Tanners Wines Handicap Hurdle (For Female Amateur Jockeys)

Ludlow

15:45

Date 2024-12-18

Distance 2m5f55y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,470

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4	Solar System Bay J:Miss Thomasina Eyston(3) T:Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	J:Miss Thomasina Eyston(3) T:Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	166	—	1-5312	108	114	99	22d	—	—	-7	35.7	0.28/1	11/10 48%
May have bumped into one at Southwell latest; appealing despite new mark and late errors.
6	Melton Mossy Bay J:Miss Eleanor Williams(7) T:Evan Williams	J:Miss Eleanor Williams(7) T:Evan Williams	161	t	541613	103	110	97	23d	—	—	+14	31.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Four wins this term (one C&D); more in his favour than either previous run off 100-plus.
2	Thankyourluckystar Bay J:Miss Natalie Parker T:Alastair Ralph	J:Miss Natalie Parker T:Alastair Ralph	168	—	422-13	110	111	68	33d	—	—	+5	19	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Good third on recent return from five months out; can build on that; won't mind a dryout.
8	Mactavish Bay J:Mrs Izzie Hill(5) T:Matt Sheppard	J:Mrs Izzie Hill(5) T:Matt Sheppard	155	p	1P3462	97	118	100	21d	—	—	+8	21	1.50/1	6/1 14%
No margin for error off current mark, but trip, track, ground and rider are all assets.
3	Falco Des Pins Bay J:Miss Lucy Turner T:Venetia Williams	J:Miss Lucy Turner T:Venetia Williams	167	—	7662-P	109	112	-	38d	—	—	+7	17.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Big drop in class from last month's stable debut; yard/jockey are repeat winners of this.
7	Kazontherazz Bay J:Miss Louise Chance(7) T:Martin Keighley	J:Miss Louise Chance(7) T:Martin Keighley	160	—	23-005	102	121	89	14d	—	—	+9	14.4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Close second in this off 2lb higher in 2023; mostly a fair bit below that level since.
5	Sweet Street Chestnut J:Miss Clara Brewitt(7) T:Mel Rowley	J:Miss Clara Brewitt(7) T:Mel Rowley	163	—	43-781	105	113	70	153d	—	—	+12	14.5	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Cashed in a much lower chase mark in July and absent since; rider won a point this month.
1	Zacony Rebel Bay J:Miss Jess Stewart(7) T:Sarah-Jayne Davies	J:Miss Jess Stewart(7) T:Sarah-Jayne Davies	168	p	8U55-0	110	113	100	33d	—	—	+14	15.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Drops from 0-125 of last month's low-key stable/seasonal debut; others still likelier.

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Solar System	11/10	evn	11/10
Melton Mossy	9/2	9/2	9/2
Thankyourluckystar	11/2	11/2	11/2
Mactavish	6/1	11/2	6/1
Falco Des Pins	12/1	11/1	12/1
Kazontherazz	20/1	18/1	16/1
Sweet Street	33/1	28/1	33/1
Zacony Rebel	66/1	40/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Solar System

35.7

OR: 14.5 Form: 7 Odds: 14.2

11/10

2nd

Melton Mossy

31.3

OR: 13.3 Form: 13 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Mactavish

OR: 11.8 Form: 5.6 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Thankyourluckystar

OR: 15 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Falco Des Pins

17.6

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

12/1

Zacony Rebel

15.5

OR: 15 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Sweet Street

14.5

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Kazontherazz

14.4

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Thankyourluckystar	110	111	68
Zacony Rebel	110	113	100
Falco Des Pins	109	112	—
Solar System	108	114	99
Sweet Street	105	113	70
Melton Mossy	103	110	97
Kazontherazz	102	121	89
Mactavish	97	118	100

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Kazontherazz	14d ago	Fit
Mactavish	21d ago	Fit
Solar System	22d ago	Fit
Melton Mossy	23d ago	Fit
Thankyourluckystar	33d ago	Fit
Zacony Rebel	33d ago	Fit
Falco Des Pins	38d ago	Fit
Sweet Street	153d ago	Long break