Trustatrader Apply Today Nursery Handicap – Nottingham

Nottingham

15:15

Trustatrader Apply Today Nursery Handicap

Date 2024-10-16

Distance 1m75y

Class Class 5

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £4,187

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (9)	Orchard Bay J:Edward Greatrex T:Warren Greatrex	J:Edward Greatrex T:Warren Greatrex	134	—	064	69	72	67	21d	—	—	-10	10.9	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Improved again when staying-on fourth of 11 in Kempton novice (1m, AW debut) last time
7 (2)	Law Degree Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	131	p	435631	66	76	60	18d	—	—	+2	22.9	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Has run in seven nurseries, winning the two of them on soft; may well have ground to suit
8 (10)	Summer Of Light Bay J:Ray Dawson T:Michael Wigham	J:Ray Dawson T:Michael Wigham	131	—	45732	66	74	68	8d	—	—	+3	14.2	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Clearly best efforts on soft/heavy, placed in nurseries on last two outings; latest was 7f
12 (4)	Romantic Spirit Bay J:David Egan T:David Menuisier	J:David Egan T:David Menuisier	125	—	853	60	71	46	29d	—	—	-2	8.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Market may guide on this nursery debut, which should give her much more of a chance
2 (12)	Modern Utopia Chestnut J:Darragh Keenan T:George Scott	J:Darragh Keenan T:George Scott	135	—	4356	70	73	68	18d	—	—	-1	9.4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
No significant improvement; made an underwhelming nursery debut (7f, soft) 18 days ago
11 (5)	Bright Lily Bay J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	128	—	348	63	72	55	68d	—	—	0	6.5	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Nursery debut on this first run since sold out of Richard Fahey's for 9,500gns in August
1 (1)	Knights Gold Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	J:Joanna Mason T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	135	—	338	70	74	44	61d	—	—	+5	10	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Gelded; needs improvement on nursery debut but has potential in pedigree and needs a check
9 (3)	Big Bug Bay J:Luke Morris T:Martin Dunne	J:Luke Morris T:Martin Dunne	129	tp	326337	64	75	71	39d	—	—	+4	9.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Her three closest finishes were on soft; below form in blinkers latest; cheekpieces now
3 (8)	Wathbah Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	135	p	53376	70	74	53	33d	—	—	+5	8.5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Fair form on first three starts but backward steps in both since; cheekpieces go on
10 (11)	Claim To Glory Bay J:David Probert T:Hugo Palmer	J:David Probert T:Hugo Palmer	129	b	706138	64	73	62	25d	—	—	+8	11.7	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Disappointing last two starts, blinkered at Chester (7f, good to soft) last time
5 (6)	Commander Flavius Bay J:Alec Voikhansky(3) T:Richard Hannon	J:Alec Voikhansky(3) T:Richard Hannon	131	—	006	66	74	56	21d	—	—	+1	5.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
No impact as outsider at Newbury, Kempton and Goodwood; makes his nursery debut
NR (7)	Antelope Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:Richard Hannon	J:NON-RUNNER T:Richard Hannon	131	—	8002	66	-	-	11d	—	—	—	9	—	—

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Orchard	3/1	11/4	3/1
Law Degree	10/3	10/3	10/3
Summer Of Light	15/2	7/1	15/2
Romantic Spirit	6/1	6/1	13/2
Modern Utopia	8/1	8/1	8/1
Bright Lily	12/1	12/1	12/1
Knights Gold	14/1	14/1	14/1
Big Bug	14/1	14/1	16/1
Wathbah	25/1	25/1	25/1
Claim To Glory	25/1	22/1	22/1
Commander Flavius	22/1	25/1	22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Law Degree

22.9

OR: 4 Form: 12.7 Odds: 6.2

10/3

2nd

Summer Of Light

14.2

OR: 4 Form: 7.1 Odds: 3.1

15/2

3rd

Claim To Glory

11.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 7.1 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Orchard

10.9

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

3/1

Knights Gold

OR: 5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Big Bug

9.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 4.6 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Modern Utopia

9.4

OR: 5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Antelope

OR: 4 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Romantic Spirit

8.6

OR: 2.5 Form: 3 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Wathbah

8.5

OR: 5 Form: 2.4 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Bright Lily

6.5

OR: 3.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Commander Flavius

5.2

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Modern Utopia	70	73	68
Knights Gold	70	74	44
Wathbah	70	74	53
Orchard	69	72	67
Law Degree	66	76	60
Summer Of Light	66	74	68
Commander Flavius	66	74	56
Antelope	66	—	—
Big Bug	64	75	71
Claim To Glory	64	73	62
Bright Lily	63	72	55
Romantic Spirit	60	71	46

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Summer Of Light	8d ago	Quick return
Antelope	11d ago	Quick return
Law Degree	18d ago	Fit
Modern Utopia	18d ago	Fit
Orchard	21d ago	Fit
Commander Flavius	21d ago	Fit
Claim To Glory	25d ago	Fit
Romantic Spirit	29d ago	Fit
Wathbah	33d ago	Fit
Big Bug	39d ago	Fit
Knights Gold	61d ago	Fresh
Bright Lily	68d ago	Fresh