Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

16:45

Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2024-12-14

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,972

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
12 (7)	Spectacular Style Chestnut J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	130	h	14-947	74	89	-	82d	—	—	-11	13.3	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Gained sole win over 1m4f; below best this year; enough to prove
7 (9)	Master Of Combat Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Kevin Frost	J:Rossa Ryan T:Kevin Frost	132	—	088818	76	93	72	28d	—	—	+1	18.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
All AW wins at Wolverhampton but has form figures of 333 here; not ruled out
8 (3)	Feel The Need Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	132	—	274555	76	94	68	28d	—	—	-6	11.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Shaped well in difficult circumstances at Newcastle back on AW last time; one to consider
11 (1)	Hitched Bay J:Hayley Turner T:David Simcock	J:Hayley Turner T:David Simcock	131	h	954111	75	91	73	22d	—	—	+20	31.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Completed a quickfire hat-trick last month; up in grade but is better than ever
1 (6)	Bowood Bay J:Elle-May Croot(5) T:Ivan Furtado	J:Elle-May Croot(5) T:Ivan Furtado	134	—	711106	78	89	57	54d	—	—	+12	19.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
0-10 on AW and looks unfavourably treated; still on career-high mark
2 (10)	Pasha Bay J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:Paul & Oliver Cole	J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:Paul & Oliver Cole	133	t	-51743	78	92	54	11d	—	—	+7	15.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Low-mileage filly who may settle better back down in distance; possibilities
4 (11)	He's A Gentleman Grey J:Jason Hart T:Hugo Palmer	J:Jason Hart T:Hugo Palmer	133	v	210295	77	91	70	28d	—	—	+6	13.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Won off this mark on turf in July; has lacked consistency otherwise this year
6 (8)	Modern Times Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	132	tv	620030	77	91	64	28d	—	—	+6	11.5	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Chance of opening his account depends on how well he reacts to the headgear
9 (12)	Siam Fox Bay J:Sam James T:Kevin Frost	J:Sam James T:Kevin Frost	132	t	479344	76	89	75	43d	—	—	+5	9	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Currently in a consistent vein of form; on last winning mark; not dismissed
10 (2)	Imperial Fighter Bay J:William Carver(3) T:Jamie Osborne	J:William Carver(3) T:Jamie Osborne	131	t	008099	75	89	67	11d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+5	6.7	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Has unconvincing form figures this year for new stable
NR (5)	Cosmos Raj Bay J:Mark Winn T:David O'Meara	J:Mark Winn T:David O'Meara	133	—	405116	77	90	48	254d	—	—	—	18.8	—	—
Absent since April; still well treated but has never won when fresh
NR (4)	Repertoire Bay J:Taryn Langley(7) T:David Simcock	J:Taryn Langley(7) T:David Simcock	132	—	453738	76	95	-	68d	—	—	—	9.5	—	—
Not seen on AW since 2021 but is attractively treated; all handicap wins off 4lb higher

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Spectacular Style	10/3	10/3	7/2
Master Of Combat	7/2	10/3	7/2
Feel The Need	4/1	4/1	4/1
Hitched	7/1	11/2	11/2
Bowood	11/1	11/1	11/1
Pasha	10/1	10/1	10/1
He's A Gentleman	12/1	12/1	12/1
Modern Times	18/1	18/1	18/1
Siam Fox	22/1	22/1	22/1
Imperial Fighter	50/1	40/1	50/1
Cosmos Raj	-	-	-
Repertoire	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Hitched

31.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 22 Odds: 3.3

7/1

2nd

Bowood

19.1

OR: 7 Form: 10 Odds: 2.1

11/1

3rd

Cosmos Raj

18.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 12 Odds: 0

—

Master Of Combat

18.7

OR: 6.5 Form: 7 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Pasha

15.5

OR: 7 Form: 6 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Spectacular Style

13.3

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

7/2

He's A Gentleman

13.2

OR: 6.8 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Feel The Need

11.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Modern Times

11.5

OR: 6.8 Form: 3.1 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Repertoire

9.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 3 Odds: 0

—

Siam Fox

OR: 6.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1

22/1

Imperial Fighter

6.7

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bowood	78	89	57
Pasha	78	92	54
He's A Gentleman	77	91	70
Modern Times	77	91	64
Cosmos Raj	77	90	48
Master Of Combat	76	93	72
Feel The Need	76	94	68
Siam Fox	76	89	75
Repertoire	76	95	—
Hitched	75	91	73
Imperial Fighter	75	89	67
Spectacular Style	74	89	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Pasha	11d ago	Quick return
Imperial Fighter	11d ago	Quick return
Hitched	22d ago	Fit
Master Of Combat	28d ago	Fit
Feel The Need	28d ago	Fit
He's A Gentleman	28d ago	Fit
Modern Times	28d ago	Fit
Siam Fox	43d ago	Fit
Bowood	54d ago	Fresh
Repertoire	68d ago	Fresh
Spectacular Style	82d ago	Fresh
Cosmos Raj	254d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 5 draws with historical results at this course and distance.