Unibet Zero% Mission/British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div I)

Kempton (AW)

17:30

Date 2024-10-30

Distance 7f

Class Class 4

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £5,346

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (3)	Bermuda Longtail Bay J:Jason Watson T:Andrew Balding	J:Jason Watson T:Andrew Balding	128	—	2	-	87	60	19d	—	—	-20	16.8	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Obvious claims after running so well on debut here 19 days ago
4 (4)	Dash Of Azure Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	128	—	22	-	91	-	42d	—	—	-12	17.4	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Twice second, taking good step forward in RPR terms last time; should go well
3 (1)	Dancing Colours Bay J:Dougie Costello T:Charlie Appleby	J:Dougie Costello T:Charlie Appleby	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Dougie Costello 11-41 (+12.33) for Godolphin; needs monitoring closely in the betting
12 (2)	Worthington Lake Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	128	—	04	-	85	57	23d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Has a squeak if taking another good step forward
5 (11)	Desert Spring Brown J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.2	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Might need a longer trip but one from this yard always commands respect
NR (12)	Blue Siam Bay J:Harry Davies T:Hugo Palmer	J:Harry Davies T:Hugo Palmer	128	h	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Trainer has level-stake profit with 2yos in 2024; will emerge from widest stall in a hood
11 (10)	Tapioca Pearl Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Half-sister to some useful 2yos; market should be informative
7 (9)	Gigi Bliss Bay J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Richard Hannon	J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Richard Hannon	128	—	4	-	60	-	47d	—	—	-2	0.7	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Outsider of four and ran accordingly in the face of greenness on last month's debut
6 (5)	Followeroffashion Bay J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	128	—	74	-	66	56	7d	—	—	-2	0.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Handicaps after this should see her in a better light
10 (7)	Split Silk Bay J:Paddy Bradley T:Ollie Sangster	J:Paddy Bradley T:Ollie Sangster	128	—	7	-	60	-	55d	—	—	-1	0.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Probably needs more time having merely closed late to finish seventh of 11 on debut
9 (8)	Sandhill Dancer Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Harry Charlton	J:Trevor Whelan T:Harry Charlton	128	—	—	-	45	28	21d	—	—	-1	0.3	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Sent off 125-1 and beat just one home on debut over 1m here three weeks ago
8 (6)	Leading Star Girl Bay J:Georgia Dobie T:Mark Usher	J:Georgia Dobie T:Mark Usher	128	—	90	-	50	31	16d	—	—	-1	0.3	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Down the field in 6f novice contests nearly five months apart; look elsewhere

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Bermuda Longtail	6/4	6/4	6/4
Dash Of Azure	7/4	7/4	7/4
Dancing Colours	13/2	13/2	13/2
Worthington Lake	8/1	17/2	8/1
Desert Spring	10/1	10/1	9/1
Blue Siam	25/1	20/1	18/1
Tapioca Pearl	40/1	28/1	25/1
Gigi Bliss	50/1	40/1	33/1
Followeroffashion	40/1	33/1	28/1
Split Silk	100/1	100/1	80/1
Sandhill Dancer	100/1	100/1	80/1
Leading Star Girl	100/1	80/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Dash Of Azure

17.4

OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 8.9

7/4

2nd

Bermuda Longtail

16.8

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 11.8

6/4

3rd

Dancing Colours

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Worthington Lake

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

17/2

Desert Spring

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Blue Siam

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

25/1

Tapioca Pearl

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Followeroffashion

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Gigi Bliss

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Split Silk

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Sandhill Dancer

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Leading Star Girl

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bermuda Longtail	—	87	60
Dash Of Azure	—	91	—
Dancing Colours	—	—	—
Worthington Lake	—	85	57
Desert Spring	—	—	—
Blue Siam	—	—	—
Tapioca Pearl	—	—	—
Gigi Bliss	—	60	—
Followeroffashion	—	66	56
Split Silk	—	60	—
Sandhill Dancer	—	45	28
Leading Star Girl	—	50	31

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Followeroffashion	7d ago	Quick return
Leading Star Girl	16d ago	Fit
Bermuda Longtail	19d ago	Fit
Sandhill Dancer	21d ago	Fit
Worthington Lake	23d ago	Fit
Dash Of Azure	42d ago	Fit
Gigi Bliss	47d ago	Fresh
Split Silk	55d ago	Fresh
Dancing Colours	—	—
Desert Spring	—	—
Blue Siam	—	—
Tapioca Pearl	—	—