Win £1M With BetMGM's Golden Goals Restricted Maiden Stakes (For horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)

Southwell (AW)

17:45

Date 2024-10-31

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3-5yo

Prize £3,942

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (5)	Spetses Brown J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	133	—	2	-	76	8	27d	—	—	-39	25	0.08/1	3/10 77%
Travelled well but couldn't pick up so well as the winner in steadily-run event on debut
5 (3)	Sedbury Chestnut J:Jason Watson T:Andrew Balding	J:Jason Watson T:Andrew Balding	131	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.3	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Three of his five siblings are winners; powerful yard; starting out in race lacking depth
4 (7)	Thats My Boy Luke Chestnut J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	133	—	84259	63	74	-	24d	—	—	-3	9.4	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Bits of form to his name but overall profile suggests he is vulnerable in this field
1 (1)	Mauchline Bay J:Neil Callan T:James Tate	J:Neil Callan T:James Tate	134	h	54	-	67	41	42d	—	—	-4	1.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Some promise in two 1m maidens last month but he needs the new hood to spark extra
6 (6)	Mrs Potts Bay J:Elle-May Croot(5) T:Scott Dixon	J:Elle-May Croot(5) T:Scott Dixon	126	—	5	-	-	-	10d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Left behind at the start when beaten 23l on her recent Wolverhampton debut
2 (2)	Aye Spyed Bay J:Laura Pearson T:Chris Dwyer	J:Laura Pearson T:Chris Dwyer	133	—	0-0	-	48	8	17d	—	—	0	0.1	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Big prices and poor form in two runs (6f and 1m) 466 days apart; hard to fancy
NR (4)	Rogue State Bay J:TBC T:David O'Meara	J: T:David O'Meara	126	ht	3-3333	63	81	-	65d	—	—	—	5.4	—	—
Has finished third in all six starts but isn't progressing and was well beaten latest

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Spetses	1/4	3/10	2/7
Sedbury	7/1	6/1	6/1
Thats My Boy Luke	7/1	6/1	6/1
Mauchline	20/1	18/1	16/1
Mrs Potts	100/1	150/1	100/1
Aye Spyed	200/1	200/1	250/1
Rogue State	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Spetses

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 20

3/10

2nd

Thats My Boy Luke

9.4

OR: 3.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 3.6

7/1

3rd

Rogue State

5.4

OR: 3.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0

—

Sedbury

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Mauchline

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Mrs Potts

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Aye Spyed

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

250/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Thats My Boy Luke	63	74	—
Rogue State	63	81	—
Spetses	—	76	8
Sedbury	—	—	—
Mauchline	—	67	41
Mrs Potts	—	—	—
Aye Spyed	—	48	8

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mrs Potts	10d ago	Quick return
Aye Spyed	17d ago	Fit
Thats My Boy Luke	24d ago	Fit
Spetses	27d ago	Fit
Mauchline	42d ago	Fit
Rogue State	65d ago	Fresh
Sedbury	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Based on 5 draws with historical results at this course and distance.