Download The BetVictor App Handicap – Newbury

Newbury

16:01

Download The BetVictor App Handicap

Date 2024-10-25

Distance 1m4f

Class Class 3

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £12,150

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (2)	Ithaca's Arrow Chestnut J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	133	—	32-213	81	95	83	34d	—	—	-15	18.4	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Has done well back on the Flat this August/September on soft/heavy; major each-way claims
1 (5)	Miller Spirit Bay J:Tom Queally T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:Tom Queally T:Gary & Josh Moore	142	—	142411	90	96	76	26d	—	—	+17	33.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Won twice over Epsom's 1m4f (soft/heavy) in September; well on top last time; up 8lb
9 (6)	Balhambar Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Harry Derham	J:Saffie Osborne T:Harry Derham	131	t	/3457-	79	92	-	—	—	—	0	11.5	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Won on soft in his first two handicaps as hurdler; good 2nd later in April when last seen
4 (11)	Flash Bardot Bay J:David Probert T:Jack Channon	J:David Probert T:Jack Channon	137	—	885993	85	99	77	20d	—	—	+5	14.4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Used to go well in the mud; third at Newmarket (good to soft) last time was an upturn
10 (4)	Calvert Bay J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Roger Teal	J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Roger Teal	126	—	-43227	80	95	77	28d	—	—	+8	16.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Front-running 2nd at Newmarket (1m6f, soft) penultimate start; tailed off on heavy latest
2 (7)	Great Bedwyn Bay J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	140	—	241368	88	94	79	57d	—	—	+9	16.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Perhaps latest outing can be excused but he is unraced on worse than good to soft
3 (1)	Torcello Chestnut J:Elisha Whittington(3) T:Shaun Lycett	J:Elisha Whittington(3) T:Shaun Lycett	138	b	5-1393	86	96	69	13d	—	—	+4	10.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
His wins have got more infrequent, but a renowned mud lover who may well be thereabouts
8 (8)	Thundering Bay J:Sam James T:Kevin Ryan	J:Sam James T:Kevin Ryan	132	—	003032	80	94	68	22d	—	—	+12	16.7	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Something to prove back at 1m2f and on soft or heavy; tailed off here yesterday
5 (9)	Silent Glance Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	135	—	115	89	90	-	121d	—	—	+19	23	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Looked a useful prospect on AW, but something was amiss on handicap/turf debut in June
11 (3)	Graignes Bay J:Charles Bishop T:George Baker	J:Charles Bishop T:George Baker	126	ht	006850	74	96	88	30d	—	—	+4	6.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
18lb lower than this time last year, as he's been out of form
6 (10)	Ruler Legend Bay J:Liam Keniry T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	J:Liam Keniry T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	134	—	19099/	82	-	-	—	—	—	+8	10.6	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Has a reduced mark for this return to Flat but there are more solid options

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Ithaca's Arrow	6/4	6/4	6/4
Miller Spirit	9/2	9/2	9/2
Balhambar	7/1	7/1	7/1
Flash Bardot	8/1	15/2	8/1
Calvert	10/1	9/1	9/1
Great Bedwyn	12/1	12/1	12/1
Torcello	16/1	14/1	14/1
Thundering	20/1	20/1	20/1
Silent Glance	25/1	25/1	25/1
Graignes	33/1	33/1	33/1
Ruler Legend	150/1	125/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Miller Spirit

33.2

OR: 10 Form: 18.5 Odds: 4.7

9/2

2nd

Silent Glance

OR: 9.8 Form: 12 Odds: 1.2

25/1

3rd

Ithaca's Arrow

18.4

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 10.6

6/4

Calvert

16.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 6.9 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Thundering

16.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 8 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Great Bedwyn

16.1

OR: 9.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Flash Bardot

14.4

OR: 8.8 Form: 3 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Balhambar

11.5

OR: 7.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Torcello

10.7

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Ruler Legend

10.6

OR: 8 Form: 2 Odds: 0.6

150/1

Graignes

6.9

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Miller Spirit	90	96	76
Silent Glance	89	90	—
Great Bedwyn	88	94	79
Torcello	86	96	69
Flash Bardot	85	99	77
Ruler Legend	82	—	—
Ithaca's Arrow	81	95	83
Calvert	80	95	77
Thundering	80	94	68
Balhambar	79	92	—
Graignes	74	96	88

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Torcello	13d ago	Quick return
Flash Bardot	20d ago	Fit
Thundering	22d ago	Fit
Miller Spirit	26d ago	Fit
Calvert	28d ago	Fit
Graignes	30d ago	Fit
Ithaca's Arrow	34d ago	Fit
Great Bedwyn	57d ago	Fresh
Silent Glance	121d ago	Long break
Balhambar	—	—
Ruler Legend	—	—