Betfair Exchange Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

19:20

Betfair Exchange Handicap

Date 2024-10-12

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,664

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (3)	Lion Ring Bay J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Andrew J Martin	J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Andrew J Martin	137	—	931119	57	67	62	2d	—	—	0	24.6	0.63/1	5/2 29%
September hat-trick featured two wins here; form dipped at Southwell on Thursday
3 (2)	Rogue Thunder Chestnut J:Finley Marsh T:Patrick Morris	J:Finley Marsh T:Patrick Morris	134	ht	066080	54	68	26	18d	—	—	-12	6.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Won here last November for previous yard; largely poor form for new stable
4 (4)	Doves Of Peace Bay J:Joe Bradnam(7) T:Michael Bell	J:Joe Bradnam(7) T:Michael Bell	134	p	414261	54	67	57	7d	—	—	+5	19.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Won at this course in August and Wolverhampton last Saturday; largely consistent
6 (5)	Araifjan Chestnut J:Dylan Hogan T:Michael Herrington	J:Dylan Hogan T:Michael Herrington	132	tp	957872	52	71	49	12d	—	—	-4	9.1	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Four C&D wins; close second at Wolverhampton most recently; respected back here
5 (1)	Time Patrol Bay J:Nicola Currie T:Tony Carroll	J:Nicola Currie T:Tony Carroll	133	—	521302	53	69	44	19d	—	—	+3	14.3	1.75/1	7/1 13%
0-10 on AW but finished well and nearly got up at Wolverhampton most recently
7 (8)	Q Twenty Boy Chestnut J:Alicia Perkins(7) T:Mark Usher	J:Alicia Perkins(7) T:Mark Usher	132	—	251445	52	70	56	23d	—	—	-2	5.4	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Retains gusto aged nine; on last winning mark and has a fighting chance
2 (6)	Due Date Bay J:Luke Morris T:Charlie Wallis	J:Luke Morris T:Charlie Wallis	136	v	136148	56	69	54	19d	—	—	+3	8.5	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Four AW wins this year, the most recent in August; regressed the last twice
8 (7)	Midnight Flame Grey J:William Cox T:Joe Ponting	J:William Cox T:Joe Ponting	127	p	065527	47	70	44	10d	—	—	+2	4	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Recent form lacks consistency; not the likeliest winner, with record 0-26

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Lion Ring	5/2	5/2	5/2
Rogue Thunder	10/3	7/2	7/2
Doves Of Peace	9/2	4/1	4/1
Araifjan	6/1	11/2	11/2
Time Patrol	7/1	13/2	13/2
Q Twenty Boy	11/1	11/1	11/1
Due Date	16/1	16/1	16/1
Midnight Flame	50/1	40/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lion Ring

24.6

OR: 1.8 Form: 15.6 Odds: 7.3

5/2

2nd

Doves Of Peace

19.9

OR: 1 Form: 14.5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Time Patrol

14.3

OR: 0.8 Form: 10.5 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Araifjan

9.1

OR: 0.5 Form: 5 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Due Date

8.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 5.6 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Rogue Thunder

6.2

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Q Twenty Boy

5.4

OR: 0.5 Form: 3 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Midnight Flame

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lion Ring	57	67	62
Due Date	56	69	54
Rogue Thunder	54	68	26
Doves Of Peace	54	67	57
Time Patrol	53	69	44
Araifjan	52	71	49
Q Twenty Boy	52	70	56
Midnight Flame	47	70	44

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lion Ring	2d ago	Quick return
Doves Of Peace	7d ago	Quick return
Midnight Flame	10d ago	Quick return
Araifjan	12d ago	Quick return
Rogue Thunder	18d ago	Fit
Time Patrol	19d ago	Fit
Due Date	19d ago	Fit
Q Twenty Boy	23d ago	Fit