Racing TV Handicap – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

20:15

Racing TV Handicap

Date 2024-10-16

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (6)	Electric Avenue Bay J:Neil Callan T:George Baker	J:Neil Callan T:George Baker	138	p	641352	62	69	37	29d	—	—	+1	17.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
7f turf win in June; solid second at Brighton latest; drop back to 6f not sure to suit
1 (2)	Sir Rodneyredblood Chestnut J:Marco Ghiani T:J R Jenkins	J:Marco Ghiani T:J R Jenkins	140	p	262251	64	75	50	50d	—	—	+7	21.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Prolific AW winner, including C&D; game effort at Lingfield in August; should go well
6 (8)	First Company Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Mark Loughnane	J:Billy Loughnane T:Mark Loughnane	136	—	525585	60	73	62	21d	—	—	-6	7.1	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Big chance on this winter's C&D form; return of B Loughnane a plus; should go well
5 (7)	Clyde Bay Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	137	t	755-P8	62	66	-	33d	—	—	-5	6.3	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Of interest on his 2yo form; well held at Salisbury last month; now tongue tied
8 (1)	Lilkian Chestnut J:Jason Watson T:Darryll Holland	J:Jason Watson T:Darryll Holland	136	—	827037	60	74	66	26d	—	—	-2	8.7	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Not at his best over C&D last month; dangerous mark but needs a revival
7 (12)	Cogsworth Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Chris Dwyer	J:Oisin Murphy T:Chris Dwyer	136	—	211458	61	72	44	69d	—	—	+1	10.4	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Two 7f wins in May; below par over a mile the last twice; O Murphy booked but drawn widest
11 (3)	Revolucion Chestnut J:Dylan Hogan T:Grace Harris	J:Dylan Hogan T:Grace Harris	123	p	856686	47	73	52	11d	—	—	-6	2.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Poor strike-rate and he hasn't fired for current stable; opposable despite reduced mark
3 (11)	Melisende Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Amy Murphy	J:Tom Marquand T:Amy Murphy	138	tp	257818	63	73	49	25d	—	—	+6	12	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Well backed when winning at Lingfield (6f AW) last month; less good one week later
12 (4)	Purple Poppy Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Jimmy Fox	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Jimmy Fox	122	b	084639	46	67	51	21d	—	—	-2	3.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Infrequent winner; not at her best over 7f here last month; now tried in blinkers
9 (5)	Concierge Brown J:Paddy Bradley T:Michael Attwater	J:Paddy Bradley T:Michael Attwater	135	v	888345	59	73	-	43d	—	—	0	5.1	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Yet to win this year but conditions no problem and he's slipping down the weights; chance
2 (9)	Watermelon Sugar Grey J:Joey Haynes T:Chelsea Banham	J:Joey Haynes T:Chelsea Banham	138	—	174090	62	68	68	20d	—	—	+1	3.9	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Struggled since an impressive Lingfield win in April (6f); would need to see money for him
NR (10)	Treasure Bay Bay J:Josephine Gordon T:Mark Gillard	J:Josephine Gordon T:Mark Gillard	134	—	074	59	57	50	30d	—	—	—	2.3	—	—
Ran okay over C&D last month on his third start; opening mark looks tough though

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Electric Avenue	4/1	4/1	9/2
Sir Rodneyredblood	4/1	11/2	5/1
First Company	6/1	11/2	6/1
Clyde Bay	7/1	6/1	13/2
Lilkian	7/1	7/1	7/1
Cogsworth	8/1	17/2	17/2
Revolucion	11/1	11/1	10/1
Melisende	14/1	11/1	12/1
Purple Poppy	16/1	12/1	14/1
Concierge	20/1	16/1	18/1
Watermelon Sugar	40/1	28/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sir Rodneyredblood

21.9

OR: 3.5 Form: 14 Odds: 4.4

11/2

2nd

Electric Avenue

17.2

OR: 3 Form: 9.5 Odds: 4.7

9/2

3rd

Melisende

OR: 3.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Cogsworth

10.4

OR: 2.8 Form: 5 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Lilkian

8.7

OR: 2.5 Form: 3.1 Odds: 3.1

7/1

First Company

7.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 1 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Clyde Bay

6.3

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Concierge

5.1

OR: 2.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Watermelon Sugar

3.9

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

40/1

Purple Poppy

3.7

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Treasure Bay

2.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Revolucion

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sir Rodneyredblood	64	75	50
Melisende	63	73	49
Electric Avenue	62	69	37
Clyde Bay	62	66	—
Watermelon Sugar	62	68	68
Cogsworth	61	72	44
First Company	60	73	62
Lilkian	60	74	66
Concierge	59	73	—
Treasure Bay	59	57	50
Revolucion	47	73	52
Purple Poppy	46	67	51

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Revolucion	11d ago	Quick return
Watermelon Sugar	20d ago	Fit
First Company	21d ago	Fit
Purple Poppy	21d ago	Fit
Melisende	25d ago	Fit
Lilkian	26d ago	Fit
Electric Avenue	29d ago	Fit
Treasure Bay	30d ago	Fit
Clyde Bay	33d ago	Fit
Concierge	43d ago	Fit
Sir Rodneyredblood	50d ago	Fresh
Cogsworth	69d ago	Fresh