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Musselburgh

13:50

Bet At racingtv.com Amateur Jockeys' Handicap

Date 2024-10-14
Distance 1m2y
Class Class 5
Going Good To Soft
Type Flat
Surface Turf
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £3,477

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
5 (1)
Ayr Poet
Bay
J:Miss Megan Davies(7)
T:Jim Goldie
J:Miss Megan Davies(7)
T:Jim Goldie
 144 p 863708
58
62
45
 4d — — -12
9.1
0.83/1
10/3
23%
Showed spark as recently as August but unable to get competitive on last three outings
6 (8)
True Nation
Brown
J:Mr Eireann Cagney
T:Richard Fahey
J:Mr Eireann Cagney
T:Richard Fahey
 139 — 258691
53
60
44
 12d — — -3
16.5
0.83/1
10/3
23%
Back to form with C&D win 12 days ago and she's a player if backing up that effort
2 (7)
Swift Salian
Bay
J:Miss Alice Keighley
T:David & Nicola Barron
J:Miss Alice Keighley
T:David & Nicola Barron
 151 — 933739
68
59
43
 24d — — -4
13.1
1.00/1
4/1
20%
3yo; just one win from his 14 starts but he's not ruled out off a competitive mark
1 (6)
Alazwar
Bay
J:Miss Brodie Hampson
T:Archie Watson
J:Miss Brodie Hampson
T:Archie Watson
 155 b 766095
69
64
41
 7d — — -4
8.4
1.63/1
13/2
13%
He's dropped down the weights and has a chance now back at a more suitable trip
3 (2)
American Star
Bay
J:Miss Charli Parker(5)
T:Ruth Carr
J:Miss Charli Parker(5)
T:Ruth Carr
 149 p 570480
63
62
50
 4d — — -3
5.6
2.25/1
9/1
10%
Won off 2lb higher at Chester in July but his subsequent form has been patchy
4 (5)
Dogged
Bay
J:Miss Becky Smith
T:Rebecca Menzies
J:Miss Becky Smith
T:Rebecca Menzies
 146 p 933502
60
61
54
 49d — — +3
11.5
2.00/1
8/1
11%
The drop back down to 1m isn't an obvious plus but Becky Smith is a good booking
7 (4)
Bulls Aye
Chestnut
J:Miss Hannah Crawford(5)
T:Iain Jardine
J:Miss Hannah Crawford(5)
T:Iain Jardine
 138 v 572768
52
63
57
 12d — — -2
3.6
3.50/1
14/1
7%
Won this race last year when 8lb higher; disappointing campaign in 2024
8 (3)
Cage Rattler
Chestnut
J:Miss Alex Garven(5)
T:Sandy Forster
J:Miss Alex Garven(5)
T:Sandy Forster
 135 p 045600
49
59
42
 10d — — -2
0.7
8.25/1
33/1
3%
He won in Ireland in May but has struggled subsequently and a transformation is required
Horse bet365 Coral Virgin Bet
Ayr Poet
 10/3 3/1 3/1
True Nation
 10/3 3/1 10/3
Swift Salian
 4/1 4/1 4/1
Alazwar
 11/2 13/2 6/1
American Star
 9/1 8/1 17/2
Dogged
 8/1 15/2 8/1
Bulls Aye
 14/1 14/1 14/1
Cage Rattler
 33/1 28/1 33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st True Nation
16.5
OR: 0.8 Form: 10 Odds: 5.7
10/3
2nd Swift Salian
13.1
OR: 4.5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 5
4/1
3rd Dogged
11.5
OR: 2.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 2.5
8/1
4 Ayr Poet
9.1
OR: 2 Form: 0.9 Odds: 6.2
10/3
5 Alazwar
8.4
OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6
13/2
6 American Star
5.6
OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4
9/1
7 Bulls Aye
3.6
OR: 0.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.6
14/1
8 Cage Rattler
0.7
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7
33/1

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Alazwar
69
64
41
Swift Salian
68
59
43
American Star
63
62
50
Dogged
60
61
54
Ayr Poet
58
62
45
True Nation
53
60
44
Bulls Aye
52
63
57
Cage Rattler
49
59
42

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Ayr Poet 4d ago Quick return
American Star 4d ago Quick return
Alazwar 7d ago Quick return
Cage Rattler 10d ago Quick return
True Nation 12d ago Quick return
Bulls Aye 12d ago Quick return
Swift Salian 24d ago Fit
Dogged 49d ago Fresh