Free Bets With BetUK Bet Club Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

20:15

Free Bets With BetUK Bet Club Handicap

Date 2024-11-04

Distance 1m4f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,716

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (6)	Alrazeen Chestnut J:David Allan T:Gay Kelleway	J:David Allan T:Gay Kelleway	134	b	337592	77	83	63	10d	—	—	-3	19	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Back on track with near miss at Wolverhampton (2m) latest and he's respected back in trip
2 (5)	Met Office Bay J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:John Butler	J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:John Butler	137	—	5-8604	75	88	64	24d	—	—	-8	12.4	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Hard to predict but he's on a workable mark and was an eyecatcher at Kempton last time
1 (2)	Melek Alreeh Bay J:Rob Hornby T:David Simcock	J:Rob Hornby T:David Simcock	139	—	-21868	77	86	64	40d	—	—	+2	14.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Won over C&D in March but he's been laboured since; needs a major revival back on AW
3 (7)	Desert Emperor Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	136	—	/86389	74	79	71	67d	—	—	-3	11.5	1.50/1	6/1 14%
All of his wins were at the end of 2021 and he's been well held on Tapeta in last two runs
5 (3)	Kinetic Bay J:Laura Pearson T:James Owen	J:Laura Pearson T:James Owen	132	—	111415	75	80	62	31d	—	—	+8	22.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Four wins since August; didn't fire latest but it's still hard to rule out more progress
7 (4)	Western Stars Bay J:Jason Hart T:Jim Boyle	J:Jason Hart T:Jim Boyle	130	—	107679	68	86	72	11d	—	—	-5	8.1	2.50/1	10/1 9%
On dangerous mark in suitable conditions but he needs to get back on track
6 (1)	Thrilling Dream Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Ed Dunlop	J:Oisin Orr T:Ed Dunlop	132	b	254119	75	80	65	11d	—	—	+14	19.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Had excuse on soft 11 days ago but he's untried on Tapeta and others are preferred

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Alrazeen	11/4	11/4	11/4
Met Office	3/1	11/4	3/1
Melek Alreeh	5/1	5/1	5/1
Desert Emperor	6/1	11/2	11/2
Kinetic	13/2	13/2	13/2
Western Stars	10/1	9/1	9/1
Thrilling Dream	14/1	14/1	14/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kinetic

22.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 12 Odds: 4

13/2

2nd

Thrilling Dream

19.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 12 Odds: 1.6

14/1

3rd

Alrazeen

OR: 6.8 Form: 5.6 Odds: 6.7

11/4

Melek Alreeh

14.4

OR: 6.8 Form: 4 Odds: 3.6

5/1

Met Office

12.4

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

3/1

Desert Emperor

11.5

OR: 6 Form: 1.5 Odds: 4

6/1

Western Stars

8.1

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

10/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Alrazeen	77	83	63
Melek Alreeh	77	86	64
Met Office	75	88	64
Kinetic	75	80	62
Thrilling Dream	75	80	65
Desert Emperor	74	79	71
Western Stars	68	86	72

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Alrazeen	10d ago	Quick return
Western Stars	11d ago	Quick return
Thrilling Dream	11d ago	Quick return
Met Office	24d ago	Fit
Kinetic	31d ago	Fit
Melek Alreeh	40d ago	Fit
Desert Emperor	67d ago	Fresh