trustatrader.com Nursery Handicap – Nottingham

Nottingham

16:18

trustatrader.com Nursery Handicap

Date 2024-10-16

Distance 5f8y

Class Class 4

Going Heavy

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £5,496

Winning Time 1m 4.04s (slow by 6.44s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	I'm Next (GB) David Allan · Tim Easterby	17/2	Won
2nd	Jm Jhingree (IRE) Jason Hart · John & Sean Quinn	17/2	1.75
3rd	I Need Your Love (GB) Billy Garritty · Michael & David Easterby	11/2	1.75
4th	Havana Gila (GB) Hayley Turner · Harry Eustace	100/30	1.25
5th	Pont Neuf (IRE) George Downing · Eve Johnson Houghton	4/1	7
6th	Lovat Scout (GB) Clifford Lee · K R Burke	9/4F	3.5

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (5)	Lovat Scout Chestnut J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	129	—	1683	74	86	77	14d	—	—	-5	19.3	0.63/1	5/2 29%
3rd in nursery at Catterick (5f, soft), making up lots of late ground after awkward start
2 (4)	Havana Gila Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Harry Eustace	J:Hayley Turner T:Harry Eustace	133	—	189533	78	87	80	32d	—	—	-1	17.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Creditable third in two nurseries, ahead of two of these at Chester (5f, soft) latest
1 (3)	Pont Neuf Chestnut J:George Downing T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:George Downing T:Eve Johnson Houghton	136	—	110055	81	88	78	32d	—	—	-2	14.8	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Steps back in the right direction on last two outings still leave him with work to do
5 (6)	I Need Your Love Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	125	v	88341	70	89	64	21d	—	—	+7	20.1	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Visored, travelled best before leading in final strides for nursery at Redcar (6f, good)
3 (1)	Jm Jhingree Bay J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	129	—	137067	74	88	78	32d	—	—	0	9.3	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Backward steps in 5f nurseries on last two outings, despite being back on soft last time
6 (2)	I'm Next Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	121	—	934	66	87	72	18d	—	—	+1	8.2	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Return to 5f looks in order and he should bring potential to this nursery debut

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Lovat Scout	5/2	9/4	5/2
Havana Gila	7/2	10/3	10/3
Pont Neuf	4/1	7/2	4/1
I Need Your Love	5/1	5/1	5/1
Jm Jhingree	8/1	8/1	8/1
I'm Next	9/1	9/1	9/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

I Need Your Love

20.1

OR: 5 Form: 11.5 Odds: 3.6

5/1

2nd

Lovat Scout

19.3

OR: 6 Form: 6 Odds: 7.3

5/2

3rd

Havana Gila

17.5

OR: 7 Form: 5.1 Odds: 5.4

7/2

Pont Neuf

14.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 2 Odds: 5

4/1

Jm Jhingree

9.3

OR: 6 Form: 0.6 Odds: 2.7

8/1

I'm Next

8.2

OR: 4 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Pont Neuf	81	88	78
Havana Gila	78	87	80
Lovat Scout	74	86	77
Jm Jhingree	74	88	78
I Need Your Love	70	89	64
I'm Next	66	87	72

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lovat Scout	14d ago	Fit
I'm Next	18d ago	Fit
I Need Your Love	21d ago	Fit
Havana Gila	32d ago	Fit
Pont Neuf	32d ago	Fit
Jm Jhingree	32d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Nottingham over 5f8y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6

Based on 5 draws with historical results at this course and distance.