General Admission	9/1	9/1	9/1
Hallelujah U	12/1	12/1	12/1
Sir Paul Ramsey	25/1	22/1	22/1
Naina	50/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Merchant

36.5

OR: 8 Form: 13.5 Odds: 15

Evens

2nd

Naina

17.1

OR: 8.5 Form: 8 Odds: 0.6

50/1

3rd

Watching Stars

16.3

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 8

11/4

General Admission

OR: 7 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Hallelujah U

OR: 7.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Lightening Mann

9.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Sir Paul Ramsey

9.5

OR: 6.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Naina	84	90	82
Watching Stars	83	93	82
Merchant	82	94	39
Hallelujah U	79	92	44
General Admission	78	92	—
Lightening Mann	77	93	88
Sir Paul Ramsey	77	89	76

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Watching Stars	17d ago	Fit
Lightening Mann	18d ago	Fit
Hallelujah U	19d ago	Fit
General Admission	50d ago	Fresh
Merchant	128d ago	Long break
Naina	190d ago	Long break
Sir Paul Ramsey	268d ago	Long break