Carling King Richard III Cup Handicap – Leicester

Leicester

14:05

Carling King Richard III Cup Handicap

Date 2025-04-26

Distance 6f

Class Class 2

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £25,770

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (2)	Completely Random Grey J:Trevor Whelan T:Harry Charlton	J:Trevor Whelan T:Harry Charlton	127	—	6254-1	92	115	86	20d	—	—	+11	24.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Impressive surge to the front at Southwell (5f) latest; up 6lb but looks progressive
3 (11)	Sergeant Wilko Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Kevin Ryan	J:Oisin Murphy T:Kevin Ryan	130	—	11105-	95	111	99	196d	—	—	+12	24.9	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Progressive 3yo, including a C&D win; still low mileage but slower ground seems ideal
9 (4)	Trilby Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Sam England	J:Billy Loughnane T:Sam England	121	—	210-01	86	114	96	10d	—	0W/0P 1 run	0	12.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Travels strongly; continued progress at Beverley ten days ago; up in class; softer ideal
10 (8)	Havana Pusey Bay J:Jack Doughty(3) T:John Gallagher	J:Jack Doughty(3) T:John Gallagher	120	—	020-24	85	114	100	15d	—	—	+1	11.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Two good efforts in defeat this year & another big run expected despite the rise in class
11 (7)	Rousing Encore Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	118	—	1335-5	83	113	105	15d	—	—	+2	10.8	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Sharper for Newbury return; this mark looks within range on 2024 best; each-way shout
8 (9)	Akkadian Thunder Chestnut J:David Probert T:David O'Meara	J:David Probert T:David O'Meara	126	—	10283-	91	113	92	182d	—	—	+12	20.1	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Low mileage for his age and still has an air of unfinished business; 6f on good ground a ?
7 (10)	Billyjoh Grey J:Frederick Larson T:Michael Appleby	J:Frederick Larson T:Michael Appleby	127	p	3004-8	92	113	106	27d	—	—	+4	12.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Had some high-class handicap form last year; sharper for reappearance; not ruled out
1 (1)	Commanche Falls Brown J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	138	p	34658-	103	113	98	183d	—	—	+8	16	3.00/1	12/1 8%
High-class in his heyday; on downgrade last year but a fire still burned; may need this
2 (3)	Strike Red Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	133	—	9019-6	98	112	96	20d	—	—	+7	13.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Won a big-field sprint at York last October (6f, soft); needs to leave reappearance behind
4 (6)	Germanic Chestnut J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	130	—	12308-	95	110	87	196d	—	—	+12	18	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Unexposed 4yo; sold for 140,000gns since latest start; something to prove on good/faster
5 (5)	Fivethousandtoone Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Tim Easterby	J:Rob Hornby T:Tim Easterby	128	v	0-7440	93	114	100	8d	—	—	+8	12	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Flopped at Newcastle eight days ago but in a messy race; lower mark on turf; visor back on

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Completely Random	9/2	9/2	9/2
Sergeant Wilko	11/2	11/2	6/1
Trilby	11/2	11/2	11/2
Havana Pusey	13/2	13/2	13/2
Rousing Encore	8/1	8/1	8/1
Akkadian Thunder	9/1	9/1	9/1
Billyjoh	10/1	11/1	10/1
Commanche Falls	12/1	12/1	11/1
Strike Red	12/1	12/1	11/1
Germanic	14/1	14/1	14/1
Fivethousandtoone	20/1	22/1	20/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sergeant Wilko

24.9

OR: 11.3 Form: 10 Odds: 3.6

6/1

2nd

Completely Random

24.5

OR: 10.5 Form: 10 Odds: 4

9/2

3rd

Akkadian Thunder

20.1

OR: 10.3 Form: 7.5 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Germanic

OR: 11.3 Form: 5 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Commanche Falls

OR: 13.3 Form: 0.6 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Strike Red

13.7

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Billyjoh

12.9

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Trilby

12.6

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Fivethousandtoone

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Havana Pusey

11.8

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Rousing Encore

10.8

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

8/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Commanche Falls	103	113	98
Strike Red	98	112	96
Sergeant Wilko	95	111	99
Germanic	95	110	87
Fivethousandtoone	93	114	100
Completely Random	92	115	86
Billyjoh	92	113	106
Akkadian Thunder	91	113	92
Trilby	86	114	96
Havana Pusey	85	114	100
Rousing Encore	83	113	105

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Fivethousandtoone	8d ago	Quick return
Trilby	10d ago	Quick return
Havana Pusey	15d ago	Fit
Rousing Encore	15d ago	Fit
Completely Random	20d ago	Fit
Strike Red	20d ago	Fit
Billyjoh	27d ago	Fit
Akkadian Thunder	182d ago	Long break
Commanche Falls	183d ago	Long break
Sergeant Wilko	196d ago	Long break
Germanic	196d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Havana Pusey	Hold Up
Fivethousandtoone	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 11 runners classified.