Gloria Roche Memorial Handicap – Musselburgh

Musselburgh

16:20

Gloria Roche Memorial Handicap

Date 2024-10-14

Distance 7f15y

Class Class 6

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,664

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (6)	Space Ninja Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Roger Fell	J:Rowan Scott T:Roger Fell	131	—	944-21	58	75	65	29d	—	—	-10	7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Has improved since upped to 7f for new yard, his 2nd and C&D win both working out well
4 (8)	The Gay Blade Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	134	—	541341	59	74	64	12d	—	—	+6	21.2	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Already won 4 handicaps this year, the latest with authority over C&D; can go very close
7 (4)	Golden Valour Bay J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:R Mike Smith	J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:R Mike Smith	128	p	638423	53	72	63	4d	—	—	-2	11.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Broke turf duck in May; some close calls since; needs more than latest 3rd on Thursday
3 (11)	Pembrokeshire Bay J:David Nolan T:Iain Jardine	J:David Nolan T:Iain Jardine	134	h	418555	59	73	64	12d	—	—	-5	7.9	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Not obviously in peak form but 3lb lower than when winning this at a big price last year
2 (9)	Keep Me Stable Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Linda Perratt	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Linda Perratt	134	—	012164	59	72	61	12d	—	—	-1	15.8	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Two wins in 2024; not the best of runs over C&D latest; can make more of an impact today
1 (1)	Code Purple Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Ben Haslam	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Ben Haslam	137	—	891317	62	72	65	48d	—	—	+8	17.2	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Won both course starts (7f and 1m1f) in 2024; still below highest winning mark
8 (5)	Black Friday Bay J:Joanna Mason T:R Mike Smith	J:Joanna Mason T:R Mike Smith	128	p	685007	53	71	55	12d	—	—	-6	3.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Below best of late, including over C&D last time out; cheekpieces refitted
6 (2)	Havana Rose Grey J:Sam James T:Katie Scott	J:Sam James T:Katie Scott	128	p	678764	55	73	48	4d	—	—	-4	3.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Finding 3yo career rather hard work despite weights drop; must improve for cheekpieces
9 (10)	Warminster Bay J:Jason Hart T:Katie Scott	J:Jason Hart T:Katie Scott	122	—	974765	47	67	51	10d	—	—	-5	1.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Two 6f wins; not in much form in recent months and has yet to prove suited by 7f
11 (7)	Rogers Dream Bay J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Susan Corbett	J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Susan Corbett	119	—	07584	46	61	44	54d	—	—	-2	0.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Had fewer chances than any but improvement needed on form in 6f classified and 7f handicap
10 (3)	Onthebunny Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Linda Perratt	J:Cam Hardie T:Linda Perratt	121	—	497769	46	62	47	13d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Not far away in a C&D classified in August but found wanting in handicaps since

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Space Ninja	SP	4/1	4/1
The Gay Blade	SP	5/1	5/1
Golden Valour	SP	11/2	11/2
Pembrokeshire	6/1	6/1	6/1
Keep Me Stable	7/1	13/2	7/1
Code Purple	SP	8/1	17/2
Black Friday	SP	11/1	12/1
Havana Rose	SP	10/1	9/1
Warminster	SP	12/1	14/1
Rogers Dream	SP	28/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

The Gay Blade

21.2

OR: 2.3 Form: 14.5 Odds: 4.4

5/1

2nd

Code Purple

17.2

OR: 3 Form: 11.5 Odds: 2.7

17/2

3rd

Keep Me Stable

15.8

OR: 2.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 5

7/1

Golden Valour

11.9

OR: 0.8 Form: 7.1 Odds: 4

11/2

Pembrokeshire

7.9

OR: 2.3 Form: 2 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Space Ninja

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Black Friday

3.4

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

12/1

Havana Rose

3.4

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Warminster

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Rogers Dream

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Onthebunny

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Code Purple	62	72	65
The Gay Blade	59	74	64
Pembrokeshire	59	73	64
Keep Me Stable	59	72	61
Space Ninja	58	75	65
Havana Rose	55	73	48
Golden Valour	53	72	63
Black Friday	53	71	55
Warminster	47	67	51
Rogers Dream	46	61	44
Onthebunny	46	62	47

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Golden Valour	4d ago	Quick return
Havana Rose	4d ago	Quick return
Warminster	10d ago	Quick return
The Gay Blade	12d ago	Quick return
Pembrokeshire	12d ago	Quick return
Keep Me Stable	12d ago	Quick return
Black Friday	12d ago	Quick return
Onthebunny	13d ago	Quick return
Space Ninja	29d ago	Fit
Code Purple	48d ago	Fresh
Rogers Dream	54d ago	Fresh