William Hill Top Price Guarantee Rated Race – Dundalk (AW)

Dundalk (AW)

19:45

William Hill Top Price Guarantee Rated Race

Date 2024-11-15

Distance 1m2f150y

Class

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €9,735

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (5)	Persian Bliss Bay J:David Egan T:Adrian Murray	J:David Egan T:Adrian Murray	134	—	1	-	88	52	21d	—	—	-16	22.5	0.28/1	11/10 48%
Showed a good attitude to win over C&D on debut and should be a player with more to come
2 (4)	Debora's Dream Brown J:Colin Keane T:Jennie Candlish	J:Colin Keane T:Jennie Candlish	137	—	311353	88	96	-	10d	—	—	+1	27	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Three wins for Roger Varian incl' on AW; fine run for this yard last time and a player
5 (6)	Not Just Any Eagle Bay J:Robyn Donaghue-Leahy(7) T:Patrick J Flynn	J:Robyn Donaghue-Leahy(7) T:Patrick J Flynn	128	—	213531	76	87	-	98d	—	—	+12	25.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Won twice on turf this year and has run well on AW too but absent for over 3 months
7 (1)	Bloom Vega Bay J:Rory Mulligan(7) T:J P Murtagh	J:Rory Mulligan(7) T:J P Murtagh	124	—	2558	75	89	-	12d	—	—	+2	10	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Some decent maiden runs but not at her best over 1m4f last time; needs more on AW bow
4 (7)	Acotango Bay J:Keithen Kennedy(7) T:Gerard O'Leary	J:Keithen Kennedy(7) T:Gerard O'Leary	133	—	063302	81	95	59	28d	—	—	+10	17.3	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Sole win from 16 starts came on AW; just denied in a C&D claimer last time; considered
1 (2)	San Andreas Bay J:Julian Pietropaolo(7) T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Julian Pietropaolo(7) T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	138	—	569549	86	92	59	7d	—	—	+6	10.1	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Six AW wins up to 1m but has run well over this trip; regressive this term but a player
6 (3)	Effernock Fizz Bay J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Cian Collins	J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Cian Collins	127	tp	658-00	67	86	-	144d	—	—	+3	4.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Tough and talented dual-purpose mare but has never won on AW and best watched on return

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Persian Bliss	11/10	11/10	11/10
Debora's Dream	9/4	2/1	9/4
Not Just Any Eagle	13/2	13/2	13/2
Bloom Vega	11/1	11/1	11/1
Acotango	11/1	12/1	12/1
San Andreas	20/1	20/1	20/1
Effernock Fizz	50/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Debora's Dream

OR: 9.5 Form: 9.5 Odds: 8

9/4

2nd

Not Just Any Eagle

25.1

OR: 6.5 Form: 15 Odds: 3.6

13/2

3rd

Persian Bliss

22.5

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 12.5

11/10

Acotango

17.3

OR: 7.8 Form: 7.4 Odds: 2.1

12/1

San Andreas

10.1

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Bloom Vega

OR: 6.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Effernock Fizz

4.6

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Debora's Dream	88	96	—
San Andreas	86	92	59
Acotango	81	95	59
Not Just Any Eagle	76	87	—
Bloom Vega	75	89	—
Effernock Fizz	67	86	—
Persian Bliss	—	88	52

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
San Andreas	7d ago	Quick return
Debora's Dream	10d ago	Quick return
Bloom Vega	12d ago	Quick return
Persian Bliss	21d ago	Fit
Acotango	28d ago	Fit
Not Just Any Eagle	98d ago	Long break
Effernock Fizz	144d ago	Long break