Irish Stallion Farms EBF Race – Dundalk (AW)

Dundalk (AW)

16:45

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Race

Date 2024-11-15

Distance 6f

Class

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize €12,980

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (11)	Sounds Like A Plan Grey J:W J Lee T:A Oliver	J:W J Lee T:A Oliver	136	—	1	-	91	-	181d	—	—	-18	23.3	0.30/1	6/5 45%
Impressive Navan debut winner back in May but absent since; could take the beating
2 (8)	East Hampton Bay J:Luke McAteer T:David Marnane	J:Luke McAteer T:David Marnane	136	—	4571	90	87	-	29d	—	—	+5	26.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Recent Curragh winner; brother to a 6f AW winner so good chance he'll handle this surface
1 (7)	Dark Ace Bay J:Adam Caffrey(3) T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Adam Caffrey(3) T:Adrian McGuinness	136	—	891	80	90	45	16d	—	—	+8	21.5	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Much improved for C&D win on AW debut last month; good chance of following up
10 (2)	Cradle Of Love Bay J:Declan McDonogh T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Declan McDonogh T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	126	tp	877535	84	93	81	7d	—	—	0	15	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Contender on best form but becoming disappointing and vulnerable
5 (3)	Gran Habano Chestnut J:David Egan T:Adrian Murray	J:David Egan T:Adrian Murray	131	—	487	80	80	-	29d	—	—	+3	9.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Fair level of form in 3 starts but 6l to find with East Hampton on recent Curragh run
8 (6)	The Duke Mardukas Bay J:Colin Keane T:J P Murtagh	J:Colin Keane T:J P Murtagh	131	b	7	-	62	-	24d	—	—	-4	1.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Needs to improve plenty on recent Curragh debut but blinkered now and Keane takes over
6 (4)	Just Jump Bay J:J M Sheridan T:Andrew Slattery	J:J M Sheridan T:Andrew Slattery	131	—	78	-	80	-	23d	—	—	-2	0.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Slowly away and green when midfield in Navan maidens last month; lots more needed
4 (5)	Fort Star Bay J:Rory Cleary T:Ms Sheila Lavery	J:Rory Cleary T:Ms Sheila Lavery	131	—	—	-	51	-	23d	—	—	-1	0.2	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Never counted after awkward start on last month's Navan debut; best watched for now
9 (9)	Chriselli Grey J:Leigh Roche T:Denis W Cullen	J:Leigh Roche T:Denis W Cullen	126	—	—	-	57	-	29d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Minor late headway on recent Curragh debut behind East Hampton but nearly 10l to find
7 (10)	Little Lando Bay J:Robbie Colgan T:David Marnane	J:Robbie Colgan T:David Marnane	131	—	—	-	57	15	16d	—	—	0	0.1	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Slowly away and green when last of 12 behind Dark Ace over C&D last month
11 (1)	Miss Susanna Bay J:Robert Whearty(3) T:Keelan Dempsey	J:Robert Whearty(3) T:Keelan Dempsey	126	—	—	-	-	-	14d	—	—	0	0.1	62.50/1	250/1 0%
No chance after a desperately slow start over 5f here a fortnight ago; best watched

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Sounds Like A Plan	6/5	11/10	11/10
East Hampton	3/1	3/1	10/3
Dark Ace	5/1	6/1	5/1
Cradle Of Love	15/2	13/2	13/2
Gran Habano	12/1	11/1	11/1
The Duke Mardukas	16/1	16/1	16/1
Just Jump	33/1	33/1	33/1
Fort Star	100/1	100/1	100/1
Chriselli	100/1	150/1	100/1
Little Lando	200/1	150/1	200/1
Miss Susanna	250/1	200/1	250/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

East Hampton

26.2

OR: 10 Form: 10 Odds: 6.2

10/3

2nd

Sounds Like A Plan

23.3

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 13.3

6/5

3rd

Dark Ace

21.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 10 Odds: 4

6/1

Cradle Of Love

OR: 8.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 4.4

15/2

Gran Habano

9.4

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

The Duke Mardukas

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Just Jump

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Fort Star

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

100/1

Chriselli

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Little Lando

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

200/1

Miss Susanna

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

250/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
East Hampton	90	87	—
Cradle Of Love	84	93	81
Dark Ace	80	90	45
Gran Habano	80	80	—
Sounds Like A Plan	—	91	—
The Duke Mardukas	—	62	—
Just Jump	—	80	—
Fort Star	—	51	—
Chriselli	—	57	—
Little Lando	—	57	15
Miss Susanna	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Cradle Of Love	7d ago	Quick return
Miss Susanna	14d ago	Fit
Dark Ace	16d ago	Fit
Little Lando	16d ago	Fit
Just Jump	23d ago	Fit
Fort Star	23d ago	Fit
The Duke Mardukas	24d ago	Fit
East Hampton	29d ago	Fit
Gran Habano	29d ago	Fit
Chriselli	29d ago	Fit
Sounds Like A Plan	181d ago	Long break