Happy New Year From All At Cork Maiden Hurdle

Cork

12:30

Date 2025-01-04

Distance 2m190y

Class

Going Yielding To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4-5yo

Prize €7,080

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4	Kiss Will Bay Roan J:Paul Townend T:W P Mullins	J:Paul Townend T:W P Mullins	166	—	2-	-	-	-	478d	—	—	-34	25	0.14/1	4/7 64%
Cost 280,000euros after a promising run at Fontainebleau, given plenty of time to mature
12	Bacchanalian Chestnut J:Sean O'Keeffe T:Declan Queally	J:Sean O'Keeffe T:Declan Queally	153	h	42	-	129	119	9d	—	—	-12	12.4	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Showed definite potential for a maiden success when second at Limerick nine days ago
8	Pure Steel Bay J:Mark Walsh T:James Joseph Mangan	J:Mark Walsh T:James Joseph Mangan	166	—	1-4	-	100	90	27d	—	—	-10	14.3	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Point winner for Derek O'Connor, capable of building on last month's fourth at this venue
10	Tadhg's Rock Bay J:John Shinnick(5) T:Terence O'Brien	J:John Shinnick(5) T:Terence O'Brien	166	—	6-4	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.2	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Signs of ability in two point-to-points, pedigree implies he may prefer further than this
5	Nelson County Bay J:Brian Hayes T:Ross O'Sullivan	J:Brian Hayes T:Ross O'Sullivan	166	—	42-0	-	92	49	19d	—	—	-1	0.4	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Never involved at Naas last month on first hurdles start, likely to need more experience
2	Cappa Hill Bay J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Sean Joseph Allen	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Sean Joseph Allen	166	t	P-44	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Fourth in both starts during the autumn point-to-point campaign, others preferred
1	Bop Wont Stop Bay J:Phillip Enright T:Rodger Sweeney	J:Phillip Enright T:Rodger Sweeney	166	—	4P	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Point debut at Lisronagh was satisfactory, pulled up at Lingstown on second outing
13	Meteor Storm Bay J:Kevin A Murphy(7) T:Eugene M O'Sullivan	J:Kevin A Murphy(7) T:Eugene M O'Sullivan	153	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Rated 68 after three Flat starts for Ger Lyons, sprinting pedigree but seems to stay well
7	Nukie's Artic Bay J:Mr R Sugrue(7) T:Eoin Christopher McCarthy	J:Mr R Sugrue(7) T:Eoin Christopher McCarthy	166	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Dam is a half-sister to useful hurdle/chase winner Captain CJ, best watched
11	Tea In The Park Bay J:Michael O'Sullivan T:Eamon Courtney	J:Michael O'Sullivan T:Eamon Courtney	166	—	3P4-0	-	62	43	22d	—	—	-3	1	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Ordinary point-to-point form, 100-1 when in rear at this venue on hurdling debut
6	Nettuno Italia Bay J:Donagh Meyler T:Ross O'Sullivan	J:Donagh Meyler T:Ross O'Sullivan	166	—	—	-	78	63	22d	—	—	0	0.1	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Never better than mid-division when 80-1 chance on debut over C&D, unlikely to feature
3	Kilcrea Castle Bay J:Mike O'Connor T:James Joseph Mangan	J:Mike O'Connor T:James Joseph Mangan	166	—	9-P0	-	93	17	27d	—	—	0	0.1	62.50/1	250/1 0%
No sign of winning potential at this stage, his trainer also runs the promising Pure Steel
9	Simpson's Paradox Bay J:Mr C P Tierney(7) T:John Andrew Kinsella	J:Mr C P Tierney(7) T:John Andrew Kinsella	166	t	80	-	90	51	28d	—	—	0	0.1	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Flat winner in 2023, regressive last year, two ordinary efforts over hurdles so far
14	Nobody Bay J:Sean Flanagan T:Brendan Maurice Walsh	J:Sean Flanagan T:Brendan Maurice Walsh	153	h	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	0	0.1	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Low-rated handicapper on the Flat, hard to fancy though trainer has had two recent winners

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Kiss Will	4/7	4/9	2/5
Bacchanalian	5/2	9/4	9/4
Pure Steel	3/1	11/4	11/4
Tadhg's Rock	33/1	25/1	25/1
Nelson County	66/1	80/1	66/1
Cappa Hill	50/1	40/1	33/1
Bop Wont Stop	80/1	40/1	33/1
Meteor Storm	66/1	50/1	40/1
Nukie's Artic	200/1	150/1	125/1
Tea In The Park	200/1	150/1	125/1
Nettuno Italia	250/1	200/1	150/1
Kilcrea Castle	250/1	200/1	150/1
Simpson's Paradox	200/1	200/1	150/1
Nobody	250/1	200/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kiss Will

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 20

4/7

2nd

Pure Steel

14.3

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 7.3

3/1

3rd

Bacchanalian

12.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 7.4

5/2

Tadhg's Rock

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

33/1

Tea In The Park

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

200/1

Cappa Hill

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Bop Wont Stop

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

80/1

Meteor Storm

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Nelson County

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Nukie's Artic

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

200/1

Nettuno Italia

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

250/1

Kilcrea Castle

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

250/1

Simpson's Paradox

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

200/1

Nobody

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

250/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Kiss Will	—	—	—
Bacchanalian	—	129	119
Pure Steel	—	100	90
Tadhg's Rock	—	—	—
Nelson County	—	92	49
Cappa Hill	—	—	—
Bop Wont Stop	—	—	—
Meteor Storm	—	—	—
Nukie's Artic	—	—	—
Tea In The Park	—	62	43
Nettuno Italia	—	78	63
Kilcrea Castle	—	93	17
Simpson's Paradox	—	90	51
Nobody	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bacchanalian	9d ago	Quick return
Nelson County	19d ago	Fit
Tea In The Park	22d ago	Fit
Nettuno Italia	22d ago	Fit
Pure Steel	27d ago	Fit
Kilcrea Castle	27d ago	Fit
Simpson's Paradox	28d ago	Fit
Kiss Will	478d ago	Long break
Tadhg's Rock	—	—
Cappa Hill	—	—
Bop Wont Stop	—	—
Meteor Storm	—	—
Nukie's Artic	—	—
Nobody	—	—