Happy Valley

10:10

Mercury Handicap (Class 5) (3yo+) (Course C+3) (Turf)

Date 2024-12-26
Distance 6f
Class
Going Good
Type Flat
Surface Turf
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £49,296

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
R13 (13)
Timestorm
Bay
J:TBC
T:D J Hall
J:
T:D J Hall
130 v 945168
35
56
-
15d
5
Made just a satisfactory seasonal debut and is still 5lb above his winning mark
R14 (14)
Alloy King
Bay
J:TBC
T:Jimmy Ting
J:
T:Jimmy Ting
120 b 800930
25
61
-
22d
2.1
Placed at big odds last month but well held since; overall profile remains unconvincing
1 (1)
Speedy Smartie
Bay
J:Jerry Chau(2)
T:T P Yung
J:Jerry Chau(2)
T:T P Yung
135 t 303574
40
58
-
15d
0.9
Fourth from stall 12 in higher-grade C&D race this month; has stall 1 today
2 (12)
Winning Heart
Bay
J:Harry Bentley
T:A S Cruz
J:Harry Bentley
T:A S Cruz
135 tb 909322
40
63
-
22d
10
Placed on last three appearances but dealt a duff hand draw-wise today
3 (9)
Ever Smart
Bay
J:Hugh Bowman
T:F C Lor
J:Hugh Bowman
T:F C Lor
134 t 904083
39
59
-
22d
3
Placed over C&D when dropped to this grade this month and enters calculations
4 (11)
Flying Dragon
Bay
J:Alexis Pouchin
T:C H Yip
J:Alexis Pouchin
T:C H Yip
134 t 090830
39
56
-
11d
2.1
Seemingly back in form when placed last month but well held since
5 (5)
Super Charizzard
Grey
J:Zac Purton
T:Mark Newnham
J:Zac Purton
T:Mark Newnham
134 e/s 999416
39
62
-
11d
7
Came good with C&D win last month and subsequent 7f run was perfectly respectable
6 (10)
Wood On Fire
Bay
J:M L Yeung
T:C W Chang
J:M L Yeung
T:C W Chang
134 tv 483084
39
62
-
29d
0.9
Seven-time C&D winner but on the downgrade now and has tough draw today
7 (3)
Fairy Horse
Bay
J:Ellis Wong(7)
T:C Fownes
J:Ellis Wong(7)
T:C Fownes
133 et 267407
38
61
-
22d
0
12-race maiden; recent efforts have been underwhelming; needs to raise game
8 (4)
Hero Star
b/br
J:Angus Chung(3)
T:K L Man
J:Angus Chung(3)
T:K L Man
131 tp 697060
36
61
-
50d
0
1lb below last winning mark now but has run to form on only one of four starts this season
9 (8)
Circuit Ten
Bay
J:Brenton Avdulla
T:W Y So
J:Brenton Avdulla
T:W Y So
130 t 000745
35
58
-
29d
0
Last two 5f runs were respectable but he's 0-14 in Hong Kong now; others look stronger
10 (6)
The Concentration
br/bl
J:Matthew Poon
T:P F Yiu
J:Matthew Poon
T:P F Yiu
129 et 000708
34
60
-
36d
0
Largely disappointing since 7f win at Sha Tin in June
11 (7)
Speedy Chariot
Bay
J:L J Ferraris
T:Douglas Whyte
J:L J Ferraris
T:Douglas Whyte
128 tb 042045
33
61
-
22d
1.5
Unlucky not to finish closer than fifth two runs ago but no excuses when fifth last time
12 (2)
E Glory
Bay
J:Matthew Chadwick
T:W K Mo
J:Matthew Chadwick
T:W K Mo
125 tb 904270
30
60
-
36d
2.5
Began season with two good runs but has quickly gone off the boil since

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Winning Heart
10
OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 0
2nd Super Charizzard
7
OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 0
3rd Timestorm
5
OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0
4 Ever Smart
3
OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0
5 E Glory
2.5
OR: 0 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0
6 Alloy King
2.1
OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0
7 Flying Dragon
2.1
OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0
8 Speedy Chariot
1.5
OR: 0 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0
9 Speedy Smartie
0.9
OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0
10 Wood On Fire
0.9
OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0
11 Fairy Horse
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
12 Hero Star
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
13 Circuit Ten
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
14 The Concentration
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Speedy Smartie
40
58
Winning Heart
40
63
Ever Smart
39
59
Flying Dragon
39
56
Super Charizzard
39
62
Wood On Fire
39
62
Fairy Horse
38
61
Hero Star
36
61
Timestorm
35
56
Circuit Ten
35
58
The Concentration
34
60
Speedy Chariot
33
61
E Glory
30
60
Alloy King
25
61

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Flying Dragon 11d ago Quick return
Super Charizzard 11d ago Quick return
Timestorm 15d ago Fit
Speedy Smartie 15d ago Fit
Alloy King 22d ago Fit
Winning Heart 22d ago Fit
Ever Smart 22d ago Fit
Fairy Horse 22d ago Fit
Speedy Chariot 22d ago Fit
Wood On Fire 29d ago Fit
Circuit Ten 29d ago Fit
The Concentration 36d ago Fit
E Glory 36d ago Fit
Hero Star 50d ago Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Happy Valley over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.